Luckenwalde vs Chemnitzer FC — Regionalliga - Nordost
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Luckenwalde and Chemnitzer FC meet in the Regionalliga - Nordost 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Luckenwalde have recorded 3 wins from 19 matches this season (16% win rate), averaging 1.11 goals scored and 1.95 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 68% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 58%; and clean sheets in 11% of games. Chemnitzer FC have won 65% of their 20 matches, with 2.45 goals scored and 0.85 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 65%, and clean sheets at 45%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 0.94 for Luckenwalde and 2.26 for Chemnitzer FC. The models give Luckenwalde a 14% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an Chemnitzer FC win at 66%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Luckenwalde | Home | Away | Chemnitzer FC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 74% | 60% | 89% | 90% | 92% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 26% | 30% | 22% | 70% | 62% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 10% | 11% | 60% | 62% | 57% |
| Failed To Score | 26% | 40% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 14% |
Goals Conceded
| Luckenwalde | Home | Away | Chemnitzer FC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 89% | 90% | 89% | 55% | 69% | 29% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 58% | 60% | 56% | 15% | 15% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 37% | 40% | 33% | 10% | 8% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 11% | 10% | 11% | 45% | 31% | 71% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Luckenwalde | Chemnitzer FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 65% |
| Over 3.5 | 42% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 21% | 15% |
| BTTS | 68% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 47% | 35% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 30% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Luckenwalde | Chemnitzer FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 16% | 58% |
| Draw 1st Half | 42% | 32% |
| Loss 1st Half | 42% | 11% |
| Scored 1st Half | 47% | 58% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 58% | 16% |
| Win 2nd Half | 21% | 53% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 42% | 26% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 37% | 21% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 47% | 74% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 74% | 42% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 74% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 53% | 37% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 11 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | +22 | 29 | |
| 2 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +23 | 27 | |
| 3 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | +10 | 25 | |
| 4 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +9 | 24 | |
| 5 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +10 | 22 | |
| 6 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +8 | 22 | |
| 7 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +5 | 21 | |
| 8 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 21 | |
| 9 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 18 | |
| 10 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 16 | |
| 11 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -3 | 13 | |
| 12 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -4 | 13 | |
| 13 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -3 | 11 | |
| 14 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -12 | 10 | |
| 15 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -7 | 9 | |
| 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -17 | 6 | |
| 17 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 10 | -17 | 6 | |
| 18 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -25 | 5 |
Team Insights
- ●Luckenwalde failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Luckenwalde have failed to win in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Luckenwalde have lost their last 6 home matches.
- ●Luckenwalde failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Luckenwalde have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Luckenwalde failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Luckenwalde have lost 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Luckenwalde failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Luckenwalde have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Luckenwalde have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●100% of Luckenwalde's points have been earned away.
- ●Luckenwalde have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Chemnitzer FC have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Chemnitzer FC have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Chemnitzer FC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Chemnitzer FC have won their last 4 away matches.
- ●Chemnitzer FC have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Chemnitzer FC have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Chemnitzer FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Chemnitzer FC have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Chemnitzer FC have won 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Chemnitzer FC have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.