Altglienicke vs Luckenwalde — Regionalliga - Nordost
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Altglienicke and Luckenwalde meet in the Regionalliga - Nordost 2026 season on 23 October 2026. Altglienicke have recorded 12 wins from 23 matches this season (52% win rate), averaging 2.22 goals scored and 1.39 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 70% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 78%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Luckenwalde have won 6% of their 16 matches, with 0.81 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 13%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.81 for Altglienicke and 1.23 for Luckenwalde. The models give Altglienicke a 57% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Luckenwalde win at 20%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Altglienicke—
Luckenwalde7º
Position
18º
1.80
PPG
0.30
50%
Win %
10%
1.90
Goals / game
0.70
1.40
Conceded / game
2.50
70%
BTTS %
63%
17%
Clean sheet %
13%
78%
Over 2.5 %
50%
3.0
Avg corners
0.0
9.0
Avg shots
0.0
5.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
2.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
13.0
Avg fouls
0.0
24.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Altglienicke
Home (5)
—
Luckenwalde
Away (5)
2.00
PPG
0.60
60%
Win %
20%
1.80
Goals / game
0.80
1.20
Conceded / game
2.00
75%
BTTS %
75%
17%
Clean sheet %
13%
83%
Over 2.5 %
63%
3.0
Avg corners
0.0
9.0
Avg shots
0.0
5.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
2.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
24.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Altglienicke | Home | Away | Luckenwalde | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 87% | 92% | 82% | 69% | 50% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 65% | 75% | 55% | 13% | 13% | 13% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 48% | 67% | 27% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 8% | 18% | 31% | 50% | 13% |
Goals Conceded
| Altglienicke | Home | Away | Luckenwalde | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 83% | 82% | 88% | 88% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 43% | 42% | 45% | 63% | 63% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 8% | 18% | 38% | 38% | 38% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 17% | 18% | 13% | 13% | 13% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Altglienicke | Luckenwalde | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 91% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 78% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 52% | 31% |
| Over 4.5 | 26% | 19% |
| BTTS | 70% | 63% |
| BTTS & Win | 35% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 26% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 61% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Altglienicke | Luckenwalde | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 48% | 6% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 44% |
| Scored 1st Half | 70% | 44% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 52% | 63% |
| Win 2nd Half | 43% | 6% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 35% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 22% | 44% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 74% | 38% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 61% | 69% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 87% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 61% | 56% |
Recent Venue Form
Altglienicke (H)W
RSV Eintracht3–1
RSV Eintracht3–1L
Chemnitzer FC0–2
Chemnitzer FC0–2D
BSG Chemie Leipzig1–1
BSG Chemie Leipzig1–1D
VfL Wolfsburg3–3
VfL Wolfsburg3–3W
Hallescher FC2–1
Hallescher FC2–1W
Hertha BSC II3–1
Hertha BSC II3–1Luckenwalde (A)L
Greifswalder FC1–3
Greifswalder FC1–3L
Erzgebirge Aue1–2
Erzgebirge Aue1–2L
FSV Zwickau1–2
FSV Zwickau1–2W
Magdeburg II1–0
Magdeburg II1–0LRSV Eintracht0–3
RSV Eintracht0–3D
Eintracht Mahlsdorf1–1
Eintracht Mahlsdorf1–1Team Corners
| Team Corners | Altglienicke | Luckenwalde |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.0 | 0.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 13.0 | 0.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
Head to Head · 10 matches
6
Altglienicke
60%
3
Draws
30%
1
Luckenwalde
10%
70%
Over 1.5
7/10
60%
Over 2.5
6/10
40%
Over 3.5
4/10
50%
BTTS
5/10
11/03/26Luckenwalde
Altglienicke
0–2Luckenwalde29/08/25Altglienicke
Luckenwalde
