Southend vs Harrogate Town — National League
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Southend and Harrogate Town meet in the National League 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Southend have recorded 9 wins from 22 matches this season (41% win rate), averaging 2.14 goals scored and 1.64 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 91% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 77%; and clean sheets in 9% of games. Harrogate Town have won 65% of their 23 matches, with 2.04 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 74%, Over 2.5 at 78%, and clean sheets at 22%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.77 for Southend and 1.52 for Harrogate Town. The models give Southend a 45% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Harrogate Town win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 64% and BTTS at 65%.
Season Statistics
Southend—
Harrogate Town3º
Position
2º
1.81
PPG
2.00
50%
Win %
63%
2.38
Goals / game
2.13
1.69
Conceded / game
1.44
91%
BTTS %
74%
9%
Clean sheet %
22%
77%
Over 2.5 %
78%
9.0
Avg corners
7.0
20.0
Avg shots
22.0
8.0
Avg shots on target
7.0
1.0
Avg yellow cards
2.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
75.0%
Avg possession
57.0%
Home vs Away
Southend
Home (7)
—
Harrogate Town
Away (8)
1.86
PPG
1.63
57%
Win %
50%
2.14
Goals / game
1.38
1.86
Conceded / game
1.63
85%
BTTS %
58%
15%
Clean sheet %
33%
77%
Over 2.5 %
58%
9.0
Avg corners
7.0
20.0
Avg shots
22.0
8.0
Avg shots on target
7.0
1.0
Avg yellow cards
2.0
75.0%
Avg possession
57.0%
Goals Scored
| Southend | Home | Away | Harrogate Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 96% | 100% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 59% | 46% | 78% | 65% | 91% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 36% | 31% | 44% | 30% | 55% | 8% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 0% | 8% |
Goals Conceded
| Southend | Home | Away | Harrogate Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 91% | 85% | 100% | 78% | 91% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 45% | 54% | 33% | 35% | 36% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 23% | 23% | 22% | 13% | 0% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 9% | 15% | 0% | 22% | 9% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Southend | Harrogate Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 95% | 87% |
| Over 2.5 | 77% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 | 64% | 48% |
| Over 4.5 | 23% | 13% |
| BTTS | 91% | 74% |
| BTTS & Win | 32% | 43% |
| BTTS & Draw | 32% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 73% | 70% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Southend | Harrogate Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 48% | 43% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 35% |
| Loss 1st Half | 14% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 71% | 61% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 52% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 61% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 24% | 17% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 22% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 62% | 74% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 48% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 86% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 52% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
Southend (H)D
FC Halifax Town2–2
FC Halifax Town2–2L
Berkhamsted1–2
Berkhamsted1–2W
AFC Fylde3–1
AFC Fylde3–1L
Barrow2–4
Barrow2–4W
Tamworth3–1
Tamworth3–1W
Yeovil Town3–2
Yeovil Town3–2Harrogate Town (A)D
Forest Green2–2
Forest Green2–2L
Carlisle0–3
Carlisle0–3D
Bury1–1
Bury1–1W
Woking1–0
Woking1–0W
Hartlepool1–0
Hartlepool1–0L
Boreham Wood1–4
Boreham Wood1–4Number of Corners
12.0
Corners / Match
1 games
League Avg
0.0
0 games
14.0
Corners / Match
1 games
| Match Corners | Southend | Harrogate Town | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 100% | — |
| Over 7 | 100% | 100% | — |
| Over 8 | 100% | 100% | — |
| Over 9 | 100% | 100% | — |
| Over 10 | 100% | 100% | — |
| Over 11 | 100% | 100% | — |
| Over 12 | 0% | 100% | — |
| Over 13 | 0% | 100% | — |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Southend | Harrogate Town |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 9.0 | 7.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.0 | 7.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 100% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
Head to Head · 2 matches
1
Southend
50%
0
Draws
0%
1
Harrogate Town
50%
50%
Over 1.5
1/2
50%
Over 2.5
1/2
50%
Over 3.5
1/2
0%
BTTS
0/2
27/03/21Southend
