Altglienicke vs Erzgebirge Aue — Regionalliga - Nordost
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Altglienicke and Erzgebirge Aue meet in the Regionalliga - Nordost 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Altglienicke have recorded 14 wins from 26 matches this season (54% win rate), averaging 2.12 goals scored and 1.31 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 65% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 73%; and clean sheets in 19% of games. Erzgebirge Aue have won 50% of their 20 matches, with 1.90 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 65%, Over 2.5 at 75%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.55 for Altglienicke and 1.42 for Erzgebirge Aue. The models give Altglienicke a 45% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Erzgebirge Aue win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Altglienicke—
Erzgebirge Aue6º
Position
8º
1.85
PPG
1.62
54%
Win %
46%
1.77
Goals / game
1.54
1.23
Conceded / game
1.38
65%
BTTS %
65%
19%
Clean sheet %
20%
73%
Over 2.5 %
75%
3.0
Avg corners
2.0
9.0
Avg shots
5.0
5.0
Avg shots on target
1.0
2.0
Avg yellow cards
1.0
13.0
Avg fouls
4.0
24.0%
Avg possession
35.0%
Home vs Away
Altglienicke
Home (6)
—
Erzgebirge Aue
Away (6)
1.67
PPG
1.67
50%
Win %
50%
1.50
Goals / game
1.50
1.17
Conceded / game
1.33
69%
BTTS %
57%
15%
Clean sheet %
29%
77%
Over 2.5 %
71%
3.0
Avg corners
2.0
9.0
Avg shots
5.0
5.0
Avg shots on target
1.0
2.0
Avg yellow cards
1.0
24.0%
Avg possession
35.0%
Goals Scored
| Altglienicke | Home | Away | Erzgebirge Aue | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 85% | 85% | 85% | 80% | 77% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 62% | 69% | 54% | 65% | 62% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 46% | 62% | 31% | 25% | 31% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 15% | 15% | 15% | 20% | 23% | 14% |
Goals Conceded
| Altglienicke | Home | Away | Erzgebirge Aue | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 81% | 85% | 77% | 80% | 85% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 38% | 38% | 40% | 46% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 12% | 8% | 15% | 20% | 23% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 19% | 15% | 23% | 20% | 15% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Altglienicke | Erzgebirge Aue | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 85% | 85% |
| Over 2.5 | 73% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 | 23% | 20% |
| BTTS | 65% | 65% |
| BTTS & Win | 35% | 35% |
| BTTS & Draw | 23% | 10% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 58% | 65% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Altglienicke | Erzgebirge Aue | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 46% | 35% |
| Draw 1st Half | 31% | 35% |
| Loss 1st Half | 23% | 30% |
| Scored 1st Half | 65% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 42% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 45% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 19% | 15% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 73% | 70% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 58% | 65% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 85% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 58% | 55% |
Recent Venue Form
Altglienicke (H)L
BFC Dynamo0–1
BFC Dynamo0–1W
RSV Eintracht3–1
RSV Eintracht3–1L
Chemnitzer FC0–2
Chemnitzer FC0–2D
BSG Chemie Leipzig1–1
BSG Chemie Leipzig1–1D
VfL Wolfsburg3–3
VfL Wolfsburg3–3W
Hallescher FC2–1
Hallescher FC2–1Erzgebirge Aue (A)L
Greifswalder FC0–1
Greifswalder FC0–1D
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt2–2
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt2–2W
Magdeburg II2–1
Magdeburg II2–1W
Lokomotive Leipzig2–1
Lokomotive Leipzig2–1LChemnitzer FC1–3
Chemnitzer FC1–3W
Tasmania Berlin2–0
Tasmania Berlin2–0Number of Corners
16.0
Corners / Match
1 games
League Avg
0.0
0 games
17.0
Corners / Match
1 games
| Match Corners | Altglienicke | Erzgebirge Aue | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 100% | — |
| Over 7 | 100% | 100% | — |
| Over 8 | 100% | 100% | — |
| Over 9 | 100% | 100% | — |
| Over 10 | 100% | 100% | — |
| Over 11 | 100% | 100% | — |
| Over 12 | 100% | 100% | — |
