Fatih Karagümrük vs Vanspor FK — 1. Lig
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Fatih Karagümrük and Vanspor FK meet in the 1. Lig 2026 season on 6 December 2026. Fatih Karagümrük have recorded 5 wins from 16 matches this season (31% win rate), averaging 1.25 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 69% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 44%; and clean sheets in 19% of games. Vanspor FK have won 23% of their 13 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 1.85 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 46%, Over 2.5 at 46%, and clean sheets at 8%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.61 for Fatih Karagümrük and 1.39 for Vanspor FK. The models give Fatih Karagümrük a 46% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Vanspor FK win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Fatih Karagümrük—
Vanspor FK10º
Position
18º
1.33
PPG
1.00
33%
Win %
25%
1.33
Goals / game
1.08
1.25
Conceded / game
1.83
69%
BTTS %
46%
19%
Clean sheet %
8%
44%
Over 2.5 %
46%
4.3
Avg corners
4.5
14.2
Avg shots
10.1
4.4
Avg shots on target
3.7
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.8
13.1
Avg fouls
14.1
53.6%
Avg possession
46.8%
Home vs Away
Fatih Karagümrük
Home (6)
—
Vanspor FK
Away (6)
1.50
PPG
1.33
33%
Win %
33%
1.33
Goals / game
1.50
1.17
Conceded / game
1.83
89%
BTTS %
57%
11%
Clean sheet %
14%
56%
Over 2.5 %
71%
4.3
Avg corners
4.5
14.2
Avg shots
10.1
4.4
Avg shots on target
3.7
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.8
53.6%
Avg possession
46.8%
Goals Scored
| Fatih Karagümrük | Home | Away | Vanspor FK | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 81% | 89% | 71% | 54% | 33% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 33% | 43% | 31% | 17% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 6% | 0% | 14% | 15% | 17% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 19% | 11% | 29% | 46% | 67% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Fatih Karagümrük | Home | Away | Vanspor FK | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 81% | 89% | 71% | 92% | 100% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 31% | 22% | 43% | 69% | 83% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 6% | 0% | 14% | 15% | 0% | 29% |
| Clean Sheets | 19% | 11% | 29% | 8% | 0% | 14% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Fatih Karagümrük | Vanspor FK | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 46% |
| Over 3.5 | 6% | 23% |
| Over 4.5 | 6% | 15% |
| BTTS | 69% | 46% |
| BTTS & Win | 19% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 23% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 31% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 15% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Fatih Karagümrük | Vanspor FK | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 0% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 54% |
| Loss 1st Half | 27% | 46% |
| Scored 1st Half | 53% | 15% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 47% | 62% |
| Win 2nd Half | 20% | 31% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 47% | 23% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 46% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 40% | 54% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 77% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 80% | 62% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 23% |
Recent Venue Form
Fatih Karagümrük (H)D
Somaspor0–0
Somaspor0–0L
Keçiörengücü1–2
Keçiörengücü1–2D
Muğlaspor1–1
Muğlaspor1–1D
Manisa F.K.1–1
Manisa F.K.1–1D
Kayserispor1–1
Kayserispor1–1W
Bursaspor2–1
Bursaspor2–1Vanspor FK (A)L
Orduspor 19670–2
Orduspor 19670–2W
Boluspor3–0
Boluspor3–0W
Pendikspor2–1
Pendikspor2–1L
Antalyaspor0–3
Antalyaspor0–3DMuğlaspor2–2
Muğlaspor2–2D
Mardin 19691–1
Mardin 19691–1Number of Corners
8.7
Corners / Match
10 games
League Avg
8.7
112 games
8.3
Corners / Match
11 games
| Match Corners | Fatih Karagümrük | Vanspor FK | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 80% | 64% | 79% |
| Over 7 | 70% | 64% | 69% |
| Over 8 | 70% | 55% | 56% |
| Over 9 | 30% | 27% | 37% |
| Over 10 | 20% | 18% | 21% |