Harrogate Town
0–1Southend12/09/20Harrogate Town
Southend
0–4Harrogate Town| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | +27 | 44 |
| 2 | Harrogate Town | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | +11 | 32 |
| 3 | Southend | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | +11 | 29 |
| 4 | AFC Fylde | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | +6 | 29 |
| 5 | Yeovil Town | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | +15 | 28 |
| 6 |  Worthing | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | +7 | 28 |
| 7 |  Altrincham | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 28 |
| 8 | Carlisle | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | +9 | 26 |
| 9 | Barrow | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | +7 | 25 |
| 10 | FC Halifax Town | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | +8 | 24 |
| 11 |  Sutton Utd | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | -1 | 24 |
| 12 | Woking | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | +1 | 21 |
| 13 |  Kidderminster Harriers | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 21 |
| 14 |  Aldershot Town | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 21 |
| 15 |  AFC Hornchurch | 16 | 7 | 0 | 9 | -8 | 21 |
| 16 | Forest Green | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 |  Eastleigh | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -6 | 19 |
| 18 |  Wealdstone | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | -6 | 18 |
| 19 |  Boston United | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | -8 | 18 |
| 20 | Tamworth | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | -7 | 17 |
| 21 | Hartlepool | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | -9 | 15 |
| 22 |  Solihull Moors | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | -21 | 13 |
| 23 |  Scunthorpe | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | -11 | 10 |
| 24 |  Gateshead | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | -25 | 4 |
Team Insights
Southend- ●Southend have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Southend failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 14 matches.
- ●Southend have scored in each of their last 16 matches.
- ●Southend have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Southend have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Southend failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Southend have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Southend failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 away matches.
- ●Southend have scored in each of their last 9 away matches.
- ●Southend have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Southend failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Southend have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Southend failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 9 away matches.
- ●Southend have won 4 of their 9 away matches.
- ●Southend have scored in 9 of their 9 away matches.
- ●Southend have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
Harrogate Town- ●Harrogate Town have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Harrogate Town have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Harrogate Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Harrogate Town have scored in 8 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Harrogate Town have won 4 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Harrogate Town have scored in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●68% of Harrogate Town's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
SouthendLAWealdstone2–3
Wealdstone2–3DAWorthing3–3
Worthing3–3DHFC Halifax Town2–2
FC Halifax Town2–2WABoston United2–1
Boston United2–1WHAFC Fylde3–1
AFC Fylde3–1DAEastleigh1–1
Eastleigh1–1–HAldershot Town14/11
Aldershot Town14/11–HBoreham Wood20/11
Boreham Wood20/11–AForest Green24/11
Forest Green24/11Harrogate TownDAForest Green2–2
Forest Green2–2LACarlisle0–3
Carlisle0–3WHSutton Utd3–1
Sutton Utd3–1WAWoking1–0
Woking1–0WHAFC Hornchurch3–0
AFC Hornchurch3–0WAHartlepool1–0
Hartlepool1–0–HAltrincham14/11
Altrincham14/11–AWorthing21/11
Worthing21/11–HKidderminster Harriers25/11
Kidderminster Harriers25/11Top Scorers
SouthendL. Chambers-Parillon9 ⚽
P. Omochere6 ⚽
H. Cardwell6 ⚽
S. Austin5 ⚽
R. Colclough4 ⚽
O. Coker3 ⚽
Harrogate TownB. Hobson8 ⚽
W. McGowan4 ⚽
J. Hmami4 ⚽
C. McGuckin3 ⚽
C. Heffernan3 ⚽
B. Dolaghan3 ⚽
Cards Given
SouthendD. Oldaker6 🟨
V. Daley-Campbell5 🟨
P. Omochere3 🟨
D. Cox3 🟨
O. Coker2 🟨
A. Hartigan2 🟨
Harrogate TownM. Williams4 🟨
W. Burrell3 🟨
A. Baptiste3 🟨
J. Hmami3 🟨
L. Cass3 🟨
E. Bristow2 🟨