| Over 13 | 100% | 100% | — |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Altglienicke | Erzgebirge Aue |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.0 | 2.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 13.0 | 15.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 100% | 100% |
Head to Head · 1 matches
0
Altglienicke
0%
1
Draws
100%
0
Erzgebirge Aue
0%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
100%
Over 2.5
1/1
100%
Over 3.5
1/1
100%
BTTS
1/1
25/07/26Altglienicke
Erzgebirge Aue
3–3Altglienicke| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chemnitzer FC | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | +22 | 30 |
| 2 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | +23 | 28 |
| 3 | Hallescher FC | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | +11 | 28 |
| 4 |  FC Carl Zeiss Jena | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | +11 | 25 |
| 5 | BFC Dynamo | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | +9 | 25 |
| 6 | Altglienicke | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 24 |
| 7 | Greifswalder FC | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | +6 | 22 |
| 8 | Erzgebirge Aue | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 21 |
| 9 |  FSV Zwickau | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 19 |
| 10 | Lokomotive Leipzig | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 17 |
| 11 | Magdeburg II | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | -2 | 16 |
| 12 |  SV Babelsberg 03 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -9 | 13 |
| 13 |  BFC Preussen | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -5 | 11 |
| 14 | BSG Chemie Leipzig | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -7 | 10 |
| 15 |  Hertha BSC II | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -13 | 10 |
| 16 | RSV Eintracht | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -16 | 9 |
| 17 | Tasmania Berlin | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | -19 | 8 |
| 18 |  Luckenwalde | 13 | 2 | 0 | 11 | -18 | 6 |
Team Insights
Altglienicke- ●Altglienicke failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Altglienicke have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Altglienicke failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Altglienicke failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Altglienicke have won 4 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Altglienicke have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Altglienicke have scored 61% of their goals in the first half.
Erzgebirge Aue- ●Erzgebirge Aue have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Erzgebirge Aue have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Erzgebirge Aue failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Erzgebirge Aue failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Erzgebirge Aue failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Erzgebirge Aue failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Erzgebirge Aue have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Erzgebirge Aue have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
Season Schedule
AltglienickeWABFC Preussen3–1
BFC Preussen3–1LHBFC Dynamo0–1
BFC Dynamo0–1WAMagdeburg II1–0
Magdeburg II1–0WHRSV Eintracht3–1
RSV Eintracht3–1WAFSV Zwickau2–1
FSV Zwickau2–1LHChemnitzer FC0–2
Chemnitzer FC0–2–HLuckenwalde23/10
Luckenwalde23/10–ALokomotive Leipzig30/10
Lokomotive Leipzig30/10–HTasmania Berlin06/11
Tasmania Berlin06/11Erzgebirge AueLHHallescher FC0–1
Hallescher FC0–1LAGreifswalder FC0–1
Greifswalder FC0–1LHBSG Chemie Leipzig1–2
BSG Chemie Leipzig1–2DAFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt2–2
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt2–2WAMagdeburg II2–1
Magdeburg II2–1WHLuckenwalde2–1
Luckenwalde2–1–AFSV Zwickau24/10
FSV Zwickau24/10–HFC Carl Zeiss Jena31/10
FC Carl Zeiss Jena31/10–ARSV Eintracht08/11
RSV Eintracht08/11Top Scorers
AltglienickeJ. Nietfeld9 ⚽
J. Saliger4 ⚽
E. Qenaj3 ⚽
J. Hartl3 ⚽
J. Brooks3 ⚽
D. Billand2 ⚽
Erzgebirge AueT. Maciejewski8 ⚽
M. Bar6 ⚽
L. Queisser4 ⚽
W. Kamm3 ⚽
Q. Fraulob2 ⚽
C. Ramadan2 ⚽
Cards Given
AltglienickeE. Oduah1 🟨
T. Rieder1 🟨
Erzgebirge AueT. Maciejewski2 🟨
M. Burghardt1 🟨