AFC Hornchurch vs Sutton Utd — National League
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AFC Hornchurch and Sutton Utd meet in the National League 2026 season on 24 November 2026. AFC Hornchurch have recorded 15 wins from 29 matches this season (52% win rate), averaging 1.55 goals scored and 1.24 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 45% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 66%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Sutton Utd have won 46% of their 28 matches, with 1.36 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 46%, Over 2.5 at 43%, and clean sheets at 36%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.47 for AFC Hornchurch and 1.07 for Sutton Utd. The models give AFC Hornchurch a 46% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Sutton Utd win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
AFC Hornchurch—
Sutton Utd15º
Position
11º
1.31
PPG
1.50
44%
Win %
44%
1.13
Goals / game
1.25
1.63
Conceded / game
1.31
45%
BTTS %
46%
38%
Clean sheet %
36%
66%
Over 2.5 %
43%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
AFC Hornchurch
Home (7)
—
Sutton Utd
Away (8)
2.14
PPG
1.38
71%
Win %
38%
1.43
Goals / game
1.25
0.57
Conceded / game
1.25
41%
BTTS %
40%
53%
Clean sheet %
40%
47%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| AFC Hornchurch | Home | Away | Sutton Utd | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 79% | 88% | 67% | 75% | 72% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 48% | 53% | 42% | 43% | 44% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 24% | 24% | 25% | 18% | 17% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 12% | 33% | 25% | 28% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| AFC Hornchurch | Home | Away | Sutton Utd | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 62% | 47% | 83% | 64% | 67% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 34% | 12% | 67% | 39% | 39% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 21% | 0% | 50% | 11% | 6% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 53% | 17% | 36% | 33% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| AFC Hornchurch | Sutton Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 | 66% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 | 21% | 18% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 11% |
| BTTS | 45% | 46% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 18% |
| BTTS & Draw | 7% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 32% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 28% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| AFC Hornchurch | Sutton Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 31% | 46% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 32% |
| Loss 1st Half | 31% | 21% |
| Scored 1st Half | 48% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 45% | 36% |
| Win 2nd Half | 45% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 24% | 43% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 31% | 32% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 59% | 43% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 41% | 54% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 72% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 31% | 32% |
Recent Venue Form
AFC Hornchurch (H)W
West Ham United U212–0
West Ham United U212–0L
Yeovil Town1–2
Yeovil Town1–2W
Eastleigh2–0
Eastleigh2–0D
Fulham U211–1
Fulham U211–1W
Aldershot Town2–1
Aldershot Town2–1W
Scunthorpe1–0
Scunthorpe1–0Sutton Utd (A)W
Worthing3–0
Worthing3–0L
Harrogate Town1–3
Harrogate Town1–3D
Kidderminster Harriers1–1
Kidderminster Harriers1–1L
Tamworth0–2
Tamworth0–2D
FC Halifax Town1–1
FC Halifax Town1–1L
Barrow0–3
Barrow0–3Head to Head · 1 matches
0
AFC Hornchurch
0%
0
Draws
0%
1
Sutton Utd
100%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
100%
Over 2.5
1/1
0%
Over 3.5
0/1
0%
BTTS
0/1
16/07/24Sutton Utd
AFC Hornchurch
0–3Sutton Utd| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boreham Wood | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | +27 | 44 |
| 2 | Harrogate Town | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | +11 | 32 |
| 3 |  Southend | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | +11 | 29 |
| 4 |  AFC Fylde | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | +6 | 29 |
| 5 | Yeovil Town | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | +15 | 28 |
| 6 | Worthing | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | +7 | 28 |
| 7 |  Altrincham | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 28 |
| 8 |  Carlisle | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | +9 | 26 |
| 9 | Barrow | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | +7 | 25 |
| 10 | FC Halifax Town | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | +8 | 24 |
| 11 | Sutton Utd | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | -1 | 24 |
| 12 |  Woking | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | +1 | 21 |
| 13 | Kidderminster Harriers | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 21 |
| 14 | Aldershot Town | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 21 |
| 15 | AFC Hornchurch | 16 | 7 | 0 | 9 | -8 | 21 |
| 16 |  Forest Green | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 | Eastleigh | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -6 | 19 |
| 18 |  Wealdstone | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | -6 | 18 |
| 19 |  Boston United | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | -8 | 18 |
| 20 | Tamworth | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | -7 | 17 |
| 21 |  Hartlepool | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | -9 | 15 |
| 22 |  Solihull Moors | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | -21 | 13 |
| 23 | Scunthorpe | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | -11 | 10 |
| 24 |  Gateshead | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | -25 | 4 |
Team Insights
AFC Hornchurch- ●AFC Hornchurch have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●AFC Hornchurch have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●AFC Hornchurch have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●AFC Hornchurch have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●AFC Hornchurch have lost their last 6 away matches.
- ●AFC Hornchurch failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 away matches.
- ●AFC Hornchurch have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●AFC Hornchurch have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 7 home matches.
- ●AFC Hornchurch have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●AFC Hornchurch failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 9 away matches.
- ●AFC Hornchurch have lost 7 of their 9 away matches.
- ●85% of AFC Hornchurch's goals conceded were conceded away.
Sutton Utd- ●Sutton Utd have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Sutton Utd have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Sutton Utd failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Sutton Utd have won 3 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Sutton Utd have scored in 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Sutton Utd have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
AFC HornchurchLAAFC Fylde1–3
AFC Fylde1–3LHYeovil Town1–2
Yeovil Town1–2LAHartlepool1–2
Hartlepool1–2WHEastleigh2–0
Eastleigh2–0LAHarrogate Town0–3
Harrogate Town0–3WHAldershot Town2–1
Aldershot Town2–1–HTamworth14/11
Tamworth14/11–AWealdstone21/11
Wealdstone21/11–HSutton Utd24/11
Sutton Utd24/11Sutton UtdWAWorthing3–0
Worthing3–0WHAldershot Town2–0
Aldershot Town2–0LAHarrogate Town1–3
Harrogate Town1–3LHBoreham Wood0–2
Boreham Wood0–2DAKidderminster Harriers1–1
Kidderminster Harriers1–1LATamworth0–2
Tamworth0–2–HSolihull Moors14/11
Solihull Moors14/11–HBoston United21/11
Boston United21/11–AAFC Hornchurch24/11
AFC Hornchurch24/11Top Scorers
AFC HornchurchH. Hearn5 ⚽
J. Kizzi4 ⚽
C. Pegrum4 ⚽
D. Poleon4 ⚽
B. Kelman4 ⚽
4 ⚽
Sutton UtdT. Babalola8 ⚽
D. Ogbonna6 ⚽
O. Mussa5 ⚽
E. Osadebe4 ⚽
C. Carter4 ⚽
S. Folarin4 ⚽
Cards Given
AFC HornchurchH. Sandat6 🟨
H. Hearn4 🟨
J. Walker3 🟨
T. Wraight3 🟨
F. Edwards2 🟨
A. Rowe2 🟨
Sutton UtdJ. Knight6 🟨
J. Taylor6 🟨
T. Babalola4 🟨
D. Urpens4 🟨
S. Folarin4 🟨
E. Osadebe3 🟨