BFC Dynamo vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt — Regionalliga - Nordost
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BFC Dynamo and FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt meet in the Regionalliga - Nordost 2026 season on 27 November 2026. BFC Dynamo have recorded 12 wins from 22 matches this season (55% win rate), averaging 1.82 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 45%; and clean sheets in 41% of games. FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt have won 62% of their 21 matches, with 2.71 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 76%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.63 for BFC Dynamo and 1.45 for FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt. The models give BFC Dynamo a 40% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60% and BTTS at 62%.
Season Statistics
BFC Dynamo—
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt5º
Position
2º
1.92
PPG
2.15
54%
Win %
62%
1.69
Goals / game
3.00
1.00
Conceded / game
1.23
50%
BTTS %
67%
41%
Clean sheet %
29%
45%
Over 2.5 %
76%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
BFC Dynamo
Home (7)
—
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
Away (6)
2.43
PPG
2.17
71%
Win %
67%
1.86
Goals / game
2.50
0.43
Conceded / game
1.50
45%
BTTS %
75%
45%
Clean sheet %
25%
36%
Over 2.5 %
75%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| BFC Dynamo | Home | Away | FC Rot-Weiß | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 86% | 82% | 91% | 90% | 85% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 55% | 55% | 55% | 67% | 62% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 23% | 18% | 27% | 43% | 46% | 38% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 18% | 9% | 10% | 15% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| BFC Dynamo | Home | Away | FC Rot-Weiß | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 59% | 55% | 64% | 71% | 69% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 27% | 18% | 36% | 38% | 38% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 18% | 18% | 18% | 24% | 23% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 41% | 45% | 36% | 29% | 31% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| BFC Dynamo | FC Rot-Weiß | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 76% |
| Over 3.5 | 41% | 62% |
| Over 4.5 | 27% | 43% |
| BTTS | 50% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 18% | 38% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 19% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 36% | 57% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 19% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| BFC Dynamo | FC Rot-Weiß | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 55% | 43% |
| Draw 1st Half | 27% | 29% |
| Loss 1st Half | 18% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 64% | 57% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 32% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 41% | 52% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 14% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 23% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 55% | 76% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 45% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 77% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 41% | 48% |
Recent Venue Form
BFC Dynamo (H)D
Chemnitzer FC1–1
Chemnitzer FC1–1W
Greifswalder FC1–0
Greifswalder FC1–0W
Magdeburg II4–1
Magdeburg II4–1W
Tasmania Berlin3–1
Tasmania Berlin3–1W
BFC Preussen2–0
BFC Preussen2–0D
FSV Zwickau0–0
FSV Zwickau0–0FC Rot-Weiß (A)LChemnitzer FC1–3
Chemnitzer FC1–3W
Lokomotive Leipzig4–3
Lokomotive Leipzig4–3W
Hertha BSC II2–1
Hertha BSC II2–1W
Luckenwalde5–0
Luckenwalde5–0W
FC Carl Zeiss Jena2–1
FC Carl Zeiss Jena2–1D
Hallescher FC1–1
Hallescher FC1–1Head to Head · 9 matches
1
BFC Dynamo
11%
2
Draws
22%
6
FC Rot-Weiß
67%
89%
Over 1.5
8/9
78%
Over 2.5
7/9
67%
Over 3.5
6/9
89%
BTTS
8/9
24/07/26BFC Dynamo
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
4–1BFC Dynamo13/12/25BFC Dynamo
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
1–0BFC Dynamo01/08/25FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
BFC Dynamo
2–3FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt29/03/25BFC Dynamo
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
4–1BFC Dynamo28/09/24FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
BFC Dynamo
1–1FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt19/04/24FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
BFC Dynamo
2–2FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt04/11/23BFC Dynamo
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
3–1BFC Dynamo23/04/23FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
BFC Dynamo
2–1FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt06/11/22BFC Dynamo
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
4–1BFC Dynamo| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chemnitzer FC | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | +22 | 30 |
| 2 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | +23 | 28 |
| 3 | Hallescher FC | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | +11 | 28 |
| 4 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | +11 | 25 |
| 5 | BFC Dynamo | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | +9 | 25 |
| 6 |  Altglienicke | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 24 |
| 7 | Greifswalder FC | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | +6 | 22 |
| 8 |  Erzgebirge Aue | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 21 |
| 9 | FSV Zwickau | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 19 |
| 10 | Lokomotive Leipzig | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 17 |
| 11 | Magdeburg II | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | -2 | 16 |
| 12 |  SV Babelsberg 03 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -9 | 13 |
| 13 | BFC Preussen | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -5 | 11 |
| 14 |  BSG Chemie Leipzig | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -7 | 10 |
| 15 | Hertha BSC II | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -13 | 10 |
| 16 |  RSV Eintracht | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -16 | 9 |
| 17 | Tasmania Berlin | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | -19 | 8 |
| 18 | Luckenwalde | 13 | 2 | 0 | 11 | -18 | 6 |
Team Insights
BFC Dynamo- ●BFC Dynamo have been undefeated in their last 10 matches.
- ●BFC Dynamo have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●BFC Dynamo have been undefeated in their last 7 home matches.
- ●BFC Dynamo have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●BFC Dynamo have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●BFC Dynamo have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●BFC Dynamo have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 7 home matches.
- ●BFC Dynamo have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●BFC Dynamo have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●77% of BFC Dynamo's goals conceded were conceded away.
FC Rot-Weiß- ●FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt have scored in each of their last 13 matches.
- ●FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt have been undefeated in their last 7 home matches.
- ●FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt have won 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●62% of FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
BFC DynamoDHChemnitzer FC1–1
Chemnitzer FC1–1WAAltglienicke1–0
Altglienicke1–0WHGreifswalder FC1–0
Greifswalder FC1–0WHMagdeburg II4–1
Magdeburg II4–1DALokomotive Leipzig2–2
Lokomotive Leipzig2–2WHTasmania Berlin3–1
Tasmania Berlin3–1–AFC Carl Zeiss Jena23/10
FC Carl Zeiss Jena23/10–HRSV Eintracht30/10
RSV Eintracht30/10–ASV Babelsberg 0307/11
SV Babelsberg 0307/11FC Rot-WeißDHFSV Zwickau2–2
FSV Zwickau2–2LAChemnitzer FC1–3
Chemnitzer FC1–3WALokomotive Leipzig4–3
Lokomotive Leipzig4–3DHErzgebirge Aue2–2
Erzgebirge Aue2–2WAHertha BSC II2–1
Hertha BSC II2–1WHRSV Eintracht5–0
RSV Eintracht5–0–AGreifswalder FC24/10
Greifswalder FC24/10–HSV Babelsberg 0301/11
SV Babelsberg 0301/11–ABSG Chemie Leipzig06/11
BSG Chemie Leipzig06/11Top Scorers
BFC DynamoR. Dadashov10 ⚽
L. Mattmuller5 ⚽
T. Windsheimer3 ⚽
L. Bolke3 ⚽
V. Sadrifar2 ⚽
L. Fritzsche2 ⚽
FC Rot-WeißD. Forkel8 ⚽
S. Fehler6 ⚽
4 ⚽
H. Gonda4 ⚽
R. Assibey-Mensah4 ⚽
R. Felssberg3 ⚽
Cards Given
BFC DynamoW. Noack1 🟨
FC Rot-WeißN. Claxton1 🟨