| Over 11 | 10% | 9% | 14% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 9% | 6% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 9% | 4% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Fatih Karagümrük | Vanspor FK |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.3 | 4.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.4 | 3.7 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 80% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 70% | 55% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 30% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 70% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 40% | 55% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 40% | 36% |
Head to Head · 2 matches
0
Fatih Karagümrük
0%
2
Draws
100%
0
Vanspor FK
0%
50%
Over 1.5
1/2
50%
Over 2.5
1/2
50%
Over 3.5
1/2
50%
BTTS
1/2
23/03/13Fatih Karagümrük
Vanspor FK
2–2Fatih Karagümrük11/11/12Vanspor FK
Fatih Karagümrük
0–0Vanspor FK| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bursaspor | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | +15 | 28 |
| 2 | Kayserispor | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +17 | 27 |
| 3 |  Iğdır FK | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 26 |
| 4 |  Batman Petrolspor | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 23 |
| 5 | Mardin 1969 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +5 | 21 |
| 6 | Keçiörengücü | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 7 | Muğlaspor | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 18 |
| 8 | Antalyaspor | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | -1 | 18 |
| 9 |  Bodrum FK | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | +4 | 17 |
| 10 | Fatih Karagümrük | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 16 |
| 11 |  Sarıyer | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 |  Bandırmaspor | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | +7 | 14 |
| 13 |  Ümraniyespor | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 13 |
| 14 |  Sivasspor | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 15 |  Esenler Erokspor | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -4 | 12 |
| 16 | Pendikspor | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -9 | 11 |
| 17 | Manisa F.K. | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -3 | 10 |
| 18 | Vanspor FK | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 10 |
| 19 |  İstanbulspor | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -22 | 5 |
| 20 | Boluspor | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -22 | 1 |
Team Insights
Fatih Karagümrük- ●Fatih Karagümrük have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Fatih Karagümrük failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Fatih Karagümrük have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Fatih Karagümrük failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Fatih Karagümrük have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
Vanspor FK- ●Vanspor FK have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Vanspor FK failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Vanspor FK have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Vanspor FK failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Vanspor FK have lost 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Vanspor FK failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Vanspor FK have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●69% of Vanspor FK's goals have been scored away.
- ●67% of Vanspor FK's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
Fatih KaragümrükWASarıyer2–0
Sarıyer2–0LHKeçiörengücü1–2
Keçiörengücü1–2LAMardin 19690–1
Mardin 19690–1DHMuğlaspor1–1
Muğlaspor1–1WAEsenler Erokspor2–0
Esenler Erokspor2–0DHManisa F.K.1–1
Manisa F.K.1–1–HPendikspor31/10
Pendikspor31/10–ABandırmaspor08/11
Bandırmaspor08/11–HBoluspor21/11
Boluspor21/11Vanspor FKWABoluspor3–0
Boluspor3–0LHÜmraniyespor0–2
Ümraniyespor0–2WAPendikspor2–1
Pendikspor2–1LHBandırmaspor0–2
Bandırmaspor0–2LAAntalyaspor0–3
Antalyaspor0–3DHKeçiörengücü1–1
Keçiörengücü1–1–HSarıyer31/10
Sarıyer31/10–HSivasspor07/11
Sivasspor07/11–ABodrum FK23/11
Bodrum FK23/11Top Scorers
Fatih KaragümrükA. Pesic3 ⚽
Aleksandar Pešić2 ⚽
Ahmed Traore2 ⚽
B. Kalayci2 ⚽
Cenk Tosun2 ⚽
B. Ozcan1 ⚽
Vanspor FKJurgen Bardhi3 ⚽
F. Ozhan1 ⚽
Hikmet Çiftçi1 ⚽
J. Bardhi1 ⚽
M. Manis1 ⚽
Mehmet Manis1 ⚽
Cards Given
Fatih KaragümrükAhmed Traore3 🟨
T. Ahmed2 🟨
Manolis Siopis2 🟨
D. Tokoz2 🟨
C. Kurukalip1 🟨
Aleksandar Pešić1 🟨
Vanspor FKİlkan Sever2 🟨
Mehmet Özcan2 🟨
Alvaro de Oliveira2 🟨
Faruk Can Genç1 🟨
K. Seven1 🟨
Ilias Alhaft1 🟨