BFC Preussen vs Erzgebirge Aue — Regionalliga - Nordost
← Back
vs
–
–
🔒 Pro Feature
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
From€8.99/Mo
Billed Annually · Cancel Anytime
BFC Preussen and Erzgebirge Aue meet in the Regionalliga - Nordost 2026 season on 14 February 2027. BFC Preussen have recorded 6 wins from 25 matches this season (24% win rate), averaging 1.48 goals scored and 1.56 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 68% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 12% of games. Erzgebirge Aue have won 55% of their 22 matches, with 1.91 goals scored and 1.36 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 59%, Over 2.5 at 73%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.49 for BFC Preussen and 1.52 for Erzgebirge Aue. The models give BFC Preussen a 35% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Erzgebirge Aue win at 39%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 58% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
BFC Preussen—
Erzgebirge Aue13º
Position
7º
0.94
PPG
1.80
19%
Win %
53%
1.25
Goals / game
1.60
1.44
Conceded / game
1.20
68%
BTTS %
59%
12%
Clean sheet %
27%
56%
Over 2.5 %
73%
0.0
Avg corners
2.0
0.0
Avg shots
5.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
1.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
1.0
0.0
Avg fouls
4.0
0.0%
Avg possession
35.0%
Home vs Away
BFC Preussen
Home (8)
—
Erzgebirge Aue
Away (7)
1.25
PPG
1.86
25%
Win %
57%
1.63
Goals / game
1.71
1.25
Conceded / game
1.14
90%
BTTS %
50%
10%
Clean sheet %
38%
60%
Over 2.5 %
75%
0.0
Avg corners
2.0
0.0
Avg shots
5.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
1.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
1.0
0.0%
Avg possession
35.0%
Goals Scored
| BFC Preussen | Home | Away | Erzgebirge Aue | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 100% | 67% | 83% | 79% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 32% | 40% | 27% | 65% | 57% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 30% | 13% | 26% | 29% | 22% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 0% | 33% | 17% | 21% | 11% |
Goals Conceded
| BFC Preussen | Home | Away | Erzgebirge Aue | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 88% | 90% | 87% | 74% | 79% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 44% | 40% | 47% | 35% | 43% | 22% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 10% | 27% | 17% | 21% | 11% |
| Clean Sheets | 12% | 10% | 13% | 26% | 21% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| BFC Preussen | Erzgebirge Aue | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 74% |
| Over 3.5 | 36% | 35% |
| Over 4.5 | 24% | 17% |
| BTTS | 68% | 61% |
| BTTS & Win | 12% | 35% |
| BTTS & Draw | 28% | 9% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 61% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 12% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| BFC Preussen | Erzgebirge Aue | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 35% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 39% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 26% |
| Scored 1st Half | 46% | 52% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 48% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 48% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 39% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 42% | 13% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 74% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 71% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 38% | 52% |
Recent Venue Form
BFC Preussen (H)W
FSV Zwickau3–0
FSV Zwickau3–0L
Altglienicke1–3
Altglienicke1–3D
Hertha BSC II1–1
Hertha BSC II1–1D
Tasmania Berlin1–1
Tasmania Berlin1–1W
Magdeburg II4–1
Magdeburg II4–1D
Greifswalder FC1–1
Greifswalder FC1–1Erzgebirge Aue (A)W
RSV Eintracht2–1
RSV Eintracht2–1WFSV Zwickau3–0
FSV Zwickau3–0LGreifswalder FC0–1
Greifswalder FC0–1D
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt2–2
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt2–2WMagdeburg II2–1
Magdeburg II2–1W
Lokomotive Leipzig2–1
Lokomotive Leipzig2–1Team Corners
| Team Corners | BFC Preussen | Erzgebirge Aue |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 0.0 | 2.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 0.0 | 15.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
Head to Head · 1 matches
0
BFC Preussen
0%
0
Draws
0%
1
Erzgebirge Aue
100%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
100%
Over 2.5
1/1
0%
Over 3.5
0/1
100%
BTTS
1/1
09/08/26BFC Preussen
Erzgebirge Aue
2–1BFC Preussen| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | +29 | 37 |
| 2 |  Chemnitzer FC | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | +18 | 33 |
| 3 |  BFC Dynamo | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | +12 | 32 |
| 4 |  Hallescher FC | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | +11 | 31 |
| 5 | Altglienicke | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | +12 | 30 |
| 6 |  FC Carl Zeiss Jena | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | +10 | 27 |
| 7 | Erzgebirge Aue | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 27 |
| 8 | Greifswalder FC | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | +9 | 26 |
| 9 | Lokomotive Leipzig | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 21 |
| 10 | Magdeburg II | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | -1 | 20 |
| 11 | FSV Zwickau | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 19 |
| 12 |  SV Babelsberg 03 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -12 | 16 |
| 13 | BFC Preussen | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -3 | 15 |
| 14 |  BSG Chemie Leipzig | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -7 | 14 |
| 15 | Hertha BSC II | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -15 | 11 |
| 16 | Tasmania Berlin | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | -24 | 11 |
| 17 | RSV Eintracht | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | -19 | 9 |
| 18 |  Luckenwalde | 16 | 2 | 2 | 12 | -20 | 8 |
Team Insights
BFC Preussen- ●BFC Preussen have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●BFC Preussen failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●BFC Preussen have scored in 8 of their 8 home matches.
- ●BFC Preussen failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●BFC Preussen have lost 5 of their 8 away matches.
- ●65% of BFC Preussen's goals have been scored at home.
Erzgebirge Aue- ●Erzgebirge Aue have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Erzgebirge Aue have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Erzgebirge Aue failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Erzgebirge Aue failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Erzgebirge Aue have won 5 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Erzgebirge Aue have scored in 7 of their 8 away matches.
Season Schedule
BFC PreussenDAFC Carl Zeiss Jena1–1
FC Carl Zeiss Jena1–1WHFSV Zwickau3–0
FSV Zwickau3–0LASV Babelsberg 030–1
SV Babelsberg 030–1LHAltglienicke1–3
Altglienicke1–3DHHertha BSC II1–1
Hertha BSC II1–1LAHallescher FC2–3
Hallescher FC2–3–HBSG Chemie Leipzig22/11
BSG Chemie Leipzig22/11–ARSV Eintracht28/11
RSV Eintracht28/11–HChemnitzer FC06/12
Chemnitzer FC06/12Erzgebirge AueWARSV Eintracht2–1
RSV Eintracht2–1WHFC Carl Zeiss Jena1–0
FC Carl Zeiss Jena1–0WAFSV Zwickau3–0
FSV Zwickau3–0LHHallescher FC0–1
Hallescher FC0–1LAGreifswalder FC0–1
Greifswalder FC0–1LHBSG Chemie Leipzig1–2
BSG Chemie Leipzig1–2–HSV Babelsberg 0321/11
SV Babelsberg 0321/11–AAltglienicke28/11
Altglienicke28/11–HTasmania Berlin06/12
Tasmania Berlin06/12Top Scorers
BFC PreussenP. Fontein5 ⚽
C. Hausl3 ⚽
O. Adekunle3 ⚽
3 ⚽
N. Frank2 ⚽
L. Inderwisch2 ⚽
Erzgebirge AueM. Bar9 ⚽
T. Maciejewski8 ⚽
L. Queisser4 ⚽
W. Kamm3 ⚽
F. Heidrich2 ⚽
P. W. Kapp2 ⚽
Cards Given
BFC PreussenB. F. Meyer2 🟨
C. Hausl1 🟨
Erzgebirge AueD. Fisl2 🟨
T. Maciejewski2 🟨
M. Burghardt1 🟨