1–3Altglienicke18/05/25Altglienicke
Luckenwalde
0–0Altglienicke04/03/25Luckenwalde
Altglienicke
0–0Luckenwalde03/02/24Luckenwalde
Altglienicke
3–2Luckenwalde15/08/23Altglienicke
Luckenwalde
1–4Altglienicke17/02/23Altglienicke
Luckenwalde
0–1Altglienicke31/08/22Luckenwalde
Altglienicke
2–2Luckenwalde08/05/22Altglienicke
Luckenwalde
0–3Altglienicke19/11/21Luckenwalde
Altglienicke
2–1Luckenwalde| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | +24 | 24 |
| 2 | Chemnitzer FC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +16 | 23 |
| 3 | Erzgebirge Aue | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 21 |
| 4 | Greifswalder FC | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +8 | 19 |
| 5 | Hallescher FC | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +8 | 19 |
| 6 |  BFC Dynamo | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 18 |
| 7 | Altglienicke | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +5 | 18 |
| 8 |  FC Carl Zeiss Jena | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +5 | 16 |
| 9 |  Lokomotive Leipzig | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 10 | FSV Zwickau | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 14 |
| 11 | Magdeburg II | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 13 |
| 12 |  BFC Preussen | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 |  SV Babelsberg 03 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 9 |
| 14 | Hertha BSC II | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 8 |
| 15 | BSG Chemie Leipzig | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 6 |
| 16 | RSV Eintracht | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -12 | 6 |
| 17 |  Tasmania Berlin | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -19 | 5 |
| 18 | Luckenwalde | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | -18 | 3 |
Team Insights
Altglienicke- ●Altglienicke have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Altglienicke failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Altglienicke failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Altglienicke failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Altglienicke failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Altglienicke failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Altglienicke have scored 63% of their goals in the first half.
Luckenwalde- ●Luckenwalde have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●Luckenwalde have lost their last 7 matches.
- ●Luckenwalde failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Luckenwalde have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Luckenwalde have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Luckenwalde have lost their last 5 home matches.
- ●Luckenwalde failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Luckenwalde have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Luckenwalde have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Luckenwalde have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Luckenwalde failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Luckenwalde have lost 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Luckenwalde failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Luckenwalde have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Luckenwalde have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
AltglienickeWHRSV Eintracht3–1
RSV Eintracht3–1WAFSV Zwickau2–1
FSV Zwickau2–1LHChemnitzer FC0–2
Chemnitzer FC0–2LAFC Carl Zeiss Jena0–1
FC Carl Zeiss Jena0–1DHBSG Chemie Leipzig1–1
BSG Chemie Leipzig1–1WHHallescher FC2–1
Hallescher FC2–1–AMagdeburg II25/09
Magdeburg II25/09–HBFC Dynamo09/10
BFC Dynamo09/10–ABFC Preussen17/10
BFC Preussen17/10LuckenwaldeLAGreifswalder FC1–3
Greifswalder FC1–3LHBFC Preussen0–2
BFC Preussen0–2LAErzgebirge Aue1–2
Erzgebirge Aue1–2LHBFC Dynamo0–2
BFC Dynamo0–2LHFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt0–5
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt0–5LAFSV Zwickau1–2
FSV Zwickau1–2–HSV Babelsberg 0327/09
SV Babelsberg 0327/09–ABSG Chemie Leipzig09/10
BSG Chemie Leipzig09/10–HFC Carl Zeiss Jena17/10
FC Carl Zeiss Jena17/10Top Scorers
AltglienickeJ. Nietfeld7 ⚽
J. Saliger4 ⚽
E. Qenaj3 ⚽
J. Hartl3 ⚽
J. Brooks3 ⚽
D. Billand2 ⚽
LuckenwaldeF. Pilger5 ⚽
F. Schneider1 ⚽
C. Zamzow1 ⚽
L. Neumann1 ⚽
P. Konig1 ⚽
S. R. Jannene1 ⚽
Cards Given
AltglienickeE. Oduah1 🟨
T. Rieder1 🟨
LuckenwaldeF. Pilger2 🟨
L. Neumann2 🟨