St. Pauli II vs Weiche Flensburg — Regionalliga - Nord
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St. Pauli II and Weiche Flensburg meet in the Regionalliga - Nord 2026 season on 24 October 2026. St. Pauli II have recorded 5 wins from 16 matches this season (31% win rate), averaging 2.13 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 69% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 69%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. Weiche Flensburg have won 60% of their 15 matches, with 2.73 goals scored and 1.47 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 73%, Over 2.5 at 80%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.85 for St. Pauli II and 1.89 for Weiche Flensburg. The models give St. Pauli II a 33% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Weiche Flensburg win at 44%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 72% and BTTS at 72%.
Season Statistics
St. Pauli II—
Weiche Flensburg10º
Position
3º
1.00
PPG
2.20
30%
Win %
70%
2.00
Goals / game
3.00
1.90
Conceded / game
1.20
69%
BTTS %
73%
13%
Clean sheet %
20%
69%
Over 2.5 %
80%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
St. Pauli II
Home (4)
—
Weiche Flensburg
Away (5)
1.75
PPG
2.00
50%
Win %
60%
2.25
Goals / game
2.80
1.00
Conceded / game
1.20
75%
BTTS %
100%
13%
Clean sheet %
0%
75%
Over 2.5 %
71%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| St. Pauli | Home | Away | Weiche Flensburg | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 81% | 88% | 75% | 93% | 88% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 69% | 75% | 63% | 53% | 63% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 31% | 38% | 25% | 47% | 63% | 29% |
| Failed To Score | 19% | 13% | 25% | 7% | 13% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| St. Pauli | Home | Away | Weiche Flensburg | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 88% | 88% | 88% | 80% | 63% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 44% | 38% | 50% | 40% | 50% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 31% | 25% | 38% | 7% | 13% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 13% | 13% | 13% | 20% | 38% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| St. Pauli | Weiche Flensburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 93% |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 47% |
| Over 4.5 | 38% | 40% |
| BTTS | 69% | 73% |
| BTTS & Win | 19% | 40% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 56% | 60% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 20% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| St. Pauli | Weiche Flensburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 44% | 43% |
| Draw 1st Half | 31% | 21% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 36% |
| Scored 1st Half | 63% | 64% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 56% | 64% |
| Win 2nd Half | 31% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 44% | 14% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 64% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 63% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 81% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 56% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
St. Pauli (H)W
Eintracht Norderstedt5–0
Eintracht Norderstedt5–0D
Phönix Lübeck2–2
Phönix Lübeck2–2W
Werder Bremen II2–1
Werder Bremen II2–1L
Bremer SV0–1
Bremer SV0–1D
Verden 045–5
Verden 045–5D
Hamburger SV II1–1
Hamburger SV II1–1Weiche Flensburg (A)L
Schöningen1–2
Schöningen1–2W
HSC Hannover6–1
HSC Hannover6–1WEintracht Norderstedt4–1
Eintracht Norderstedt4–1WWerder Bremen II2–1
Werder Bremen II2–1D
VfB Lübeck1–1
VfB Lübeck1–1WVfB Lübeck1–0
VfB Lübeck1–0Head to Head · 12 matches
4
St. Pauli
33%
4
Draws
33%
4
Weiche Flensburg
33%
75%
Over 1.5
9/12
67%
Over 2.5
8/12
58%
Over 3.5
7/12
58%
BTTS
7/12
21/03/26St. Pauli II
Weiche Flensburg
1–1St. Pauli II21/09/25Weiche Flensburg
St. Pauli II
1–3Weiche Flensburg03/05/25St. Pauli II
Weiche Flensburg
0–1St. Pauli II20/10/24Weiche Flensburg
St. Pauli II
2–2Weiche Flensburg17/03/24Weiche Flensburg
St. Pauli II
0–0Weiche Flensburg23/09/23St. Pauli II
Weiche Flensburg
0–5St. Pauli II06/04/23St. Pauli II
Weiche Flensburg
0–1St. Pauli II11/09/22Weiche Flensburg
St. Pauli II
1–4Weiche Flensburg23/02/22St. Pauli II
Weiche Flensburg
3–3St. Pauli II10/10/21Weiche Flensburg
St. Pauli II
2–1Weiche Flensburg20/09/20Weiche Flensburg
St. Pauli II
0–4Weiche Flensburg26/10/19St. Pauli II
Weiche Flensburg
4–1St. Pauli II| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Phönix Lübeck | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +22 | 23 |
| 2 | Schöningen | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 23 |
| 3 | Weiche Flensburg | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +18 | 22 |
| 4 |  VfB Oldenburg | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +17 | 22 |
| 5 |  SV Drochtersen/Assel | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | +17 | 21 |
| 6 |  Hannover 96 II | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 18 |
| 7 |  Kickers Emden | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 15 |
| 8 |  Atlas Delmenhorst | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 12 |
| 9 | Werder Bremen II | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -2 | 11 |
| 10 | St. Pauli II | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | +1 | 10 |
| 11 |  SSV Jeddeloh | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 10 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV II | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -7 | 10 |
| 13 | Eintracht Norderstedt | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -8 | 10 |
| 14 | HSC Hannover | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -10 | 10 |
| 15 |  Eimsbütteler TV | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -13 | 10 |
| 16 | VfB Lübeck | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -8 | 8 |
| 17 | Bremer SV | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -9 | 8 |
| 18 |  Todesfelde | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -17 | 8 |
Team Insights
St. Pauli- ●St. Pauli II have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●St. Pauli II failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●St. Pauli II have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●79% of St. Pauli II's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●St. Pauli II have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
Weiche Flensburg- ●Weiche Flensburg have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Weiche Flensburg have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Weiche Flensburg failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Weiche Flensburg have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Weiche Flensburg failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Weiche Flensburg have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Weiche Flensburg have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
Season Schedule
St. PauliLASV Drochtersen/Assel0–1
SV Drochtersen/Assel0–1WAHamburger SV II3–0
Hamburger SV II3–0WHEintracht Norderstedt5–0
Eintracht Norderstedt5–0LAHannover 96 II2–3
Hannover 96 II2–3DHPhönix Lübeck2–2
Phönix Lübeck2–2LASchöningen2–3
Schöningen2–3–HKickers Emden26/09
Kickers Emden26/09–AAtlas Delmenhorst03/10
Atlas Delmenhorst03/10–HHSC Hannover11/10
HSC Hannover11/10Weiche FlensburgLHPhönix Lübeck1–2
Phönix Lübeck1–2LASchöningen1–2
Schöningen1–2WHHamburger SV II4–0
Hamburger SV II4–0WAHSC Hannover6–1
HSC Hannover6–1WHAtlas Delmenhorst1–0
Atlas Delmenhorst1–0WAEintracht Norderstedt4–1
Eintracht Norderstedt4–1–ABremer SV27/09
Bremer SV27/09–HVfB Oldenburg03/10
VfB Oldenburg03/10–ATodesfelde11/10
Todesfelde11/10Top Scorers
St. PauliJ. Wardius7 ⚽
N. Goguadze6 ⚽
H. Sabah5 ⚽
W. Kaba2 ⚽
K. Aydin1 ⚽
E. Ahlstrand1 ⚽
Weiche FlensburgR. Tobinski10 ⚽
E. Krasniqi7 ⚽
I. Ali6 ⚽
M. Tytarenko3 ⚽
T. Marten2 ⚽
M. Cornils2 ⚽
Cards Given
St. PauliN. Schmidt1 🟨
Weiche Flensburg