Boston United vs Gateshead — National League
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Boston United and Gateshead meet in the National League 2026 season on 27 October 2026. Boston United have recorded 5 wins from 21 matches this season (24% win rate), averaging 1.19 goals scored and 1.76 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 52% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 48%; and clean sheets in 19% of games. Gateshead have won 9% of their 22 matches, with 1.05 goals scored and 2.09 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 59%, Over 2.5 at 59%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.74 for Boston United and 1.17 for Gateshead. The models give Boston United a 54% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Gateshead win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Boston United—
Gateshead21º
Position
24º
0.92
PPG
0.31
23%
Win %
8%
1.15
Goals / game
0.62
1.77
Conceded / game
2.38
52%
BTTS %
59%
19%
Clean sheet %
14%
48%
Over 2.5 %
59%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Boston United
Home (7)
—
Gateshead
Away (7)
0.57
PPG
0.00
14%
Win %
0%
0.86
Goals / game
0.43
1.57
Conceded / game
2.86
46%
BTTS %
55%
23%
Clean sheet %
9%
38%
Over 2.5 %
82%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Boston United | Home | Away | Gateshead | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 62% | 75% | 68% | 73% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 23% | 50% | 14% | 9% | 18% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 8% | 13% | 9% | 0% | 18% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 38% | 25% | 32% | 27% | 36% |
Goals Conceded
| Boston United | Home | Away | Gateshead | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 81% | 77% | 88% | 86% | 82% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 43% | 38% | 50% | 55% | 36% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 24% | 31% | 13% | 36% | 27% | 45% |
| Clean Sheets | 19% | 23% | 13% | 14% | 18% | 9% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Boston United | Gateshead | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 | 48% | 59% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 36% |
| Over 4.5 | 19% | 23% |
| BTTS | 52% | 59% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 23% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 41% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 18% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Boston United | Gateshead | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 18% |
| Draw 1st Half | 48% | 32% |
| Loss 1st Half | 19% | 50% |
| Scored 1st Half | 52% | 23% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 48% | 55% |
| Win 2nd Half | 24% | 23% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 14% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 62% | 41% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 38% | 55% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 64% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 32% |
Recent Venue Form
Boston United (H)L
Southampton U215–6
Southampton U215–6L
Southend1–2
Southend1–2L
AFC Fylde0–1
AFC Fylde0–1D
Woking1–1
Woking1–1L
Wealdstone1–3
Wealdstone1–3L
West Bromwich Albion U210–1
West Bromwich Albion U210–1Gateshead (A)L
FC Halifax Town1–4
FC Halifax Town1–4LWealdstone0–4
Wealdstone0–4L
Kidderminster Harriers0–1
Kidderminster Harriers0–1L
Forest Green0–4
Forest Green0–4L
Harrogate Town1–2
Harrogate Town1–2L
Yeovil Town0–3
Yeovil Town0–3Head to Head · 9 matches
4
Boston United
44%
0
Draws
0%
5
Gateshead
56%
89%
Over 1.5
8/9
78%
Over 2.5
7/9
33%
Over 3.5
3/9
56%
BTTS
5/9
10/02/26Gateshead
Boston United
1–0Gateshead04/10/25Boston United
Gateshead
1–3Boston United26/04/25Gateshead
Boston United
2–1Gateshead04/01/25Boston United
Gateshead
1–3Boston United24/09/24Boston United
Gateshead
2–0Boston United19/03/22Gateshead
Boston United
1–2Gateshead09/10/21Boston United
Gateshead
3–1Boston United25/02/20Gateshead
Boston United
0–3Gateshead14/09/19Boston United
Gateshead
3–0Boston United| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boreham Wood | 13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | +21 | 35 |
| 2 | Harrogate Town | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | +12 | 28 |
| 3 | Southend | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | +12 | 27 |
| 4 | Yeovil Town | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | +17 | 25 |
| 5 |  Worthing | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +9 | 24 |
| 6 |  Altrincham | 13 | 8 | 0 | 5 | +1 | 24 |
| 7 | AFC Fylde | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +6 | 23 |
| 8 |  Barrow | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 21 |
| 9 |  AFC Hornchurch | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | -4 | 21 |
| 10 | FC Halifax Town | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | +7 | 20 |
| 11 | Kidderminster Harriers | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | +3 | 20 |
| 12 |  Aldershot Town | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 |  Sutton Utd | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 18 |
| 14 |  Carlisle | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | +3 | 17 |
| 15 | Woking | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 15 |
| 16 | Forest Green | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 15 |
| 17 |  Eastleigh | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 15 |
| 18 |  Tamworth | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -9 | 14 |
| 19 | Wealdstone | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -7 | 12 |
| 20 |  Hartlepool | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | -7 | 12 |
| 21 | Boston United | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -8 | 12 |
| 22 |  Scunthorpe | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -6 | 10 |
| 23 |  Solihull Moors | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | -22 | 7 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | -23 | 4 |
Team Insights
Boston United- ●Boston United have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Boston United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Boston United have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Boston United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Boston United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Boston United failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Boston United have lost 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Boston United failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Boston United have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●67% of Boston United's points have been earned away.
- ●Boston United have scored 67% of their goals in the first half.
Gateshead- ●Gateshead have failed to win in their last 11 matches.
- ●Gateshead have lost their last 7 matches.
- ●Gateshead failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Gateshead have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Gateshead have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Gateshead failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Gateshead have lost their last 7 away matches.
- ●Gateshead failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Gateshead failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Gateshead have lost 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Gateshead failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Gateshead have lost 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●63% of Gateshead's goals have been scored at home.
- ●65% of Gateshead's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
Boston UnitedLHSouthend1–2
Southend1–2LAYeovil Town0–6
Yeovil Town0–6DAFC Halifax Town1–1
FC Halifax Town1–1LHAFC Fylde0–1
AFC Fylde0–1WAForest Green3–1
Forest Green3–1DHWoking1–1
Woking1–1–AEastleigh24/10
Eastleigh24/10–HGateshead27/10
Gateshead27/10–HScunthorpe31/10
Scunthorpe31/10GatesheadLAFC Halifax Town1–4
FC Halifax Town1–4LHWorthing1–2
Worthing1–2LHAltrincham0–1
Altrincham0–1LAWealdstone0–4
Wealdstone0–4LHSouthend1–6
Southend1–6LAKidderminster Harriers0–1
Kidderminster Harriers0–1–HTamworth23/10
Tamworth23/10–ABoston United27/10
Boston United27/10–AAldershot Town31/10
Aldershot Town31/10Top Scorers
Boston UnitedK. Aboh5 ⚽
L. Wheeldon4 ⚽
T. Cursons4 ⚽
J. Grimes2 ⚽
N. Canavan2 ⚽
O. Bostock2 ⚽
GatesheadL. Supyk2 ⚽
D. Eguaibor2 ⚽
B. Chadwick1 ⚽
Dominic Telford1 ⚽
F. Issaka1 ⚽
A. Lankshear1 ⚽
Cards Given
Boston UnitedJ. Rooney6 🟨
G. Holohan4 🟨
S. Sachdev4 🟨
T. Cursons3 🟨
N. Pozo3 🟨
C. Teale2 🟨
GatesheadJ. Robinson5 🟨
K. Ferguson4 🟨
T. Lavery3 🟨
A. Lankshear3 🟨
M. Spellman3 🟨
K. Lewis-Burgess2 🟨