Erzgebirge Aue vs SV Babelsberg 03 — Regionalliga - Nordost
← Back
vs
–
–
Erzgebirgsstadion·Aue·Germany·16,080
🔒 Pro Feature
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
from€8.99/mo
billed annually · cancel anytime
Erzgebirge Aue and SV Babelsberg 03 meet in the Regionalliga - Nordost 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Erzgebirge Aue have recorded 10 wins from 19 matches this season (53% win rate), averaging 2.00 goals scored and 1.53 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 68% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 79%; and clean sheets in 21% of games. SV Babelsberg 03 have won 40% of their 20 matches, with 1.85 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 65%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.62 for Erzgebirge Aue and 1.56 for SV Babelsberg 03. The models give Erzgebirge Aue a 45% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an SV Babelsberg 03 win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 63%.
Season Statistics
Erzgebirge Aue—
SV Babelsberg 038º
Position
11º
1.75
PPG
1.08
50%
Win %
25%
1.67
Goals / game
1.17
1.42
Conceded / game
1.42
68%
BTTS %
55%
21%
Clean sheet %
25%
79%
Over 2.5 %
65%
2.0
Avg corners
0.0
5.0
Avg shots
0.0
1.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
1.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
4.0
Avg fouls
0.0
35.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Erzgebirge Aue
Home (6)
—
SV Babelsberg 03
Away (6)
1.83
PPG
1.50
50%
Win %
50%
1.83
Goals / game
1.33
1.50
Conceded / game
1.33
75%
BTTS %
50%
17%
Clean sheet %
30%
83%
Over 2.5 %
70%
2.0
Avg corners
0.0
5.0
Avg shots
0.0
1.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
1.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
35.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Erzgebirge Aue | Home | Away | SV Babelsberg | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 84% | 83% | 86% | 75% | 70% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 68% | 67% | 71% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 26% | 33% | 14% | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 16% | 17% | 14% | 25% | 30% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Erzgebirge Aue | Home | Away | SV Babelsberg | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 79% | 83% | 71% | 75% | 80% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 42% | 50% | 29% | 45% | 50% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 21% | 25% | 14% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 21% | 17% | 29% | 25% | 20% | 30% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Erzgebirge Aue | SV Babelsberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 79% | 65% |
| Over 3.5 | 42% | 55% |
| Over 4.5 | 21% | 25% |
| BTTS | 68% | 55% |
| BTTS & Win | 37% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 68% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 15% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Erzgebirge Aue | SV Babelsberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 37% | 35% |
| Draw 1st Half | 32% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 32% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 53% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 53% | 40% |
| Win 2nd Half | 42% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 47% | 20% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 11% | 40% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 74% | 60% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 63% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 84% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 58% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Erzgebirge Aue (H)L
BSG Chemie Leipzig1–2
BSG Chemie Leipzig1–2W
Luckenwalde2–1
Luckenwalde2–1D
Hertha BSC II0–0
Hertha BSC II0–0L
1899 Hoffenheim0–4
1899 Hoffenheim0–4W
BFC Preussen2–1
BFC Preussen2–1W
BFC Dynamo3–2
BFC Dynamo3–2SV Babelsberg (A)WLuckenwalde3–2
Luckenwalde3–2W
Chemnitzer FC1–0
Chemnitzer FC1–0L
FSV Zwickau0–1
FSV Zwickau0–1L
Greifswalder FC1–2
Greifswalder FC1–2L
Magdeburg II1–3
Magdeburg II1–3WBSG Chemie Leipzig2–0
BSG Chemie Leipzig2–0Team Corners
| Team Corners | Erzgebirge Aue | SV Babelsberg |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 2.0 | 0.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 15.0 | 0.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chemnitzer FC | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | +22 | 29 |
| 2 |  FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +23 | 27 |
| 3 |  Hallescher FC | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | +10 | 25 |
| 4 | BFC Dynamo | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +9 | 24 |
| 5 |  FC Carl Zeiss Jena | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +10 | 22 |
| 6 | Greifswalder FC | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +8 | 22 |
| 7 |  Altglienicke | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +5 | 21 |
| 8 | Erzgebirge Aue | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 21 |
| 9 | FSV Zwickau | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 18 |
| 10 |  Lokomotive Leipzig | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 | SV Babelsberg 03 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | Magdeburg II | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 | BFC Preussen | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 | Hertha BSC II | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -12 | 10 |
| 15 | BSG Chemie Leipzig | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -7 | 9 |
| 16 |  RSV Eintracht | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -17 | 6 |
| 17 | Luckenwalde | 12 | 2 | 0 | 10 | -17 | 6 |
| 18 |  Tasmania Berlin | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -25 | 5 |
Team Insights
Erzgebirge Aue- ●Erzgebirge Aue have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Erzgebirge Aue failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Erzgebirge Aue failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Erzgebirge Aue failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Erzgebirge Aue failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Erzgebirge Aue have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Erzgebirge Aue have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
SV Babelsberg- ●SV Babelsberg 03 have failed to win in their last 6 home matches.
- ●SV Babelsberg 03 have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●SV Babelsberg 03 failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●SV Babelsberg 03 have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●SV Babelsberg 03 have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●69% of SV Babelsberg 03's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
Erzgebirge AueLAGreifswalder FC0–1
Greifswalder FC0–1LHBSG Chemie Leipzig1–2
BSG Chemie Leipzig1–2DAFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt2–2
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt2–2WAMagdeburg II2–1
Magdeburg II2–1WHLuckenwalde2–1
Luckenwalde2–1WALokomotive Leipzig2–1
Lokomotive Leipzig2–1–HHallescher FC18/10
Hallescher FC18/10–AFSV Zwickau24/10
FSV Zwickau24/10–HFC Carl Zeiss Jena31/10
FC Carl Zeiss Jena31/10SV BabelsbergDHLokomotive Leipzig0–0
Lokomotive Leipzig0–0WALuckenwalde3–2
Luckenwalde3–2LHHertha BSC II0–2
Hertha BSC II0–2WAChemnitzer FC1–0
Chemnitzer FC1–0DHHallescher FC1–1
Hallescher FC1–1LAFSV Zwickau0–1
FSV Zwickau0–1–ATasmania Berlin16/10
Tasmania Berlin16/10–HBFC Preussen23/10
BFC Preussen23/10–AFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt01/11
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt01/11Top Scorers
Erzgebirge AueT. Maciejewski8 ⚽
M. Bar6 ⚽
L. Queisser4 ⚽
W. Kamm3 ⚽
Q. Fraulob2 ⚽
C. Ramadan2 ⚽
SV BabelsbergA. Ebel6 ⚽
M. Covic3 ⚽
S. Werbelow3 ⚽
J. Okpalaike3 ⚽
A. Yilmaz3 ⚽
T. Ogbidi3 ⚽
Cards Given
Erzgebirge AueM. Burghardt1 🟨
SV BabelsbergL. Lammel2 🟨