Keçiörengücü vs Bursaspor — 1. Lig
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Keçiörengücü and Bursaspor meet in the 1. Lig 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Keçiörengücü have recorded 3 wins from 7 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 2.29 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 71% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 57%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Bursaspor have won 67% of their 9 matches, with 1.78 goals scored and 0.78 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 44%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.90 for Keçiörengücü and 1.46 for Bursaspor. The models give Keçiörengücü a 47% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Bursaspor win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
Keçiörengücü—
Bursaspor5º
Position
2º
1.71
PPG
2.29
43%
Win %
71%
2.29
Goals / game
2.00
1.29
Conceded / game
0.86
71%
BTTS %
56%
29%
Clean sheet %
44%
57%
Over 2.5 %
67%
4.1
Avg corners
6.0
15.0
Avg shots
13.4
5.4
Avg shots on target
4.8
2.1
Avg yellow cards
2.2
12.7
Avg fouls
14.2
44.0%
Avg possession
57.2%
Home vs Away
Keçiörengücü
Home (3)
—
Bursaspor
Away (4)
2.33
PPG
2.25
67%
Win %
75%
3.00
Goals / game
1.75
1.00
Conceded / game
1.00
67%
BTTS %
80%
33%
Clean sheet %
20%
100%
Over 2.5 %
80%
4.1
Avg corners
6.0
15.0
Avg shots
13.4
5.4
Avg shots on target
4.8
2.1
Avg yellow cards
2.2
44.0%
Avg possession
57.2%
Goals Scored
| Keçiörengücü | Home | Away | Bursaspor | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 89% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 71% | 100% | 50% | 67% | 50% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 43% | 67% | 25% | 11% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% | 25% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Keçiörengücü | Home | Away | Bursaspor | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 67% | 75% | 56% | 25% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 29% | 33% | 25% | 22% | 25% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 33% | 25% | 44% | 75% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Keçiörengücü | Bursaspor | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 43% | 22% |
| Over 4.5 | 29% | 0% |
| BTTS | 71% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 33% |
| BTTS & Draw | 43% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 56% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Keçiörengücü | Bursaspor | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 57% | 44% |
| Draw 1st Half | 0% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 43% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 71% | 67% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 57% | 56% |
| Win 2nd Half | 57% | 56% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 14% | 11% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 71% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 29% | 11% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 100% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 56% |
Recent Venue Form
Keçiörengücü (H)W
Sarıyer3–0
Sarıyer3–0D
Ümraniyespor2–2
Ümraniyespor2–2W
Pendikspor4–1
Pendikspor4–1W
Manisa F.K.2–1
Manisa F.K.2–1D
Serik Spor0–0
Serik Spor0–0W
Vanspor FK3–0
Vanspor FK3–0Bursaspor (A)WManisa F.K.2–1
Manisa F.K.2–1W
Kayserispor2–1
Kayserispor2–1L
Fatih Karagümrük1–2
Fatih Karagümrük1–2W
Bodrum FK2–0
Bodrum FK2–0W
Aliağa FAŞ5–0
Aliağa FAŞ5–0W
Ankara Demirspor1–0
Ankara Demirspor1–0Number of Corners
9.4
Corners / Match
7 games
League Avg
8.7
63 games
9.2
Corners / Match
5 games
| Match Corners | Keçiörengücü | Bursaspor | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 100% | 84% |
| Over 7 | 100% | 80% | 73% |
| Over 8 | 71% | 80% | 57% |
| Over 9 | 14% | 40% | 35% |
| Over 10 | 14% | 20% | 22% |
| Over 11 | 14% | 0% | 14% |
| Over 12 | 14% | 0% | 6% |
| Over 13 | 14% | 0% | 3% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Keçiörengücü | Bursaspor |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.1 | 6.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.3 | 3.2 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 86% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 71% | 80% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 43% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 86% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 57% | 20% |
