Gateshead vs AFC Hornchurch — National League
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Gateshead and AFC Hornchurch meet in the National League 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Gateshead have recorded 3 wins from 27 matches this season (11% win rate), averaging 1.04 goals scored and 2.07 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 59% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 59%; and clean sheets in 11% of games. AFC Hornchurch have won 52% of their 29 matches, with 1.55 goals scored and 1.24 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 45%, Over 2.5 at 66%, and clean sheets at 38%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.67 for Gateshead and 1.40 for AFC Hornchurch. The models give Gateshead a 38% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an AFC Hornchurch win at 37%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
Gateshead—
AFC Hornchurch24º
Position
15º
0.27
PPG
1.31
7%
Win %
44%
0.60
Goals / game
1.13
2.27
Conceded / game
1.63
59%
BTTS %
45%
11%
Clean sheet %
38%
59%
Over 2.5 %
66%
5.5
Avg corners
0.0
8.5
Avg shots
0.0
5.5
Avg shots on target
0.0
1.5
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
52.5%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Gateshead
Home (6)
—
AFC Hornchurch
Away (9)
0.67
PPG
0.67
17%
Win %
22%
0.83
Goals / game
0.89
1.83
Conceded / game
2.44
69%
BTTS %
50%
15%
Clean sheet %
17%
38%
Over 2.5 %
92%
5.5
Avg corners
0.0
8.5
Avg shots
0.0
5.5
Avg shots on target
0.0
1.5
Avg yellow cards
0.0
52.5%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Gateshead | Home | Away | AFC Hornchurch | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 77% | 57% | 79% | 88% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 15% | 15% | 14% | 48% | 53% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 8% | 14% | 24% | 24% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 23% | 43% | 21% | 12% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Gateshead | Home | Away | AFC Hornchurch | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 89% | 85% | 93% | 62% | 47% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 52% | 31% | 71% | 34% | 12% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 33% | 23% | 43% | 21% | 0% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 11% | 15% | 7% | 38% | 53% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Gateshead | AFC Hornchurch | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 97% |
| Over 1.5 | 81% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 66% |
| Over 3.5 | 37% | 21% |
| Over 4.5 | 22% | 10% |
| BTTS | 59% | 45% |
| BTTS & Win | 4% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 7% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 41% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 19% | 28% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Gateshead | AFC Hornchurch | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 31% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 48% | 31% |
| Scored 1st Half | 30% | 48% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 56% | 45% |
| Win 2nd Half | 22% | 45% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 37% | 24% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 41% | 31% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 48% | 59% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 63% | 41% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 31% |
Recent Venue Form
Gateshead (H)W
Stoke City U213–1
Stoke City U213–1D
Stafford Rangers1–1
Stafford Rangers1–1D
Wolves U210–0
Wolves U210–0L
Worthing1–2
Worthing1–2L
Altrincham0–1
Altrincham0–1L
Southend1–6
Southend1–6AFC Hornchurch (A)L
AFC Fylde1–3
AFC Fylde1–3L
Hartlepool1–2
Hartlepool1–2W
Uxbridge4–0
Uxbridge4–0L
Harrogate Town0–3
Harrogate Town0–3LAltrincham0–3
Altrincham0–3LWorthing0–1
Worthing0–1Team Corners
| Team Corners | Gateshead | AFC Hornchurch |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.5 | 0.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.0 | 0.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 50% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 50% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 50% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 0% |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boreham Wood | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | +27 | 44 |
| 2 | Harrogate Town | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | +11 | 32 |
| 3 | Southend | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | +11 | 29 |
| 4 | AFC Fylde | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | +6 | 29 |
| 5 |  Yeovil Town | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | +15 | 28 |
| 6 | Worthing | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | +7 | 28 |
| 7 | Altrincham | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 28 |
| 8 |  Carlisle | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | +9 | 26 |
| 9 |  Barrow | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | +7 | 25 |
| 10 |  FC Halifax Town | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | +8 | 24 |
| 11 |  Sutton Utd | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | -1 | 24 |
| 12 |  Woking | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | +1 | 21 |
| 13 |  Kidderminster Harriers | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 21 |
| 14 |  Aldershot Town | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 21 |
| 15 | AFC Hornchurch | 16 | 7 | 0 | 9 | -8 | 21 |
| 16 |  Forest Green | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 |  Eastleigh | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -6 | 19 |
| 18 |  Wealdstone | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | -6 | 18 |
| 19 |  Boston United | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | -8 | 18 |
| 20 |  Tamworth | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | -7 | 17 |
| 21 | Hartlepool | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | -9 | 15 |
| 22 |  Solihull Moors | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | -21 | 13 |
| 23 |  Scunthorpe | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | -11 | 10 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | -25 | 4 |
Team Insights
Gateshead- ●Gateshead have failed to win in their last 13 matches.
- ●Gateshead have lost their last 9 matches.
- ●Gateshead failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 13 matches.
- ●Gateshead have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Gateshead have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Gateshead failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Gateshead have lost their last 9 away matches.
- ●Gateshead failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 away matches.
- ●Gateshead failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Gateshead have lost 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Gateshead failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 9 away matches.
- ●Gateshead have lost 9 of their 9 away matches.
- ●68% of Gateshead's goals conceded were conceded away.
AFC Hornchurch- ●AFC Hornchurch have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●AFC Hornchurch have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●AFC Hornchurch have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●AFC Hornchurch have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●AFC Hornchurch have lost their last 6 away matches.
- ●AFC Hornchurch failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 away matches.
- ●AFC Hornchurch have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●AFC Hornchurch have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 7 home matches.
- ●AFC Hornchurch have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●AFC Hornchurch failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 9 away matches.
- ●AFC Hornchurch have lost 7 of their 9 away matches.
- ●85% of AFC Hornchurch's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
GatesheadLAAldershot Town0–1
Aldershot Town0–1LABoston United1–2
Boston United1–2LAFC Halifax Town1–4
FC Halifax Town1–4LHWorthing1–2
Worthing1–2LHAltrincham0–1
Altrincham0–1LAWealdstone0–4
Wealdstone0–4–HBarrow14/11
Barrow14/11–HHartlepool21/11
Hartlepool21/11–AScunthorpe24/11
Scunthorpe24/11AFC HornchurchLAAFC Fylde1–3
AFC Fylde1–3LHYeovil Town1–2
Yeovil Town1–2LAHartlepool1–2
Hartlepool1–2WHEastleigh2–0
Eastleigh2–0LAHarrogate Town0–3
Harrogate Town0–3WHAldershot Town2–1
Aldershot Town2–1–HTamworth14/11
Tamworth14/11–AWealdstone21/11
Wealdstone21/11–HSutton Utd24/11
Sutton Utd24/11Top Scorers
GatesheadA. Boatswain3 ⚽
J. Hiwula2 ⚽
J. Anifowose2 ⚽
D. Eguaibor2 ⚽
F. Issaka2 ⚽
L. Supyk2 ⚽
AFC HornchurchH. Hearn5 ⚽
J. Kizzi4 ⚽
C. Pegrum4 ⚽
D. Poleon4 ⚽
B. Kelman4 ⚽
4 ⚽
Cards Given
GatesheadJ. Robinson5 🟨
A. Lankshear5 🟨
4 🟨
M. Spellman4 🟨
K. Ferguson4 🟨
T. Lavery3 🟨
AFC HornchurchH. Sandat6 🟨
H. Hearn4 🟨
J. Walker3 🟨
T. Wraight3 🟨
F. Edwards2 🟨
A. Rowe2 🟨