Sutton Utd vs Aldershot Town — National League
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Sutton Utd and Aldershot Town meet in the National League 2026 season on 28 October 2026. Sutton Utd have recorded 10 wins from 23 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 1.35 goals scored and 1.26 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 52% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 43%; and clean sheets in 26% of games. Aldershot Town have won 50% of their 24 matches, with 1.58 goals scored and 1.21 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 58%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.34 for Sutton Utd and 1.35 for Aldershot Town. The models give Sutton Utd a 40% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Aldershot Town win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Sutton Utd | Home | Away | Aldershot Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 74% | 73% | 75% | 83% | 83% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 43% | 47% | 38% | 46% | 50% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 20% | 13% | 13% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 26% | 27% | 25% | 17% | 17% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Sutton Utd | Home | Away | Aldershot Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 74% | 80% | 63% | 71% | 83% | 58% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 43% | 47% | 38% | 29% | 42% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 7% | 13% | 21% | 33% | 8% |
| Clean Sheets | 26% | 20% | 38% | 29% | 17% | 42% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Sutton Utd | Aldershot Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 87% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 17% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 8% |
| BTTS | 52% | 58% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 26% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 35% | 46% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 4% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Sutton Utd | Aldershot Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 43% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 35% | 29% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 48% | 46% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 39% | 46% |
| Win 2nd Half | 26% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 35% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 39% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 48% | 63% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 65% | 46% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 26% | 42% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 16 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | +21 | 35 | |
| 2 | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | +12 | 28 | |
| 3 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | +12 | 27 | |
| 4 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | +17 | 25 | |
| 5 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +9 | 24 | |
| 6 | 13 | 8 | 0 | 5 | +1 | 24 | |
| 7 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +6 | 23 | |
| 8 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 21 | |
| 9 | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | -4 | 21 | |
| 10 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | +7 | 20 | |
| 11 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | +3 | 20 | |
| 12 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | +2 | 18 | |
| 13 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 18 | |
| 14 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | +3 | 17 | |
| 15 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 15 | |
| 16 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 15 | |
| 17 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 15 | |
| 18 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -9 | 14 | |
| 19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -7 | 12 | |
| 20 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | -7 | 12 | |
| 21 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -8 | 12 | |
| 22 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -6 | 10 | |
| 23 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | -22 | 7 | |
| 24 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | -23 | 4 |
Team Insights
- ●Sutton Utd have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Sutton Utd failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Sutton Utd failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Sutton Utd failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Aldershot Town have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Aldershot Town have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Aldershot Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Aldershot Town have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Aldershot Town have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Aldershot Town have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Aldershot Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Aldershot Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Aldershot Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Aldershot Town have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.