Erzgebirge Aue vs Tasmania Berlin — Regionalliga - Nordost
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Erzgebirge Aue and Tasmania Berlin meet in the Regionalliga - Nordost 2026 season on 6 December 2026. Erzgebirge Aue have recorded 11 wins from 21 matches this season (52% win rate), averaging 1.95 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 62% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 76%; and clean sheets in 24% of games. Tasmania Berlin have won 33% of their 24 matches, with 1.71 goals scored and 2.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 75%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.97 for Erzgebirge Aue and 1.39 for Tasmania Berlin. The models give Erzgebirge Aue a 54% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Tasmania Berlin win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 65% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Erzgebirge Aue | Home | Away | Tasmania Berlin | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 81% | 77% | 88% | 79% | 87% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 67% | 62% | 75% | 50% | 60% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 29% | 31% | 25% | 25% | 33% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 19% | 23% | 13% | 21% | 13% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Erzgebirge Aue | Home | Away | Tasmania Berlin | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 76% | 85% | 63% | 83% | 73% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 46% | 25% | 75% | 73% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 19% | 23% | 13% | 42% | 47% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 24% | 15% | 38% | 17% | 27% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Erzgebirge Aue | Tasmania Berlin | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 96% |
| Over 2.5 | 76% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 63% |
| Over 4.5 | 19% | 46% |
| BTTS | 62% | 63% |
| BTTS & Win | 33% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 10% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 62% | 58% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Erzgebirge Aue | Tasmania Berlin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 24% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 24% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 52% |
| Scored 1st Half | 52% | 57% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 48% | 71% |
| Win 2nd Half | 43% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 43% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 14% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 71% | 62% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 62% | 62% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 81% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 52% | 67% |
Recent Venue Form
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Erzgebirge Aue | Tasmania Berlin |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 2.0 | 0.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 15.0 | 0.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
Head to Head · 1 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | +24 | 31 | |
| 2 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | +21 | 30 | |
| 3 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | +11 | 28 | |
| 4 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | +9 | 27 | |
| 5 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | +11 | 26 | |
| 6 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | +9 | 26 | |
| 7 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | +5 | 24 | |
| 8 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +5 | 22 | |
| 9 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | -1 | 19 | |
| 10 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 19 | |
| 11 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 17 | |
| 12 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 16 | |
| 13 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -6 | 11 | |
| 14 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -18 | 11 | |
| 15 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -7 | 10 | |
| 16 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -13 | 10 | |
| 17 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -17 | 9 | |
| 18 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 12 | -20 | 6 |
Team Insights
- ●Erzgebirge Aue failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Erzgebirge Aue failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Erzgebirge Aue have won 4 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Erzgebirge Aue have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Tasmania Berlin have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Tasmania Berlin have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Tasmania Berlin failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●Tasmania Berlin failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Tasmania Berlin have lost 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Tasmania Berlin failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Tasmania Berlin have lost 5 of their 8 away matches.
- ●62% of Tasmania Berlin's goals have been scored at home.
- ●64% of Tasmania Berlin's points have been earned away.
- ●Tasmania Berlin have scored 62% of their goals in the first half.