Altrincham vs Worthing — National League
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Altrincham and Worthing meet in the National League 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Altrincham have recorded 11 wins from 22 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.59 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 64% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 68%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Worthing have won 46% of their 28 matches, with 1.75 goals scored and 1.36 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 68%, Over 2.5 at 75%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.69 for Altrincham and 1.61 for Worthing. The models give Altrincham a 41% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Worthing win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 64% and BTTS at 66%.
Season Statistics
Altrincham—
Worthing7º
Position
6º
1.75
PPG
1.75
56%
Win %
50%
1.50
Goals / game
2.00
1.50
Conceded / game
1.56
64%
BTTS %
68%
27%
Clean sheet %
25%
68%
Over 2.5 %
75%
7.5
Avg corners
0.0
21.5
Avg shots
0.0
9.5
Avg shots on target
0.0
1.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
69.5%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Altrincham
Home (8)
—
Worthing
Away (7)
2.00
PPG
2.00
63%
Win %
57%
1.88
Goals / game
2.14
1.38
Conceded / game
1.57
64%
BTTS %
83%
36%
Clean sheet %
8%
73%
Over 2.5 %
75%
7.5
Avg corners
0.0
21.5
Avg shots
0.0
9.5
Avg shots on target
0.0
1.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
69.5%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Altrincham | Home | Away | Worthing | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 77% | 82% | 73% | 89% | 88% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 55% | 64% | 45% | 57% | 50% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 18% | 9% | 21% | 19% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 23% | 18% | 27% | 11% | 13% | 8% |
Goals Conceded
| Altrincham | Home | Away | Worthing | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 64% | 82% | 75% | 63% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 32% | 27% | 36% | 43% | 44% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 23% | 27% | 18% | 18% | 19% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 36% | 18% | 25% | 38% | 8% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Altrincham | Worthing | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 68% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 68% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 | 36% | 32% |
| Over 4.5 | 18% | 18% |
| BTTS | 64% | 68% |
| BTTS & Win | 36% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 5% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 64% | 57% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 18% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Altrincham | Worthing | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 36% | 57% |
| Draw 1st Half | 45% | 25% |
| Loss 1st Half | 18% | 18% |
| Scored 1st Half | 68% | 68% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 36% |
| Win 2nd Half | 32% | 32% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 32% | 32% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 41% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 77% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 45% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
Altrincham (H)L
Carlisle2–4
Carlisle2–4D
Kidderminster Harriers0–0
Kidderminster Harriers0–0D
United of Manchester0–0
United of Manchester0–0W
Aldershot Town3–1
Aldershot Town3–1W
AFC Hornchurch3–0
AFC Hornchurch3–0W
Hartlepool2–1
Hartlepool2–1Worthing (A)WKidderminster Harriers2–1
Kidderminster Harriers2–1L
Wealdstone0–3
Wealdstone0–3W
Gateshead2–1
Gateshead2–1D
Yeovil Town1–1
Yeovil Town1–1WHartlepool3–1
Hartlepool3–1D
AFC Fylde2–2
AFC Fylde2–2Team Corners
| Team Corners | Altrincham | Worthing |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 7.5 | 0.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 2.0 | 0.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 50% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boreham Wood | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | +27 | 44 |
| 2 |  Harrogate Town | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | +11 | 32 |
| 3 |  Southend | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | +11 | 29 |
| 4 | AFC Fylde | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | +6 | 29 |
| 5 | Yeovil Town | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | +15 | 28 |
| 6 | Worthing | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | +7 | 28 |
| 7 | Altrincham | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 28 |
| 8 | Carlisle | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | +9 | 26 |
| 9 |  Barrow | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | +7 | 25 |
| 10 |  FC Halifax Town | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | +8 | 24 |
| 11 |  Sutton Utd | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | -1 | 24 |
| 12 |  Woking | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | +1 | 21 |
| 13 | Kidderminster Harriers | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 21 |
| 14 | Aldershot Town | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 21 |
| 15 | AFC Hornchurch | 16 | 7 | 0 | 9 | -8 | 21 |
| 16 |  Forest Green | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 |  Eastleigh | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -6 | 19 |
| 18 | Wealdstone | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | -6 | 18 |
| 19 |  Boston United | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | -8 | 18 |
| 20 |  Tamworth | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | -7 | 17 |
| 21 | Hartlepool | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | -9 | 15 |
| 22 |  Solihull Moors | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | -21 | 13 |
| 23 |  Scunthorpe | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | -11 | 10 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | -25 | 4 |
Team Insights
Altrincham- ●Altrincham have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Altrincham failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Altrincham have scored in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Altrincham failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Altrincham have won 4 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Altrincham have scored in 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●63% of Altrincham's goals have been scored at home.
Worthing- ●Worthing have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Worthing failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Worthing have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Worthing failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 9 home matches.
- ●Worthing have scored in 8 of their 9 home matches.
- ●Worthing failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Worthing have won 4 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Worthing have scored in 7 of their 7 away matches.
Season Schedule
AltrinchamLHCarlisle2–4
Carlisle2–4DHKidderminster Harriers0–0
Kidderminster Harriers0–0WAYeovil Town2–1
Yeovil Town2–1WHAldershot Town3–1
Aldershot Town3–1LABoreham Wood1–3
Boreham Wood1–3WAGateshead1–0
Gateshead1–0–AHarrogate Town14/11
Harrogate Town14/11–ASolihull Moors21/11
Solihull Moors21/11–HWealdstone24/11
Wealdstone24/11WorthingLHSutton Utd0–3
Sutton Utd0–3DHSouthend3–3
Southend3–3WAKidderminster Harriers2–1
Kidderminster Harriers2–1WHSolihull Moors5–0
Solihull Moors5–0WAGateshead2–1
Gateshead2–1DAYeovil Town1–1
Yeovil Town1–1–AScunthorpe14/11
Scunthorpe14/11–HHarrogate Town21/11
Harrogate Town21/11–AWoking24/11
Woking24/11Top Scorers
AltrinchamJ. Knowles7 ⚽
T. Crawford4 ⚽
A. Barlow3 ⚽
L. Weaver3 ⚽
Aidan Barlow2 ⚽
K. Hemmings2 ⚽
WorthingR. Coleman De-Graft7 ⚽
D. Hutchinson6 ⚽
C. Adjetey-Brew5 ⚽
R. Aguiar5 ⚽
J. Marquez3 ⚽
J. Wadham2 ⚽
Cards Given
AltrinchamM. Kosylo7 🟨
O. Khan5 🟨
J. Cooper5 🟨
L. Banks5 🟨
J. Hinchy3 🟨
K. Hemmings2 🟨
WorthingJ. Wadham4 🟨
J. Moore4 🟨
R. Aguiar3 🟨
J. Cook3 🟨
D. Hutchinson3 🟨
S. Packham3 🟨