Tasmania Berlin vs Luckenwalde — Regionalliga - Nordost
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Tasmania Berlin and Luckenwalde meet in the Regionalliga - Nordost 2026 season on 14 February 2027. Tasmania Berlin have recorded 8 wins from 26 matches this season (31% win rate), averaging 1.69 goals scored and 2.65 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 62% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 77%; and clean sheets in 15% of games. Luckenwalde have won 13% of their 23 matches, with 1.13 goals scored and 1.96 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 74%, Over 2.5 at 61%, and clean sheets at 9%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.03 for Tasmania Berlin and 1.86 for Luckenwalde. The models give Tasmania Berlin a 46% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Luckenwalde win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 74% and BTTS at 74%.
Season Statistics
Tasmania Berlin—
Luckenwalde16º
Position
18º
0.69
PPG
0.50
19%
Win %
13%
1.50
Goals / game
1.06
3.00
Conceded / game
2.31
62%
BTTS %
74%
15%
Clean sheet %
9%
77%
Over 2.5 %
61%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Tasmania Berlin
Home (7)
—
Luckenwalde
Away (8)
0.57
PPG
0.88
14%
Win %
25%
2.29
Goals / game
1.25
3.00
Conceded / game
2.00
63%
BTTS %
82%
25%
Clean sheet %
9%
81%
Over 2.5 %
73%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Tasmania Berlin | Home | Away | Luckenwalde | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 77% | 88% | 60% | 78% | 67% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 63% | 30% | 26% | 25% | 27% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 27% | 38% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 9% |
| Failed To Score | 23% | 13% | 40% | 22% | 33% | 9% |
Goals Conceded
| Tasmania Berlin | Home | Away | Luckenwalde | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 85% | 75% | 100% | 91% | 92% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 77% | 75% | 80% | 61% | 58% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 46% | 50% | 40% | 35% | 33% | 36% |
| Clean Sheets | 15% | 25% | 0% | 9% | 8% | 9% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Tasmania Berlin | Luckenwalde | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 96% | 91% |
| Over 2.5 | 77% | 61% |
| Over 3.5 | 65% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 | 50% | 17% |
| BTTS | 62% | 74% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 9% |
| BTTS & Draw | 12% | 26% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 58% | 52% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 19% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Tasmania Berlin | Luckenwalde | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 17% |
| Draw 1st Half | 22% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 57% | 39% |
| Scored 1st Half | 57% | 52% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 74% | 61% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 17% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 43% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 39% | 39% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 61% | 48% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 65% | 74% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 91% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 70% | 57% |
Recent Venue Form
Tasmania Berlin (H)L
Chemnitzer FC3–4
Chemnitzer FC3–4W
SV Babelsberg 036–0
SV Babelsberg 036–0L
FC Carl Zeiss Jena1–5
FC Carl Zeiss Jena1–5L
BSG Chemie Leipzig2–5
BSG Chemie Leipzig2–5D
Greifswalder FC2–2
Greifswalder FC2–2L
Lokomotive Leipzig2–3
Lokomotive Leipzig2–3Luckenwalde (A)D
Hallescher FC2–2
Hallescher FC2–2L
Altglienicke1–3
Altglienicke1–3WBSG Chemie Leipzig3–1
BSG Chemie Leipzig3–1LGreifswalder FC1–3
Greifswalder FC1–3L
Erzgebirge Aue1–2
Erzgebirge Aue1–2L
FSV Zwickau1–2
FSV Zwickau1–2Head to Head · 5 matches
1
Tasmania Berlin
20%
1
Draws
20%
3
Luckenwalde
60%
80%
Over 1.5
4/5
40%
Over 2.5
2/5
40%
Over 3.5
2/5
40%
BTTS
2/5
08/08/26Tasmania Berlin
Luckenwalde
2–3Tasmania Berlin10/01/24Tasmania Berlin
Luckenwalde
1–0Tasmania Berlin17/11/23Tasmania Berlin
Luckenwalde
1–1Tasmania Berlin06/02/22Tasmania Berlin
Luckenwalde
2–0Tasmania Berlin13/08/21Luckenwalde
Tasmania Berlin
