AFC Fylde vs AFC Hornchurch — National League
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AFC Fylde and AFC Hornchurch meet in the National League 2026 season on 30 October 2026. AFC Fylde have recorded 9 wins from 20 matches this season (45% win rate), averaging 1.70 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 65% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 70%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. AFC Hornchurch have won 54% of their 24 matches, with 1.50 goals scored and 1.21 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 42%, Over 2.5 at 63%, and clean sheets at 38%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.93 for AFC Fylde and 1.25 for AFC Hornchurch. The models give AFC Fylde a 52% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an AFC Hornchurch win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
AFC Fylde—
AFC Hornchurch7º
Position
9º
1.77
PPG
1.62
54%
Win %
54%
1.85
Goals / game
1.15
1.38
Conceded / game
1.46
65%
BTTS %
42%
20%
Clean sheet %
38%
70%
Over 2.5 %
63%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
AFC Fylde
Home (6)
—
AFC Hornchurch
Away (7)
1.33
PPG
0.86
33%
Win %
29%
1.50
Goals / game
0.86
1.33
Conceded / game
2.43
56%
BTTS %
44%
22%
Clean sheet %
11%
67%
Over 2.5 %
89%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| AFC Fylde | Home | Away | AFC Hornchurch | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 85% | 78% | 91% | 75% | 87% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 60% | 56% | 64% | 50% | 53% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 0% | 36% | 25% | 27% | 22% |
| Failed To Score | 15% | 22% | 9% | 25% | 13% | 44% |
Goals Conceded
| AFC Fylde | Home | Away | AFC Hornchurch | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 78% | 82% | 63% | 47% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 78% | 27% | 29% | 7% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 22% | 18% | 21% | 0% | 56% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 22% | 18% | 38% | 53% | 11% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| AFC Fylde | AFC Hornchurch | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 95% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 17% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 13% |
| BTTS | 65% | 42% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 21% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 8% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 60% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 29% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| AFC Fylde | AFC Hornchurch | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 40% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 35% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 40% | 46% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 65% | 54% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 70% | 38% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 29% |
Recent Venue Form
AFC Fylde (H)W
Scunthorpe2–0
Scunthorpe2–0L
Carlisle0–2
Carlisle0–2L
Altrincham1–2
Altrincham1–2D
Worthing2–2
Worthing2–2W
Forest Green2–0
Forest Green2–0D
Wealdstone2–2
Wealdstone2–2AFC Hornchurch (A)L
Harrogate Town0–3
Harrogate Town0–3LAltrincham0–3
Altrincham0–3LWorthing0–1
Worthing0–1L
FC Halifax Town0–3
FC Halifax Town0–3W
Boston United3–2
Boston United3–2LCarlisle1–4
Carlisle1–4| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boreham Wood | 13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | +21 | 35 |
| 2 | Harrogate Town | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | +12 | 28 |
| 3 |  Southend | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | +12 | 27 |
| 4 |  Yeovil Town | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | +17 | 25 |
| 5 | Worthing | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +9 | 24 |
| 6 | Altrincham | 13 | 8 | 0 | 5 | +1 | 24 |
| 7 | AFC Fylde | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +6 | 23 |
| 8 |  Barrow | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 21 |
| 9 | AFC Hornchurch | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | -4 | 21 |
| 10 | FC Halifax Town | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | +7 | 20 |
| 11 |  Kidderminster Harriers | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | +3 | 20 |
| 12 |  Aldershot Town | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 |  Sutton Utd | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 18 |
| 14 | Carlisle | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | +3 | 17 |
| 15 |  Woking | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 15 |
| 16 | Forest Green | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 15 |
| 17 |  Eastleigh | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 15 |
| 18 |  Tamworth | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -9 | 14 |
| 19 | Wealdstone | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -7 | 12 |
| 20 |  Hartlepool | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | -7 | 12 |
| 21 | Boston United | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -8 | 12 |
| 22 | Scunthorpe | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -6 | 10 |
| 23 |  Solihull Moors | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | -22 | 7 |
| 24 |  Gateshead | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | -23 | 4 |
Team Insights
AFC Fylde- ●AFC Fylde have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●AFC Fylde failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●AFC Fylde failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●AFC Fylde have won 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●AFC Fylde have scored in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●62% of AFC Fylde's goals have been scored away.
- ●65% of AFC Fylde's points have been earned away.
AFC Hornchurch- ●AFC Hornchurch have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●AFC Hornchurch have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●AFC Hornchurch failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●AFC Hornchurch have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●AFC Hornchurch failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●AFC Hornchurch have lost 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●89% of AFC Hornchurch's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
AFC FyldeWHScunthorpe2–0
Scunthorpe2–0LASouthend1–3
Southend1–3LHCarlisle0–2
Carlisle0–2WABoston United1–0
Boston United1–0LHAltrincham1–2
Altrincham1–2WAHarrogate Town2–1
Harrogate Town2–1–ABoreham Wood24/10
Boreham Wood24/10–HHartlepool27/10
Hartlepool27/10–HAFC Hornchurch30/10
AFC Hornchurch30/10AFC HornchurchWHEastleigh2–0
Eastleigh2–0LAHarrogate Town0–3
Harrogate Town0–3WHAldershot Town2–1
Aldershot Town2–1LAAltrincham0–3
Altrincham0–3WHScunthorpe1–0
Scunthorpe1–0LAWorthing0–1
Worthing0–1–AHartlepool24/10
Hartlepool24/10–HYeovil Town27/10
Yeovil Town27/10–AAFC Fylde30/10
AFC Fylde30/10Top Scorers
AFC FyldeL. Thomas6 ⚽
H. Broad4 ⚽
D. Hadley-Allen3 ⚽
J. Morris3 ⚽
G. Olley2 ⚽
D. Mayor2 ⚽
AFC Hornchurch4 ⚽
B. Kelman4 ⚽
H. Hearn4 ⚽
J. Kizzi4 ⚽
G. Alexander3 ⚽
D. Poleon3 ⚽
Cards Given
AFC FyldeT. Whelan5 🟨
C. Whelan3 🟨
H. Broad2 🟨
L. Thomas2 🟨
M. Matthews Lewis2 🟨
T. Upton2 🟨
AFC HornchurchH. Sandat6 🟨
H. Hearn4 🟨
J. Walker3 🟨
T. Dallison2 🟨
A. Rowe2 🟨
T. Wraight2 🟨