AFC Fylde vs Hartlepool — National League
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AFC Fylde and Hartlepool meet in the National League 2026 season on 27 October 2026. AFC Fylde have recorded 9 wins from 20 matches this season (45% win rate), averaging 1.70 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 65% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 70%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Hartlepool have won 38% of their 21 matches, with 1.10 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 43%, Over 2.5 at 52%, and clean sheets at 19%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.75 for AFC Fylde and 1.32 for Hartlepool. The models give AFC Fylde a 51% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Hartlepool win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
AFC Fylde—
Hartlepool7º
Position
20º
1.77
PPG
0.92
54%
Win %
31%
1.85
Goals / game
0.92
1.38
Conceded / game
1.46
65%
BTTS %
43%
20%
Clean sheet %
19%
70%
Over 2.5 %
52%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
AFC Fylde
Home (6)
—
Hartlepool
Away (7)
1.33
PPG
0.86
33%
Win %
29%
1.50
Goals / game
1.14
1.33
Conceded / game
1.86
56%
BTTS %
70%
22%
Clean sheet %
10%
67%
Over 2.5 %
70%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| AFC Fylde | Home | Away | Hartlepool | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 85% | 78% | 91% | 62% | 45% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 60% | 56% | 64% | 24% | 9% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 0% | 36% | 14% | 0% | 30% |
| Failed To Score | 15% | 22% | 9% | 38% | 55% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| AFC Fylde | Home | Away | Hartlepool | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 78% | 82% | 81% | 73% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 78% | 27% | 52% | 36% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 22% | 18% | 19% | 27% | 10% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 22% | 18% | 19% | 27% | 10% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| AFC Fylde | Hartlepool | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 95% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 52% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 24% |
| BTTS | 65% | 43% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 19% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 60% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| AFC Fylde | Hartlepool | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 40% | 14% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 43% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 38% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 35% | 57% |
| Win 2nd Half | 40% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 19% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 43% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 65% | 43% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 70% | 62% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
AFC Fylde (H)W
Scunthorpe2–0
Scunthorpe2–0L
Carlisle0–2
Carlisle0–2L
Altrincham1–2
Altrincham1–2D
Worthing2–2
Worthing2–2W
Forest Green2–0
Forest Green2–0D
Wealdstone2–2
Wealdstone2–2Hartlepool (A)WForest Green4–2
Forest Green4–2LScunthorpe1–4
Scunthorpe1–4LAltrincham1–2
Altrincham1–2L
Kidderminster Harriers0–2
Kidderminster Harriers0–2L
FC Halifax Town0–1
FC Halifax Town0–1L
Sutton Utd1–2
Sutton Utd1–2Head to Head · 9 matches
5
AFC Fylde
56%
2
Draws
22%
2
Hartlepool
22%
100%
Over 1.5
9/9
78%
Over 2.5
7/9
44%
Over 3.5
4/9
78%
BTTS
7/9
04/03/25Hartlepool
AFC Fylde
2–1Hartlepool26/11/24AFC Fylde
Hartlepool
2–0AFC Fylde09/01/24Hartlepool
AFC Fylde
2–1Hartlepool26/08/23AFC Fylde
Hartlepool
3–1AFC Fylde13/08/19AFC Fylde
Hartlepool
2–2AFC Fylde12/03/19Hartlepool
AFC Fylde
4–2Hartlepool27/11/18AFC Fylde
Hartlepool
1–2AFC Fylde17/03/18Hartlepool
AFC Fylde
3–3Hartlepool26/08/17AFC Fylde
Hartlepool
0–2AFC Fylde| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boreham Wood | 13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | +21 | 35 |
| 2 |  Harrogate Town | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | +12 | 28 |
| 3 |  Southend | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | +12 | 27 |
| 4 |  Yeovil Town | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | +17 | 25 |
| 5 | Worthing | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +9 | 24 |
| 6 | Altrincham | 13 | 8 | 0 | 5 | +1 | 24 |
| 7 | AFC Fylde | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +6 | 23 |
| 8 |  Barrow | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 21 |
| 9 |  AFC Hornchurch | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | -4 | 21 |
| 10 | FC Halifax Town | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | +7 | 20 |
| 11 | Kidderminster Harriers | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | +3 | 20 |
| 12 |  Aldershot Town | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 | Sutton Utd | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 18 |
| 14 | Carlisle | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | +3 | 17 |
| 15 |  Woking | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 15 |
| 16 | Forest Green | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 15 |
| 17 |  Eastleigh | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 15 |
| 18 |  Tamworth | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -9 | 14 |
| 19 | Wealdstone | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -7 | 12 |
| 20 | Hartlepool | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | -7 | 12 |
| 21 |  Boston United | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -8 | 12 |
| 22 | Scunthorpe | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -6 | 10 |
| 23 |  Solihull Moors | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | -22 | 7 |
| 24 |  Gateshead | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | -23 | 4 |
Team Insights
AFC Fylde- ●AFC Fylde have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●AFC Fylde failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●AFC Fylde failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●AFC Fylde have won 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●AFC Fylde have scored in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●62% of AFC Fylde's goals have been scored away.
- ●65% of AFC Fylde's points have been earned away.
Hartlepool- ●Hartlepool failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Hartlepool have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Hartlepool failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Hartlepool have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Hartlepool failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Hartlepool have lost 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Hartlepool failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Hartlepool have lost 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Hartlepool have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●67% of Hartlepool's goals have been scored away.
- ●68% of Hartlepool's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
AFC FyldeWHScunthorpe2–0
Scunthorpe2–0LASouthend1–3
Southend1–3LHCarlisle0–2
Carlisle0–2WABoston United1–0
Boston United1–0LHAltrincham1–2
Altrincham1–2WAHarrogate Town2–1
Harrogate Town2–1–ABoreham Wood24/10
Boreham Wood24/10–HHartlepool27/10
Hartlepool27/10–HAFC Hornchurch30/10
AFC Hornchurch30/10HartlepoolWAForest Green4–2
Forest Green4–2LHTamworth0–1
Tamworth0–1LHHarrogate Town0–1
Harrogate Town0–1LAScunthorpe1–4
Scunthorpe1–4LHWorthing1–3
Worthing1–3LAAltrincham1–2
Altrincham1–2–HAFC Hornchurch24/10
AFC Hornchurch24/10–AAFC Fylde27/10
AFC Fylde27/10–ABoreham Wood31/10
Boreham Wood31/10Top Scorers
AFC FyldeL. Thomas6 ⚽
H. Broad4 ⚽
D. Hadley-Allen3 ⚽
J. Morris3 ⚽
G. Olley2 ⚽
D. Mayor2 ⚽
HartlepoolJ. Nolan4 ⚽
C. McKeown3 ⚽
W. Harris3 ⚽
J. Hugill2 ⚽
C. Popov2 ⚽
M. Kouogun2 ⚽
Cards Given
AFC FyldeT. Whelan5 🟨
C. Whelan3 🟨
H. Broad2 🟨
L. Thomas2 🟨
M. Matthews Lewis2 🟨
T. Upton2 🟨
HartlepoolN. Eccleston6 🟨
R. McNally5 🟨
J. Hunter4 🟨
C. John3 🟨
J. Miley3 🟨
C. Thornton2 🟨