0–4Luckenwalde| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | +29 | 37 |
| 2 | Chemnitzer FC | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | +18 | 33 |
| 3 |  BFC Dynamo | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | +12 | 32 |
| 4 | Hallescher FC | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | +11 | 31 |
| 5 | Altglienicke | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | +12 | 30 |
| 6 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | +10 | 27 |
| 7 | Erzgebirge Aue | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 27 |
| 8 | Greifswalder FC | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | +9 | 26 |
| 9 | Lokomotive Leipzig | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 21 |
| 10 |  Magdeburg II | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | -1 | 20 |
| 11 | FSV Zwickau | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 19 |
| 12 | SV Babelsberg 03 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -12 | 16 |
| 13 |  BFC Preussen | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -3 | 15 |
| 14 | BSG Chemie Leipzig | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -7 | 14 |
| 15 |  Hertha BSC II | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -15 | 11 |
| 16 | Tasmania Berlin | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | -24 | 11 |
| 17 |  RSV Eintracht | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | -19 | 9 |
| 18 | Luckenwalde | 16 | 2 | 2 | 12 | -20 | 8 |
Team Insights
Tasmania Berlin- ●Tasmania Berlin have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Tasmania Berlin failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 away matches.
- ●Tasmania Berlin failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Tasmania Berlin have lost 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Tasmania Berlin have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Tasmania Berlin failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 9 away matches.
- ●Tasmania Berlin have lost 6 of their 9 away matches.
- ●67% of Tasmania Berlin's goals have been scored at home.
- ●64% of Tasmania Berlin's points have been earned away.
- ●Tasmania Berlin have scored 58% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Tasmania Berlin have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Luckenwalde- ●Luckenwalde have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Luckenwalde failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 13 matches.
- ●Luckenwalde have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Luckenwalde have failed to win in their last 8 home matches.
- ●Luckenwalde failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Luckenwalde failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Luckenwalde have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Luckenwalde failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Luckenwalde have lost 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Luckenwalde failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Luckenwalde have lost 5 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Luckenwalde have scored in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●88% of Luckenwalde's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
Tasmania BerlinLAAltglienicke0–5
Altglienicke0–5LHChemnitzer FC3–4
Chemnitzer FC3–4WARSV Eintracht2–1
RSV Eintracht2–1WHSV Babelsberg 036–0
SV Babelsberg 036–0LAFSV Zwickau0–2
FSV Zwickau0–2LHFC Carl Zeiss Jena1–5
FC Carl Zeiss Jena1–5–HHertha BSC II21/11
Hertha BSC II21/11–HMagdeburg II29/11
Magdeburg II29/11–AErzgebirge Aue06/12
Erzgebirge Aue06/12LuckenwaldeDAHallescher FC2–2
Hallescher FC2–2DHHertha BSC II1–1
Hertha BSC II1–1LAAltglienicke1–3
Altglienicke1–3LHFC Carl Zeiss Jena1–2
FC Carl Zeiss Jena1–2WABSG Chemie Leipzig3–1
BSG Chemie Leipzig3–1LHSV Babelsberg 032–3
SV Babelsberg 032–3–HChemnitzer FC21/11
Chemnitzer FC21/11–ALokomotive Leipzig28/11
Lokomotive Leipzig28/11–HRSV Eintracht06/12
RSV Eintracht06/12Top Scorers
Tasmania BerlinE. Berko7 ⚽
S. Mensah4 ⚽
R. Yajima3 ⚽
J. Collins3 ⚽
P. Vitor3 ⚽
A. Beyazit3 ⚽
LuckenwaldeF. Pilger7 ⚽
L. Will2 ⚽
F. Schneider2 ⚽
J. Matzke2 ⚽
P. Konig1 ⚽
Q. Seidel1 ⚽
Cards Given
Tasmania BerlinJ. Collins2 🟨
P. Vitor2 🟨
E. Bekdemir1 🟨
K. Barry1 🟨
M. Mika1 🟨
S. Eder1 🟨
LuckenwaldeF. Pilger2 🟨
L. Neumann2 🟨