Worthing vs Southend — National League
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Worthing and Southend meet in the National League 2026 season on 27 October 2026. Worthing have recorded 11 wins from 23 matches this season (48% win rate), averaging 1.83 goals scored and 1.17 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 70% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 70%; and clean sheets in 30% of games. Southend have won 50% of their 18 matches, with 2.17 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 89%, Over 2.5 at 72%, and clean sheets at 11%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.59 for Worthing and 1.69 for Southend. The models give Worthing a 36% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Southend win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 64% and BTTS at 65%.
Season Statistics
Worthing—
Southend5º
Position
3º
1.85
PPG
2.08
54%
Win %
62%
2.08
Goals / game
2.38
1.38
Conceded / game
1.46
70%
BTTS %
89%
30%
Clean sheet %
11%
70%
Over 2.5 %
72%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Worthing
Home (7)
—
Southend
Away (7)
1.86
PPG
2.14
57%
Win %
57%
2.00
Goals / game
2.57
1.14
Conceded / game
1.14
54%
BTTS %
100%
46%
Clean sheet %
0%
69%
Over 2.5 %
71%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Worthing | Home | Away | Southend | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 96% | 92% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 57% | 46% | 70% | 56% | 45% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 22% | 15% | 30% | 39% | 36% | 43% |
| Failed To Score | 4% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Worthing | Home | Away | Southend | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 70% | 54% | 90% | 89% | 82% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 39% | 38% | 40% | 33% | 45% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 8% | 10% | 17% | 27% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 46% | 10% | 11% | 18% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Worthing | Southend | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 94% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 72% |
| Over 3.5 | 35% | 61% |
| Over 4.5 | 17% | 17% |
| BTTS | 70% | 89% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 39% |
| BTTS & Draw | 26% | 28% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 57% | 67% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Worthing | Southend | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 65% | 47% |
| Draw 1st Half | 26% | 35% |
| Loss 1st Half | 9% | 18% |
| Scored 1st Half | 78% | 65% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 30% | 47% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 47% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 35% | 24% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 35% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 48% | 65% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 48% | 59% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 87% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 35% | 41% |
Recent Venue Form
Worthing (H)L
Ipswich Town U211–2
Ipswich Town U211–2W
Solihull Moors5–0
Solihull Moors5–0W
FC Halifax Town2–1
FC Halifax Town2–1W
AFC Hornchurch1–0
AFC Hornchurch1–0D
Barrow2–2
Barrow2–2D
Norwich City U210–0
Norwich City U210–0Southend (A)W
Boston United2–1
Boston United2–1D
Eastleigh1–1
Eastleigh1–1W
Gateshead6–1
Gateshead6–1D
Carlisle2–2
Carlisle2–2D
Woking1–1
Woking1–1WSolihull Moors3–1
Solihull Moors3–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boreham Wood | 13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | +21 | 35 |
| 2 |  Harrogate Town | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | +12 | 28 |
| 3 | Southend | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | +12 | 27 |
| 4 |  Yeovil Town | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | +17 | 25 |
| 5 | Worthing | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +9 | 24 |
| 6 |  Altrincham | 13 | 8 | 0 | 5 | +1 | 24 |
| 7 |  AFC Fylde | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +6 | 23 |
| 8 | Barrow | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 21 |
| 9 | AFC Hornchurch | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | -4 | 21 |
| 10 | FC Halifax Town | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | +7 | 20 |
| 11 |  Kidderminster Harriers | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | +3 | 20 |
| 12 |  Aldershot Town | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 |  Sutton Utd | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 18 |
| 14 | Carlisle | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | +3 | 17 |
| 15 | Woking | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 15 |
| 16 |  Forest Green | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 15 |
| 17 | Eastleigh | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 15 |
| 18 |  Tamworth | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -9 | 14 |
| 19 |  Wealdstone | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -7 | 12 |
| 20 |  Hartlepool | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | -7 | 12 |
| 21 | Boston United | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -8 | 12 |
| 22 |  Scunthorpe | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -6 | 10 |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | -22 | 7 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | -23 | 4 |
Team Insights
Worthing- ●Worthing have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Worthing have scored in each of their last 13 matches.
- ●Worthing have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Worthing have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Worthing have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Worthing failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Worthing have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Worthing have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Worthing have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Worthing failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Worthing have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Worthing have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
Southend- ●Southend have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Southend failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Southend have scored in each of their last 13 matches.
- ●Southend failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Southend have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Southend have been undefeated in their last 7 away matches.
- ●Southend failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Southend have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Southend failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Southend have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Southend failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Southend have won 4 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Southend have scored in 7 of their 7 away matches.
Season Schedule
WorthingWHSolihull Moors5–0
Solihull Moors5–0WAGateshead2–1
Gateshead2–1DAYeovil Town1–1
Yeovil Town1–1WHFC Halifax Town2–1
FC Halifax Town2–1WAHartlepool3–1
Hartlepool3–1WHAFC Hornchurch1–0
AFC Hornchurch1–0–AKidderminster Harriers24/10
Kidderminster Harriers24/10–HSouthend27/10
Southend27/10–HSutton Utd31/10
Sutton Utd31/10SouthendWABoston United2–1
Boston United2–1WHAFC Fylde3–1
AFC Fylde3–1DAEastleigh1–1
Eastleigh1–1LHBarrow2–4
Barrow2–4WAGateshead6–1
Gateshead6–1WHTamworth3–1
Tamworth3–1–HFC Halifax Town24/10
FC Halifax Town24/10–AWorthing27/10
Worthing27/10–AWealdstone31/10
Wealdstone31/10Top Scorers
WorthingR. Coleman De-Graft6 ⚽
D. Hutchinson6 ⚽
R. Aguiar5 ⚽
C. Adjetey-Brew3 ⚽
J. Marquez3 ⚽
O. Godziemski2 ⚽
SouthendL. Chambers-Parillon7 ⚽
H. Cardwell6 ⚽
S. Austin5 ⚽
P. Omochere4 ⚽
R. Colclough4 ⚽
S. Kamara3 ⚽
Cards Given
WorthingJ. Wadham4 🟨
S. Packham3 🟨
J. Moore3 🟨
R. Aguiar3 🟨
D. Hutchinson3 🟨
J. Marquez2 🟨
SouthendD. Oldaker5 🟨
V. Daley-Campbell4 🟨
P. Omochere3 🟨
D. Cox3 🟨
A. Hartigan2 🟨
H. Cardwell1 🟨