Worthing vs Sutton Utd — National League
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Worthing and Sutton Utd meet in the National League 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Worthing have recorded 11 wins from 23 matches this season (48% win rate), averaging 1.83 goals scored and 1.17 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 70% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 70%; and clean sheets in 30% of games. Sutton Utd have won 43% of their 23 matches, with 1.35 goals scored and 1.26 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 52%, Over 2.5 at 43%, and clean sheets at 26%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.64 for Worthing and 1.18 for Sutton Utd. The models give Worthing a 52% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Sutton Utd win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Worthing—
Sutton Utd5º
Position
13º
1.85
PPG
1.38
54%
Win %
38%
2.08
Goals / game
1.08
1.38
Conceded / game
1.38
70%
BTTS %
52%
30%
Clean sheet %
26%
70%
Over 2.5 %
43%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Worthing
Home (7)
—
Sutton Utd
Away (6)
1.86
PPG
1.33
57%
Win %
33%
2.00
Goals / game
1.00
1.14
Conceded / game
1.17
54%
BTTS %
38%
46%
Clean sheet %
38%
69%
Over 2.5 %
38%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Worthing | Home | Away | Sutton Utd | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 96% | 92% | 100% | 74% | 73% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 57% | 46% | 70% | 43% | 47% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 22% | 15% | 30% | 17% | 20% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 4% | 8% | 0% | 26% | 27% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Worthing | Home | Away | Sutton Utd | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 70% | 54% | 90% | 74% | 80% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 39% | 38% | 40% | 43% | 47% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 8% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 46% | 10% | 26% | 20% | 38% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Worthing | Sutton Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 87% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 | 35% | 17% |
| Over 4.5 | 17% | 13% |
| BTTS | 70% | 52% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 26% | 26% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 57% | 35% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Worthing | Sutton Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 65% | 43% |
| Draw 1st Half | 26% | 35% |
| Loss 1st Half | 9% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 78% | 48% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 30% | 39% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 26% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 35% | 35% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 35% | 39% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 48% | 48% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 48% | 65% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 87% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 35% | 26% |
Recent Venue Form
Worthing (H)L
Ipswich Town U211–2
Ipswich Town U211–2W
Solihull Moors5–0
Solihull Moors5–0W
FC Halifax Town2–1
FC Halifax Town2–1W
AFC Hornchurch1–0
AFC Hornchurch1–0D
Barrow2–2
Barrow2–2D
Norwich City U210–0
Norwich City U210–0Sutton Utd (A)D
Kidderminster Harriers1–1
Kidderminster Harriers1–1L
Tamworth0–2
Tamworth0–2DFC Halifax Town1–1
FC Halifax Town1–1LBarrow0–3
Barrow0–3W
Gateshead1–0
Gateshead1–0W
Woking3–0
Woking3–0Head to Head · 2 matches
0
Worthing
0%
1
Draws
50%
1
Sutton Utd
50%
100%
Over 1.5
2/2
100%
Over 2.5
2/2
100%
Over 3.5
2/2
100%
BTTS
2/2
24/01/17Worthing
Sutton Utd
3–2Worthing14/01/17Sutton Utd
Worthing
2–2Sutton Utd| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boreham Wood | 13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | +21 | 35 |
| 2 |  Harrogate Town | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | +12 | 28 |
| 3 |  Southend | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | +12 | 27 |
| 4 |  Yeovil Town | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | +17 | 25 |
| 5 | Worthing | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +9 | 24 |
| 6 |  Altrincham | 13 | 8 | 0 | 5 | +1 | 24 |
| 7 |  AFC Fylde | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +6 | 23 |
| 8 | Barrow | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 21 |
| 9 | AFC Hornchurch | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | -4 | 21 |
| 10 | FC Halifax Town | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | +7 | 20 |
| 11 | Kidderminster Harriers | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | +3 | 20 |
| 12 |  Aldershot Town | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 | Sutton Utd | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 18 |
| 14 |  Carlisle | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | +3 | 17 |
| 15 | Woking | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 15 |
| 16 |  Forest Green | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 15 |
| 17 |  Eastleigh | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 15 |
| 18 | Tamworth | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -9 | 14 |
| 19 |  Wealdstone | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -7 | 12 |
| 20 |  Hartlepool | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | -7 | 12 |
| 21 |  Boston United | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -8 | 12 |
| 22 |  Scunthorpe | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -6 | 10 |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | -22 | 7 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | -23 | 4 |
Team Insights
Worthing- ●Worthing have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Worthing have scored in each of their last 13 matches.
- ●Worthing have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Worthing have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Worthing have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Worthing failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Worthing have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Worthing have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Worthing have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Worthing failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Worthing have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Worthing have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
Sutton Utd- ●Sutton Utd have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Sutton Utd failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Sutton Utd failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Sutton Utd failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
Season Schedule
WorthingWHSolihull Moors5–0
Solihull Moors5–0WAGateshead2–1
Gateshead2–1DAYeovil Town1–1
Yeovil Town1–1WHFC Halifax Town2–1
FC Halifax Town2–1WAHartlepool3–1
Hartlepool3–1WHAFC Hornchurch1–0
AFC Hornchurch1–0–AKidderminster Harriers24/10
Kidderminster Harriers24/10–HSouthend27/10
Southend27/10–HSutton Utd31/10
Sutton Utd31/10Sutton UtdLHBoreham Wood0–2
Boreham Wood0–2DAKidderminster Harriers1–1
Kidderminster Harriers1–1LATamworth0–2
Tamworth0–2DHForest Green3–3
Forest Green3–3DAFC Halifax Town1–1
FC Halifax Town1–1WHEastleigh2–1
Eastleigh2–1–AHarrogate Town24/10
Harrogate Town24/10–HAldershot Town28/10
Aldershot Town28/10–AWorthing31/10
Worthing31/10Top Scorers
WorthingR. Coleman De-Graft6 ⚽
D. Hutchinson6 ⚽
R. Aguiar5 ⚽
C. Adjetey-Brew3 ⚽
J. Marquez3 ⚽
O. Godziemski2 ⚽
Sutton UtdT. Babalola7 ⚽
D. Ogbonna5 ⚽
S. Folarin4 ⚽
O. Mussa4 ⚽
E. Osadebe3 ⚽
C. Carter2 ⚽
Cards Given
WorthingJ. Wadham4 🟨
S. Packham3 🟨
J. Moore3 🟨
R. Aguiar3 🟨
D. Hutchinson3 🟨
J. Marquez2 🟨
Sutton UtdS. Folarin4 🟨
J. Taylor4 🟨
J. Knight3 🟨
D. Urpens3 🟨
E. Osadebe3 🟨
T. Babalola3 🟨