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AFC Hornchurch vs Tamworth — National League

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England · National League · Regular Season - 17
AFC Hornchurch
AFC Hornchurch
9º · 1.62 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 28d 1h
vs
–
–
Tamworth
Tamworth
18º · 1.08 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 28d 1h
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AFC Hornchurch and Tamworth meet in the National League 2026 season on 14 November 2026. AFC Hornchurch have recorded 14 wins from 25 matches this season (56% win rate), averaging 1.60 goals scored and 1.16 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 40% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 64%; and clean sheets in 40% of games. Tamworth have won 40% of their 25 matches, with 1.80 goals scored and 2.12 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 84%, Over 2.5 at 84%, and clean sheets at 12%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.06 for AFC Hornchurch and 1.08 for Tamworth. The models give AFC Hornchurch a 57% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Tamworth win at 20%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 57%.

Season Statistics

AFC Hornchurch
—
Tamworth
9º
Position
18º
1.62
PPG
1.08
54%
Win %
31%
1.15
Goals / game
1.62
1.46
Conceded / game
2.31
40%
BTTS %
84%
40%
Clean sheet %
12%
64%
Over 2.5 %
84%
0.0
Avg corners
1.0
0.0
Avg shots
8.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
2.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
3.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
38.0%

Home vs Away

AFC Hornchurch
Home (6)
—
Tamworth
Away (7)
2.50
PPG
0.57
83%
Win %
14%
1.50
Goals / game
1.43
0.33
Conceded / game
3.00
40%
BTTS %
83%
53%
Clean sheet %
8%
47%
Over 2.5 %
92%
0.0
Avg corners
1.0
0.0
Avg shots
8.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
2.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
3.0
0.0%
Avg possession
38.0%

Goals Scored

AFC HornchurchHomeAwayTamworthHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored76%87%60%96%100%92%
Over 1.5 Scored52%53%50%48%54%42%
Over 2.5 Scored28%27%30%24%23%25%
Failed To Score24%13%40%4%0%8%

Goals Conceded

AFC HornchurchHomeAwayTamworthHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded60%47%80%88%85%92%
Over 1.5 Conceded28%7%60%68%54%83%
Over 2.5 Conceded20%0%50%36%15%58%
Clean Sheets40%53%20%12%15%8%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

AFC HornchurchTamworth
Over 0.596%100%
Over 1.580%92%
Over 2.564%84%
Over 3.520%60%
Over 4.512%32%
BTTS40%84%
BTTS & Win20%28%
BTTS & Draw8%16%
BTTS & Over 2.532%80%
BTTS No & Over 2.532%4%

1st Half / 2nd Half

AFC HornchurchTamworth
Win 1st Half36%36%
Draw 1st Half32%28%
Loss 1st Half32%36%
Scored 1st Half52%60%
Conceded 1st Half48%60%
Win 2nd Half48%36%
Draw 2nd Half28%32%
Loss 2nd Half24%32%
Scored 2nd Half56%68%
Conceded 2nd Half36%68%
Over 0.5 HT80%88%
Over 1.5 HT32%48%

Recent Venue Form

AFC Hornchurch (H)
WEastleigh2–0
DFulham U211–1
WAldershot Town2–1
WScunthorpe1–0
WIpswich Town U213–0
LForest Green0–1
Tamworth (A)
LCarlisle1–2
WHartlepool1–0
LAldershot Town1–5
LSouthend1–3
LHarrogate Town1–3
LYeovil Town2–3

Team Corners

Team CornersAFC HornchurchTamworth
Corners Earned / Match0.01.0
Corners Against / Match0.011.0
Over 2.5 Corners For0%0%
Over 3.5 Corners For0%0%
Over 4.5 Corners For0%0%
Over 2.5 Corners Against0%100%
Over 3.5 Corners Against0%100%
Over 4.5 Corners Against0%100%
National League
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Boreham Wood131120+2135
2Harrogate Town13913+1228
3Southend13832+1227
4Yeovil Town13742+1725
5Worthing13733+924
6Altrincham13805+124
7AFC Fylde13724+623
8Barrow13634+621
9AFC Hornchurch13706-421
10FC Halifax Town13625+720
11Kidderminster Harriers13553+320
12Aldershot Town13535+218
13Sutton Utd13535-418
14Carlisle13454+317
15Woking13436015
16Forest Green12435-315
17Eastleigh13436-615
18Tamworth13427-914
19Wealdstone13337-712
20Hartlepool13409-712
21Boston United13337-812
22Scunthorpe12318-610
23Solihull Moors132110-227
24Gateshead131111-234

Team Insights

AFC Hornchurch
  • ●AFC Hornchurch have won their last 3 home matches.
  • ●AFC Hornchurch have lost their last 4 away matches.
  • ●AFC Hornchurch failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
  • ●AFC Hornchurch have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●AFC Hornchurch failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●AFC Hornchurch have lost 5 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●89% of AFC Hornchurch's goals conceded were conceded away.
Tamworth
  • ●Tamworth have scored in each of their last 13 matches.
  • ●Tamworth have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
  • ●Tamworth have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
  • ●Tamworth failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Tamworth have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Tamworth failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●Tamworth have lost 5 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●Tamworth have scored in 7 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●70% of Tamworth's goals conceded were conceded away.
AFC HornchurchAFC Hornchurch
WAUxbridge4–0
WHEastleigh17º2–0
DHFulham U211–1
LAHarrogate Town2º0–3
WHAldershot Town12º2–1
LAAltrincham6º0–3
WHScunthorpe22º1–0
LAWorthing5º0–1
LAFC Halifax Town10º0–3
WHIpswich Town U213–0
TamworthTamworth
LACarlisle1–2
LHBarrow8º1–2
WHLeeds United U211–0
WAHartlepool20º1–0
WHSutton Utd13º2–0
LAAldershot Town12º1–5
WHWealdstone19º2–1
LASouthend3º1–3
LAHarrogate Town2º1–3
LHMiddlesbrough U211–3

Season Schedule

AFC Hornchurch
WHEastleigh2–0
LAHarrogate Town0–3
WHAldershot Town2–1
LAAltrincham0–3
WHScunthorpe1–0
LAWorthing0–1
–AHartlepool24/10
–HYeovil Town27/10
–AAFC Fylde30/10
Tamworth
LHBarrow1–2
WAHartlepool1–0
WHSutton Utd2–0
LAAldershot Town1–5
WHWealdstone2–1
LASouthend1–3
–AGateshead23/10
–HScunthorpe27/10
–HWoking31/10

Top Scorers

AFC Hornchurch
4 ⚽
B. Kelman4 ⚽
H. Hearn4 ⚽
J. Kizzi4 ⚽
D. Poleon3 ⚽
G. Alexander3 ⚽
Tamworth
K. Donnelly10 ⚽
J. Hutchinson5 ⚽
T. Kurtaran4 ⚽
D. Creaney4 ⚽
N. Tshikuna3 ⚽
T. McGlinchey3 ⚽

Cards Given

AFC Hornchurch
H. Sandat6 🟨
H. Hearn4 🟨
J. Walker3 🟨
T. Dallison2 🟨
A. Rowe2 🟨
T. Wraight2 🟨
Tamworth
J. Rye4 🟨
T. Kurtaran3 🟨
K. Donnelly3 🟨
J. Cullinane-Liburd3 🟨
L. Fairlamb3 🟨
3 🟨