VfB Lübeck vs St. Pauli II — Regionalliga - Nord
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VfB Lübeck and St. Pauli II meet in the Regionalliga - Nord 2026 season on 17 October 2026. VfB Lübeck have recorded 7 wins from 18 matches this season (39% win rate), averaging 1.67 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. St. Pauli II have won 31% of their 16 matches, with 2.13 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 69%, Over 2.5 at 69%, and clean sheets at 13%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.99 for VfB Lübeck and 1.68 for St. Pauli II. The models give VfB Lübeck a 48% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an St. Pauli II win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 71% and BTTS at 70%.
Season Statistics
VfB Lübeck—
St. Pauli II15º
Position
9º
0.80
PPG
1.00
10%
Win %
30%
1.10
Goals / game
2.00
1.90
Conceded / game
1.90
67%
BTTS %
69%
17%
Clean sheet %
13%
56%
Over 2.5 %
69%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
VfB Lübeck
Home (6)
—
St. Pauli II
Away (6)
1.00
PPG
0.50
17%
Win %
17%
1.33
Goals / game
1.83
1.67
Conceded / game
2.50
75%
BTTS %
63%
17%
Clean sheet %
13%
58%
Over 2.5 %
63%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| VfB Lübeck | Home | Away | St. Pauli | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 78% | 92% | 50% | 81% | 88% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 58% | 33% | 69% | 75% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 28% | 33% | 17% | 31% | 38% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 8% | 50% | 19% | 13% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| VfB Lübeck | Home | Away | St. Pauli | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 83% | 83% | 88% | 88% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 39% | 25% | 67% | 44% | 38% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 17% | 17% | 31% | 25% | 38% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 17% | 17% | 13% | 13% | 13% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| VfB Lübeck | St. Pauli | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 69% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 17% | 38% |
| BTTS | 67% | 69% |
| BTTS & Win | 28% | 19% |
| BTTS & Draw | 28% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 56% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| VfB Lübeck | St. Pauli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 21% | 44% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 31% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 36% | 63% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 56% |
| Win 2nd Half | 21% | 31% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 43% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 36% | 44% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 43% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 63% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 64% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 56% |
Recent Venue Form
VfB Lübeck (H)W
Bremer SV2–1
Bremer SV2–1D
HSC Hannover1–1
HSC Hannover1–1L
SV Drochtersen/Assel2–3
SV Drochtersen/Assel2–3L
Hamburger SV II1–3
Hamburger SV II1–3D
VfB Oldenburg1–1
VfB Oldenburg1–1D
Weiche Flensburg1–1
Weiche Flensburg1–1St. Pauli (A)LSV Drochtersen/Assel0–1
SV Drochtersen/Assel0–1WHamburger SV II3–0
Hamburger SV II3–0L
Hannover 96 II2–3
Hannover 96 II2–3L
Schöningen2–3
Schöningen2–3L
SSV Jeddeloh0–2
SSV Jeddeloh0–2L
Todesfelde4–6
Todesfelde4–6Head to Head · 10 matches
5
VfB Lübeck
50%
3
Draws
30%
2
St. Pauli
20%
90%
Over 1.5
9/10
50%
Over 2.5
5/10
20%
Over 3.5
2/10
70%
BTTS
7/10
29/11/25VfB Lübeck
St. Pauli II
1–1VfB Lübeck28/10/25St. Pauli II
VfB Lübeck
1–1St. Pauli II14/12/24St. Pauli II
VfB Lübeck
2–0St. Pauli II29/10/24VfB Lübeck
St. Pauli II
1–3VfB Lübeck19/03/23VfB Lübeck
St. Pauli II
2–1VfB Lübeck18/09/22St. Pauli II
VfB Lübeck
1–1St. Pauli II16/10/21VfB Lübeck
St. Pauli II
1–0VfB Lübeck13/08/21St. Pauli II
VfB Lübeck
3–0St. Pauli II14/02/20VfB Lübeck
St. Pauli II
1–2VfB Lübeck17/08/19St. Pauli II
VfB Lübeck
3–2St. Pauli II| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Phönix Lübeck | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +22 | 23 |
| 2 | Schöningen | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 23 |
| 3 | Weiche Flensburg | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +18 | 22 |
| 4 | VfB Oldenburg | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +17 | 22 |
| 5 | SV Drochtersen/Assel | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | +17 | 21 |
| 6 | Hannover 96 II | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 18 |
| 7 |  Kickers Emden | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 15 |
| 8 |  Atlas Delmenhorst | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 11 |
| 9 | St. Pauli II | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | +1 | 10 |
| 10 |  Eintracht Norderstedt | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -5 | 10 |
| 11 | SSV Jeddeloh | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 10 |
| 12 | HSC Hannover | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 |  Eimsbütteler TV | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -13 | 9 |
| 14 |  Werder Bremen II | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | VfB Lübeck | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 | Bremer SV | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -9 | 8 |
| 17 | Todesfelde | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -17 | 8 |
| 18 | Hamburger SV II | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -11 | 7 |
Team Insights
VfB Lübeck- ●VfB Lübeck have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●VfB Lübeck failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●VfB Lübeck have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●VfB Lübeck failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●VfB Lübeck have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●VfB Lübeck failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●VfB Lübeck have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●73% of VfB Lübeck's goals have been scored at home.
- ●75% of VfB Lübeck's points have been earned at home.
St. Pauli- ●St. Pauli II have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●St. Pauli II failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●St. Pauli II have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●79% of St. Pauli II's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●St. Pauli II have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
VfB LübeckWHBremer SV2–1
Bremer SV2–1DAHannover 96 II2–2
Hannover 96 II2–2DHHSC Hannover1–1
HSC Hannover1–1DAEintracht Norderstedt1–1
Eintracht Norderstedt1–1LHSV Drochtersen/Assel2–3
SV Drochtersen/Assel2–3LHHamburger SV II1–3
Hamburger SV II1–3–HTodesfelde25/09
Todesfelde25/09–HEimsbütteler TV03/10
Eimsbütteler TV03/10–ASSV Jeddeloh10/10
SSV Jeddeloh10/10St. PauliLASV Drochtersen/Assel0–1
SV Drochtersen/Assel0–1WAHamburger SV II3–0
Hamburger SV II3–0WHEintracht Norderstedt5–0
Eintracht Norderstedt5–0LAHannover 96 II2–3
Hannover 96 II2–3DHPhönix Lübeck2–2
Phönix Lübeck2–2LASchöningen2–3
Schöningen2–3–HKickers Emden26/09
Kickers Emden26/09–AAtlas Delmenhorst03/10
Atlas Delmenhorst03/10–HHSC Hannover10/10
HSC Hannover10/10Top Scorers
VfB LübeckB. Pfundheller3 ⚽
S. Ajkic2 ⚽
F. Istefo1 ⚽
F. Mandl1 ⚽
J. Amadi1 ⚽
L. Heiduck1 ⚽
St. PauliJ. Wardius7 ⚽
N. Goguadze6 ⚽
H. Sabah5 ⚽
W. Kaba2 ⚽
K. Aydin1 ⚽
E. Ahlstrand1 ⚽
Cards Given
VfB LübeckSt. PauliN. Schmidt1 🟨