Worthing vs Boston United — National League
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Worthing and Boston United meet in the National League 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Worthing have recorded 12 wins from 27 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 1.74 goals scored and 1.37 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 74%; and clean sheets in 26% of games. Boston United have won 28% of their 25 matches, with 1.28 goals scored and 1.84 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 16%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.97 for Worthing and 1.50 for Boston United. The models give Worthing a 52% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Boston United win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 67% and BTTS at 67%.
Season Statistics
Worthing—
Boston United6º
Position
19º
1.75
PPG
1.13
50%
Win %
31%
2.00
Goals / game
1.31
1.56
Conceded / game
1.81
67%
BTTS %
60%
26%
Clean sheet %
16%
74%
Over 2.5 %
56%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Worthing
Home (9)
—
Boston United
Away (7)
1.56
PPG
1.14
44%
Win %
29%
1.89
Goals / game
1.57
1.56
Conceded / game
2.29
53%
BTTS %
67%
40%
Clean sheet %
11%
73%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Worthing | Home | Away | Boston United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 89% | 88% | 92% | 73% | 71% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 57% | 50% | 67% | 38% | 29% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 21% | 19% | 25% | 8% | 6% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 13% | 8% | 27% | 29% | 22% |
Goals Conceded
| Worthing | Home | Away | Boston United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 63% | 92% | 81% | 76% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 43% | 44% | 42% | 42% | 35% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 18% | 19% | 17% | 27% | 29% | 22% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 38% | 8% | 19% | 24% | 11% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Worthing | Boston United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 | 75% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 | 32% | 35% |
| Over 4.5 | 18% | 19% |
| BTTS | 68% | 58% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 12% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 57% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 18% | 4% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Worthing | Boston United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 57% | 35% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 42% |
| Loss 1st Half | 18% | 23% |
| Scored 1st Half | 68% | 54% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 36% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 32% | 23% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 19% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 32% | 58% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 38% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 65% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 86% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 36% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Worthing (H)W
Fulham U212–1
Fulham U212–1L
Sutton Utd0–3
Sutton Utd0–3D
Southend3–3
Southend3–3L
Ipswich Town U211–2
Ipswich Town U211–2W
Solihull Moors5–0
Solihull Moors5–0W
FC Halifax Town2–1
FC Halifax Town2–1Boston United (A)L
Eastleigh2–4
Eastleigh2–4L
Yeovil Town0–6
Yeovil Town0–6DFC Halifax Town1–1
FC Halifax Town1–1W
Forest Green3–1
Forest Green3–1D
Tamworth2–2
Tamworth2–2L
Boreham Wood1–2
Boreham Wood1–2| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | +27 | 44 |
| 2 |  Harrogate Town | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | +11 | 32 |
| 3 | Southend | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | +11 | 29 |
| 4 |  AFC Fylde | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | +6 | 29 |
| 5 | Yeovil Town | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | +15 | 28 |
| 6 | Worthing | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | +7 | 28 |
| 7 |  Altrincham | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 28 |
| 8 |  Carlisle | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | +9 | 26 |
| 9 |  Barrow | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | +7 | 25 |
| 10 | FC Halifax Town | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | +8 | 24 |
| 11 | Sutton Utd | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | -1 | 24 |
| 12 |  Woking | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | +1 | 21 |
| 13 |  Kidderminster Harriers | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 21 |
| 14 |  Aldershot Town | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 21 |
| 15 |  AFC Hornchurch | 16 | 7 | 0 | 9 | -8 | 21 |
| 16 | Forest Green | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 | Eastleigh | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -6 | 19 |
| 18 |  Wealdstone | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | -6 | 18 |
| 19 | Boston United | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | -8 | 18 |
| 20 | Tamworth | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | -7 | 17 |
| 21 |  Hartlepool | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | -9 | 15 |
| 22 | Solihull Moors | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | -21 | 13 |
| 23 |  Scunthorpe | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | -11 | 10 |
| 24 |  Gateshead | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | -25 | 4 |
Team Insights
Worthing- ●Worthing have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Worthing failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Worthing have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Worthing failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 9 home matches.
- ●Worthing have scored in 8 of their 9 home matches.
- ●Worthing failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Worthing have won 4 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Worthing have scored in 7 of their 7 away matches.
Boston United- ●Boston United have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Boston United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 13 matches.
- ●Boston United have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Boston United have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Boston United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Boston United have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Boston United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Boston United failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 9 home matches.
- ●Boston United have lost 5 of their 9 home matches.
- ●Boston United failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Boston United have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Boston United have scored 67% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
WorthingLHSutton Utd0–3
Sutton Utd0–3DHSouthend3–3
Southend3–3WAKidderminster Harriers2–1
Kidderminster Harriers2–1WHSolihull Moors5–0
Solihull Moors5–0WAGateshead2–1
Gateshead2–1DAYeovil Town1–1
Yeovil Town1–1–AScunthorpe14/11
Scunthorpe14/11–HHarrogate Town21/11
Harrogate Town21/11–AWoking24/11
Woking24/11Boston UnitedWHScunthorpe2–1
Scunthorpe2–1WHGateshead2–1
Gateshead2–1LAEastleigh2–4
Eastleigh2–4LHSouthend1–2
Southend1–2LAYeovil Town0–6
Yeovil Town0–6DAFC Halifax Town1–1
FC Halifax Town1–1–ACarlisle14/11
Carlisle14/11–ASutton Utd21/11
Sutton Utd21/11–HBarrow24/11
Barrow24/11Top Scorers
WorthingR. Coleman De-Graft7 ⚽
D. Hutchinson6 ⚽
C. Adjetey-Brew5 ⚽
R. Aguiar5 ⚽
J. Marquez3 ⚽
J. Wadham2 ⚽
Boston UnitedT. Cursons8 ⚽
L. Wheeldon5 ⚽
K. Aboh5 ⚽
L. N. John-Lewis3 ⚽
J. Grimes2 ⚽
J. Rooney2 ⚽
Cards Given
WorthingJ. Wadham4 🟨
J. Moore4 🟨
R. Aguiar3 🟨
J. Cook3 🟨
D. Hutchinson3 🟨
S. Packham3 🟨
Boston UnitedJ. Rooney8 🟨
S. Sachdev5 🟨
G. Holohan4 🟨
N. Pozo3 🟨
L. Wheeldon3 🟨
N. Canavan3 🟨