Tamworth vs Altrincham — National League
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Tamworth and Altrincham meet in the National League 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Tamworth have recorded 11 wins from 28 matches this season (39% win rate), averaging 1.82 goals scored and 2.07 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 82% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 82%; and clean sheets in 11% of games. Altrincham have won 50% of their 22 matches, with 1.59 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 64%, Over 2.5 at 68%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.76 for Tamworth and 1.34 for Altrincham. The models give Tamworth a 43% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Altrincham win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
Tamworth—
Altrincham20º
Position
7º
1.13
PPG
1.75
33%
Win %
56%
1.67
Goals / game
1.50
2.13
Conceded / game
1.50
82%
BTTS %
64%
11%
Clean sheet %
27%
82%
Over 2.5 %
68%
0.0
Avg corners
7.5
0.0
Avg shots
21.5
0.0
Avg shots on target
9.5
0.0
Avg yellow cards
1.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
69.5%
Home vs Away
Tamworth
Home (8)
—
Altrincham
Away (8)
1.63
PPG
1.50
50%
Win %
50%
1.88
Goals / game
1.13
1.38
Conceded / game
1.63
81%
BTTS %
64%
13%
Clean sheet %
18%
75%
Over 2.5 %
64%
0.0
Avg corners
7.5
0.0
Avg shots
21.5
0.0
Avg shots on target
9.5
0.0
Avg yellow cards
1.0
0.0%
Avg possession
69.5%
Goals Scored
| Tamworth | Home | Away | Altrincham | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 93% | 94% | 92% | 77% | 82% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 56% | 42% | 55% | 64% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 25% | 25% | 14% | 18% | 9% |
| Failed To Score | 7% | 6% | 8% | 23% | 18% | 27% |
Goals Conceded
| Tamworth | Home | Away | Altrincham | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 89% | 88% | 92% | 73% | 64% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 64% | 50% | 83% | 32% | 27% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 36% | 19% | 58% | 23% | 27% | 18% |
| Clean Sheets | 11% | 13% | 8% | 27% | 36% | 18% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Tamworth | Altrincham | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 68% |
| Over 2.5 | 82% | 68% |
| Over 3.5 | 61% | 36% |
| Over 4.5 | 36% | 18% |
| BTTS | 82% | 64% |
| BTTS & Win | 29% | 36% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 5% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 79% | 64% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 4% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Tamworth | Altrincham | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 36% | 36% |
| Draw 1st Half | 29% | 45% |
| Loss 1st Half | 36% | 18% |
| Scored 1st Half | 61% | 68% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 61% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 36% | 32% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 32% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 32% | 32% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 68% | 41% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 68% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 86% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 45% |
Recent Venue Form
Tamworth (H)L
Everton U212–3
Everton U212–3L
Woking0–1
Woking0–1W
Scunthorpe4–1
Scunthorpe4–1L
Barrow1–2
Barrow1–2W
Leeds United U211–0
Leeds United U211–0W
Sutton Utd2–0
Sutton Utd2–0Altrincham (A)W
Yeovil Town2–1
Yeovil Town2–1W
United of Manchester6–2
United of Manchester6–2L
Boreham Wood1–3
Boreham Wood1–3W
Gateshead1–0
Gateshead1–0W
AFC Fylde2–1
AFC Fylde2–1LWoking1–5
Woking1–5Team Corners
| Team Corners | Tamworth | Altrincham |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 0.0 | 7.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 0.0 | 2.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 0% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 0% |
Head to Head · 4 matches
2
Tamworth
50%
1
Draws
25%
1
Altrincham
25%
100%
Over 1.5
4/4
75%
Over 2.5
3/4
25%
Over 3.5
1/4
100%
BTTS
4/4
24/02/26Altrincham
Tamworth
5–1Altrincham01/10/25Tamworth
Altrincham
1–2Tamworth05/05/25Tamworth
Altrincham
1–1Tamworth28/09/24Altrincham
Tamworth
1–2Altrincham| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | +27 | 44 |
| 2 |  Harrogate Town | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | +11 | 32 |
| 3 |  Southend | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | +11 | 29 |
| 4 | AFC Fylde | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | +6 | 29 |
| 5 | Yeovil Town | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | +15 | 28 |
| 6 |  Worthing | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | +7 | 28 |
| 7 | Altrincham | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 28 |
| 8 |  Carlisle | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | +9 | 26 |
| 9 | Barrow | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | +7 | 25 |
| 10 |  FC Halifax Town | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | +8 | 24 |
| 11 | Sutton Utd | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | -1 | 24 |
| 12 | Woking | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | +1 | 21 |
| 13 |  Kidderminster Harriers | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 21 |
| 14 |  Aldershot Town | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 21 |
| 15 |  AFC Hornchurch | 16 | 7 | 0 | 9 | -8 | 21 |
| 16 |  Forest Green | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 |  Eastleigh | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -6 | 19 |
| 18 |  Wealdstone | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | -6 | 18 |
| 19 |  Boston United | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | -8 | 18 |
| 20 | Tamworth | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | -7 | 17 |
| 21 |  Hartlepool | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | -9 | 15 |
| 22 |  Solihull Moors | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | -21 | 13 |
| 23 | Scunthorpe | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | -11 | 10 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | -25 | 4 |
Team Insights
Tamworth- ●Tamworth have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Tamworth failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Tamworth have scored in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Tamworth failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Tamworth have lost 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Tamworth have scored in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●66% of Tamworth's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●76% of Tamworth's points have been earned at home.
Altrincham- ●Altrincham have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Altrincham failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Altrincham have scored in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Altrincham failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Altrincham have won 4 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Altrincham have scored in 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●63% of Altrincham's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
TamworthLHWoking0–1
Woking0–1WHScunthorpe4–1
Scunthorpe4–1LHBarrow1–2
Barrow1–2WAHartlepool1–0
Hartlepool1–0WHSutton Utd2–0
Sutton Utd2–0LAAldershot Town1–5
Aldershot Town1–5–AAFC Hornchurch14/11
AFC Hornchurch14/11–HEastleigh21/11
Eastleigh21/11–ACarlisle24/11
Carlisle24/11AltrinchamLHCarlisle2–4
Carlisle2–4DHKidderminster Harriers0–0
Kidderminster Harriers0–0WAYeovil Town2–1
Yeovil Town2–1WHAldershot Town3–1
Aldershot Town3–1LABoreham Wood1–3
Boreham Wood1–3WAGateshead1–0
Gateshead1–0–AHarrogate Town14/11
Harrogate Town14/11–ASolihull Moors21/11
Solihull Moors21/11–HWealdstone24/11
Wealdstone24/11Top Scorers
TamworthK. Donnelly11 ⚽
D. Creaney5 ⚽
J. Hutchinson5 ⚽
T. McGlinchey4 ⚽
T. Kurtaran4 ⚽
M. Roberts3 ⚽
AltrinchamJ. Knowles7 ⚽
T. Crawford4 ⚽
A. Barlow3 ⚽
L. Weaver3 ⚽
Aidan Barlow2 ⚽
K. Hemmings2 ⚽
Cards Given
TamworthJ. Rye4 🟨
T. Kurtaran4 🟨
L. Fairlamb3 🟨
D. Creaney3 🟨
J. Cullinane-Liburd3 🟨
K. Donnelly3 🟨
AltrinchamM. Kosylo7 🟨
O. Khan5 🟨
J. Cooper5 🟨
L. Banks5 🟨
J. Hinchy3 🟨
K. Hemmings2 🟨