Hamburger SV II vs Weiche Flensburg — Regionalliga - Nord
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Hamburger SV II and Weiche Flensburg meet in the Regionalliga - Nord 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Hamburger SV II have recorded 7 wins from 24 matches this season (29% win rate), averaging 1.88 goals scored and 2.54 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 75% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 88%; and clean sheets in 4% of games. Weiche Flensburg have won 62% of their 21 matches, with 2.62 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 62%, Over 2.5 at 81%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.42 for Hamburger SV II and 2.32 for Weiche Flensburg. The models give Hamburger SV II a 24% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Weiche Flensburg win at 54%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 72% and BTTS at 68%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Hamburger SV | Home | Away | Weiche Flensburg | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 79% | 67% | 92% | 90% | 91% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 46% | 25% | 67% | 57% | 64% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 33% | 17% | 50% | 52% | 64% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 33% | 8% | 10% | 9% | 10% |
Goals Conceded
| Hamburger SV | Home | Away | Weiche Flensburg | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 96% | 100% | 92% | 71% | 64% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 71% | 92% | 50% | 38% | 45% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 46% | 42% | 50% | 10% | 9% | 10% |
| Clean Sheets | 4% | 0% | 8% | 29% | 36% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Hamburger SV | Weiche Flensburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 95% |
| Over 2.5 | 88% | 81% |
| Over 3.5 | 71% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 | 42% | 33% |
| BTTS | 75% | 62% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 33% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 71% | 48% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 33% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Hamburger SV | Weiche Flensburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 45% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 25% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 30% |
| Scored 1st Half | 43% | 65% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 52% | 55% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 55% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 19% | 30% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 43% | 15% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 71% | 70% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 81% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 76% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 67% | 55% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 13 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | +26 | 35 | |
| 2 | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | +13 | 33 | |
| 3 | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | +26 | 32 | |
| 4 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | +22 | 32 | |
| 5 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | +27 | 31 | |
| 6 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 24 | |
| 7 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | -1 | 21 | |
| 8 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | -5 | 20 | |
| 9 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | -7 | 19 | |
| 10 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | -4 | 18 | |
| 11 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | -6 | 18 | |
| 12 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | -9 | 18 | |
| 13 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -14 | 16 | |
| 14 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -14 | 15 | |
| 15 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -23 | 15 | |
| 16 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -2 | 14 | |
| 17 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -10 | 13 | |
| 18 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -14 | 12 |
Team Insights
- ●Hamburger SV II have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Hamburger SV II failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Hamburger SV II have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Hamburger SV II failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Hamburger SV II have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Hamburger SV II failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Hamburger SV II have lost 6 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Hamburger SV II failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Hamburger SV II have won 5 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Hamburger SV II have scored in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●71% of Hamburger SV II's goals have been scored away.
- ●79% of Hamburger SV II's points have been earned away.
- ●Weiche Flensburg have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Weiche Flensburg have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Weiche Flensburg have scored in 8 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Weiche Flensburg failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Weiche Flensburg have won 5 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Weiche Flensburg have scored in 7 of their 8 away matches.