Altrincham vs Carlisle — National League
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Altrincham and Carlisle meet in the National League 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Altrincham have recorded 9 wins from 17 matches this season (53% win rate), averaging 1.47 goals scored and 1.53 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 65% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 71%; and clean sheets in 24% of games. Carlisle have won 38% of their 16 matches, with 1.88 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 69%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 19%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.57 for Altrincham and 1.34 for Carlisle. The models give Altrincham a 42% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Carlisle win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Altrincham—
Carlisle6º
Position
14º
1.85
PPG
1.31
62%
Win %
31%
1.54
Goals / game
1.77
1.46
Conceded / game
1.54
65%
BTTS %
69%
24%
Clean sheet %
19%
71%
Over 2.5 %
56%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Altrincham
Home (6)
—
Carlisle
Away (6)
2.50
PPG
1.33
83%
Win %
33%
2.17
Goals / game
1.33
1.17
Conceded / game
1.00
75%
BTTS %
63%
25%
Clean sheet %
25%
88%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Altrincham | Home | Away | Carlisle | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 82% | 100% | 67% | 81% | 75% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 53% | 75% | 33% | 56% | 63% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 12% | 25% | 0% | 31% | 25% | 38% |
| Failed To Score | 18% | 0% | 33% | 19% | 25% | 13% |
Goals Conceded
| Altrincham | Home | Away | Carlisle | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 76% | 75% | 78% | 81% | 88% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 29% | 25% | 33% | 44% | 63% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 24% | 25% | 22% | 13% | 25% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 24% | 25% | 22% | 19% | 13% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Altrincham | Carlisle | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 35% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 | 12% | 31% |
| BTTS | 65% | 69% |
| BTTS & Win | 35% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 6% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 65% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Altrincham | Carlisle | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 41% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 41% | 31% |
| Loss 1st Half | 18% | 19% |
| Scored 1st Half | 76% | 63% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 47% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 35% | 31% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 35% | 44% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 35% | 63% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 53% | 63% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 82% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 47% | 31% |
Recent Venue Form
Altrincham (H)W
Aldershot Town3–1
Aldershot Town3–1W
AFC Hornchurch3–0
AFC Hornchurch3–0W
Hartlepool2–1
Hartlepool2–1W
Eastleigh2–1
Eastleigh2–1W
FC Halifax Town2–1
FC Halifax Town2–1L
Southend1–3
Southend1–3Carlisle (A)WAldershot Town3–1
Aldershot Town3–1W
AFC Fylde2–0
AFC Fylde2–0LEastleigh0–1
Eastleigh0–1L
Boreham Wood1–2
Boreham Wood1–2D
Wealdstone1–1
Wealdstone1–1D
Yeovil Town1–1
Yeovil Town1–1Head to Head · 2 matches
0
Altrincham
0%
0
Draws
0%
2
Carlisle
100%
100%
Over 1.5
2/2
100%
Over 2.5
2/2
50%
Over 3.5
1/2
100%
BTTS
2/2
31/01/26Altrincham
Carlisle
3–1Altrincham20/09/25Carlisle
Altrincham
1–2Carlisle| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | +21 | 35 |
| 2 |  Harrogate Town | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | +12 | 28 |
| 3 | Southend | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | +12 | 27 |
| 4 | Yeovil Town | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | +17 | 25 |
| 5 |  Worthing | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +9 | 24 |
| 6 | Altrincham | 13 | 8 | 0 | 5 | +1 | 24 |
| 7 | AFC Fylde | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +6 | 23 |
| 8 |  Barrow | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 21 |
| 9 | AFC Hornchurch | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | -4 | 21 |
| 10 | FC Halifax Town | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | +7 | 20 |
| 11 |  Kidderminster Harriers | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | +3 | 20 |
| 12 | Aldershot Town | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 |  Sutton Utd | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 18 |
| 14 | Carlisle | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | +3 | 17 |
| 15 |  Woking | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 15 |
| 16 |  Forest Green | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 15 |
| 17 | Eastleigh | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 15 |
| 18 |  Tamworth | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -9 | 14 |
| 19 | Wealdstone | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -7 | 12 |
| 20 | Hartlepool | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | -7 | 12 |
| 21 |  Boston United | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -8 | 12 |
| 22 |  Scunthorpe | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -6 | 10 |
| 23 |  Solihull Moors | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | -22 | 7 |
| 24 |  Gateshead | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | -23 | 4 |
Team Insights
Altrincham- ●Altrincham have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Altrincham have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●Altrincham have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Altrincham have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Altrincham failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Altrincham have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Altrincham failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Altrincham have won 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Altrincham have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●65% of Altrincham's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Altrincham have scored 60% of their goals in the first half.
Carlisle- ●Carlisle have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Carlisle have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Carlisle have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Carlisle failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Carlisle have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Carlisle failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Carlisle have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●65% of Carlisle's goals have been scored at home.
- ●70% of Carlisle's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Season Schedule
AltrinchamWHAldershot Town3–1
Aldershot Town3–1LABoreham Wood1–3
Boreham Wood1–3WAGateshead1–0
Gateshead1–0WHAFC Hornchurch3–0
AFC Hornchurch3–0WAAFC Fylde2–1
AFC Fylde2–1WHHartlepool2–1
Hartlepool2–1–AYeovil Town24/10
Yeovil Town24/10–HKidderminster Harriers27/10
Kidderminster Harriers27/10–HCarlisle31/10
Carlisle31/10CarlisleDHKidderminster Harriers0–0
Kidderminster Harriers0–0WAAldershot Town3–1
Aldershot Town3–1WAAFC Fylde2–0
AFC Fylde2–0LHWoking2–5
Woking2–5LAEastleigh0–1
Eastleigh0–1DHForest Green1–1
Forest Green1–1–ASolihull Moors24/10
Solihull Moors24/10–HHarrogate Town28/10
Harrogate Town28/10–AAltrincham31/10
Altrincham31/10Top Scorers
AltrinchamJ. Knowles7 ⚽
T. Crawford4 ⚽
A. Barlow3 ⚽
K. Hemmings2 ⚽
K. Reddin1 ⚽
C. Kirk1 ⚽
CarlisleR. Linney5 ⚽
H. Bunker4 ⚽
G. Kelly4 ⚽
D. Ajiboye3 ⚽
M. Azeez3 ⚽
2 ⚽
Cards Given
AltrinchamM. Kosylo6 🟨
J. Cooper5 🟨
O. Khan4 🟨
L. Banks4 🟨
K. Hemmings2 🟨
S. Barnes1 🟨
CarlisleR. Linney4 🟨
M. Azeez3 🟨
M. Feeney3 🟨
J. Ellis3 🟨
B. Nicholson3 🟨
A. Desbois2 🟨