Solihull Moors vs Carlisle — National League
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Solihull Moors and Carlisle meet in the National League 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Solihull Moors have recorded 3 wins from 17 matches this season (18% win rate), averaging 1.24 goals scored and 2.29 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 76% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 71%; and clean sheets in 12% of games. Carlisle have won 33% of their 12 matches, with 1.92 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 75%, Over 2.5 at 58%, and clean sheets at 8%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.30 for Solihull Moors and 1.49 for Carlisle. The models give Solihull Moors a 29% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Carlisle win at 45%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Solihull Moors—
Carlisle23º
Position
16º
0.44
PPG
1.11
11%
Win %
22%
1.00
Goals / game
1.78
2.56
Conceded / game
1.56
76%
BTTS %
75%
12%
Clean sheet %
8%
71%
Over 2.5 %
58%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Solihull Moors
Home (5)
—
Carlisle
Away (4)
0.60
PPG
0.50
20%
Win %
0%
0.80
Goals / game
0.75
2.00
Conceded / game
1.25
70%
BTTS %
67%
10%
Clean sheet %
17%
70%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Solihull Moors | Home | Away | Carlisle | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 88% | 80% | 100% | 83% | 83% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 29% | 20% | 43% | 50% | 67% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 6% | 0% | 14% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 12% | 20% | 0% | 17% | 17% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Solihull Moors | Home | Away | Carlisle | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 88% | 90% | 86% | 92% | 100% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 65% | 80% | 43% | 50% | 67% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 53% | 60% | 43% | 8% | 17% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 12% | 10% | 14% | 8% | 0% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Solihull Moors | Carlisle | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 94% | 92% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 58% |
| Over 3.5 | 47% | 42% |
| Over 4.5 | 24% | 33% |
| BTTS | 76% | 75% |
| BTTS & Win | 6% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 33% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 59% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 12% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Solihull Moors | Carlisle | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 6% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 35% | 25% |
| Loss 1st Half | 59% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 47% | 58% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 76% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 18% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 53% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 53% | 58% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 71% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 82% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 47% | 25% |
Recent Venue Form
Solihull Moors (H)W
Barrow1–0
Barrow1–0L
Aldershot Town1–2
Aldershot Town1–2L
Leeds United U212–3
Leeds United U212–3L
AFC Fylde1–3
AFC Fylde1–3L
Southend1–3
Southend1–3L
Middlesbrough U211–3
Middlesbrough U211–3Carlisle (A)L
Eastleigh0–1
Eastleigh0–1L
Boreham Wood1–2
Boreham Wood1–2D
Wealdstone1–1
Wealdstone1–1D
Yeovil Town1–1
Yeovil Town1–1W
Derby County U213–0
Derby County U213–0W
Darlington 18834–2
Darlington 18834–2Head to Head · 2 matches
0
Solihull Moors
0%
2
Draws
100%
0
Carlisle
0%
100%
Over 1.5
2/2
50%
Over 2.5
1/2
50%
Over 3.5
1/2
100%
BTTS
2/2
17/01/26Carlisle
Solihull Moors
3–3Carlisle19/08/25Solihull Moors
Carlisle
1–1Solihull Moors| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 23 |
| 2 | Southend | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 20 |
| 3 |  Kidderminster Harriers | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 18 |
| 4 | AFC Fylde | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 17 |
| 5 |  Harrogate Town | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 16 |
| 6 |  Sutton Utd | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 16 |
| 7 | Yeovil Town | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 8 | Aldershot Town | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 15 |
| 9 |  AFC Hornchurch | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Altrincham | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 |  Worthing | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 12 | Eastleigh | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 13 |  FC Halifax Town | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 13 |
| 14 |  Forest Green | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 15 |  Boston United | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11 |
| 16 | Carlisle | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 10 |
| 17 | Barrow | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 18 |  Woking | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 9 |
| 19 |  Hartlepool | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -4 | 9 |
| 20 | Wealdstone | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 8 |
| 21 |  Tamworth | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 8 |
| 22 |  Scunthorpe | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 7 |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 4 |
| 24 |  Gateshead | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 4 |
Team Insights
Solihull Moors- ●Solihull Moors have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Solihull Moors have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Solihull Moors have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Solihull Moors failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Solihull Moors have lost 4 of their 5 home matches.
Carlisle- ●Carlisle have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Carlisle failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Carlisle have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Carlisle failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Carlisle have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Carlisle have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Carlisle failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●81% of Carlisle's goals have been scored at home.
- ●80% of Carlisle's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Solihull MoorsLAYeovil Town1–4
Yeovil Town1–4WHBarrow1–0
Barrow1–0LHAldershot Town1–2
Aldershot Town1–2DAGateshead1–1
Gateshead1–1LHAFC Fylde1–3
AFC Fylde1–3LAScunthorpe1–3
Scunthorpe1–3–HBoreham Wood26/09
Boreham Wood26/09–AWoking29/09
Woking29/09–HFC Halifax Town03/10
FC Halifax Town03/10CarlisleLAEastleigh0–1
Eastleigh0–1DHForest Green1–1
Forest Green1–1DHSouthend2–2
Southend2–2LABoreham Wood1–2
Boreham Wood1–2WHScunthorpe4–2
Scunthorpe4–2DAWealdstone1–1
Wealdstone1–1–HWoking26/09
Woking26/09–AAFC Fylde29/09
AFC Fylde29/09–AAldershot Town03/10
Aldershot Town03/10Top Scorers
Solihull MoorsJ. Wakeling5 ⚽
K. Ryley3 ⚽
C. McFarlane2 ⚽
S. High2 ⚽
B. Wodskou2 ⚽
J. Tiensia1 ⚽
CarlisleG. Kelly4 ⚽
H. Bunker4 ⚽
M. Azeez3 ⚽
R. Linney3 ⚽
2 ⚽
S. Wearne1 ⚽
Cards Given
Solihull MoorsJ. Andrews4 🟨
T. Warren4 🟨
M. Carson4 🟨
B. Worman3 🟨
C. Green2 🟨
J. Sbarra2 🟨
CarlisleR. Linney2 🟨
M. Azeez2 🟨
B. Nicholson2 🟨
L. Duru1 🟨
M. Feeney1 🟨
S. Wearne1 🟨