Head to Head · 6 matches
3
Keçiörengücü
50%
0
Draws
0%
3
Bursaspor
50%
50%
Over 1.5
3/6
33%
Over 2.5
2/6
0%
Over 3.5
0/6
17%
BTTS
1/6
02/04/22Bursaspor
Keçiörengücü
2–1Bursaspor01/11/21Keçiörengücü
Bursaspor
2–0Keçiörengücü09/05/21Keçiörengücü
Bursaspor
0–3Keçiörengücü02/01/21Bursaspor
Keçiörengücü
0–1Bursaspor20/06/20Bursaspor
Keçiörengücü
1–0Bursaspor23/11/19Keçiörengücü
Bursaspor
1–0Keçiörengücü| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kayserispor | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +11 | 16 |
| 2 | Bursaspor | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 16 |
| 3 |  Batman Petrolspor | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 16 |
| 4 |  Iğdır FK | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +5 | 15 |
| 5 | Keçiörengücü | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +7 | 12 |
| 6 |  Mardin 1969 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 12 |
| 7 | Sarıyer | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 8 |  Bandırmaspor | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +8 | 10 |
| 9 |  Muğlaspor | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +1 | 10 |
| 10 | Manisa F.K. | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 11 | Fatih Karagümrük | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 |  Antalyaspor | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | Pendikspor | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -3 | 9 |
| 14 | Bodrum FK | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 7 |
| 15 |  Sivasspor | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | Vanspor FK | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 6 |
| 17 |  Esenler Erokspor | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -4 | 5 |
| 18 | Ümraniyespor | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 3 |
| 19 |  İstanbulspor | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -13 | 2 |
| 20 |  Boluspor | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -16 | 1 |
Team Insights
Keçiörengücü- ●Keçiörengücü have been undefeated in their last 6 matches.
- ●Keçiörengücü have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Keçiörengücü have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Keçiörengücü have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Keçiörengücü have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●67% of Keçiörengücü's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Keçiörengücü have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Bursaspor- ●Bursaspor have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Bursaspor have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Bursaspor have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Bursaspor have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Bursaspor have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Bursaspor have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
Season Schedule
KeçiörengücüDAVanspor FK1–1
Vanspor FK1–1WHSarıyer3–0
Sarıyer3–0WABoluspor2–0
Boluspor2–0DHÜmraniyespor2–2
Ümraniyespor2–2DABandırmaspor1–1
Bandırmaspor1–1WHPendikspor4–1
Pendikspor4–1–HSivasspor19/09
Sivasspor19/09–ABodrum FK11/10
Bodrum FK11/10–HIğdır FK14/10
Iğdır FK14/10BursasporDHEsenler Erokspor2–2
Esenler Erokspor2–2WAManisa F.K.2–1
Manisa F.K.2–1WHİstanbulspor4–0
İstanbulspor4–0WAKayserispor2–1
Kayserispor2–1LAFatih Karagümrük1–2
Fatih Karagümrük1–2WHIğdır FK1–0
Iğdır FK1–0–ABatman Petrolspor19/09
Batman Petrolspor19/09–HMardin 196911/10
Mardin 196911/10–AMuğlaspor14/10
Muğlaspor14/10Top Scorers
KeçiörengücüM. Diouf5 ⚽
I. Akdag2 ⚽
Francis Ezeh1 ⚽
H. Ayan1 ⚽
Halil Can Ayan1 ⚽
I. Karaogul1 ⚽
BursasporKelechi Iheanacho5 ⚽
K. Iheanacho4 ⚽
H. Akbunar1 ⚽
Halil Akbunar1 ⚽
Lincoln1 ⚽
A. Babacan1 ⚽
Cards Given
KeçiörengücüI. Akdag3 🟨
İbrahim Akdağ2 🟨
Berkan Mahmut Keskin1 🟨
E. Satilmis1 🟨
F. Ezeh1 🟨
Francis Ezeh1 🟨
BursasporA. Babacan2 🟨
Alperen Babacan1 🟨
B. Gok1 🟨
Batuhan Yayikci1 🟨
Halil Akbunar1 🟨
J. Elitim1 🟨