Hessen Kassel vs VfR Mannheim — Regionalliga - SudWest
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Hessen Kassel and VfR Mannheim meet in the Regionalliga - SudWest 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Hessen Kassel have recorded 8 wins from 19 matches this season (42% win rate), averaging 1.68 goals scored and 1.74 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 42% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 74%; and clean sheets in 21% of games. VfR Mannheim have won 36% of their 14 matches, with 2.00 goals scored and 1.64 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 64%, Over 2.5 at 57%, and clean sheets at 21%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.71 for Hessen Kassel and 1.38 for VfR Mannheim. The models give Hessen Kassel a 47% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an VfR Mannheim win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
Hessen KasselVfR MannheimHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Hessen Kassel | Home | Away | VfR Mannheim | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 58% | 63% | 55% | 64% | 67% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 42% | 63% | 27% | 50% | 44% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 37% | 50% | 27% | 36% | 44% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 42% | 38% | 45% | 36% | 33% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Hessen Kassel | Home | Away | VfR Mannheim | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 79% | 88% | 73% | 79% | 78% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 47% | 38% | 55% | 50% | 56% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 21% | 25% | 18% | 14% | 22% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 21% | 13% | 27% | 21% | 22% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Hessen Kassel | VfR Mannheim | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 | 84% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 | 74% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 | 47% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 | 26% | 29% |
| BTTS | 42% | 64% |
| BTTS & Win | 26% | 36% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 42% | 57% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 32% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Hessen Kassel | VfR Mannheim | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 37% | 36% |
| Draw 1st Half | 26% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 37% | 14% |
| Scored 1st Half | 58% | 57% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 58% | 57% |
| Win 2nd Half | 32% | 14% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 16% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 53% | 36% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 37% | 43% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 63% | 64% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 84% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 63% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
Hessen Kassel (H)
Kickers Offenbach2–1
SV Sandhausen5–2
Eintracht Trier0–1
Eintracht Frankfurt II3–0
FC Schalke 040–5
Lippstadt 084–1VfR Mannheim (A)
FSV Mainz 05 II2–1
Freiburg II0–0
FSV Frankfurt2–2
Hoffenheim II0–2
Pirmasens1–0
CFR Pforzheim1–2| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kickers Offenbach | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 16 |
| 2 |  SGV Freiberg | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +14 | 15 |
| 3 | Eintracht Trier | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 13 |
| 4 |  Stuttgarter Kickers | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 13 |
| 5 |  FC 08 Homburg | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 | FSV Frankfurt | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 12 |
| 7 |  VfR Aalen | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 12 |
| 8 | Freiburg II | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +4 | 10 |
| 9 |  TSV Steinbach | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Hessen Kassel | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 11 | VfR Mannheim | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | SV Sandhausen | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 13 | Eintracht Frankfurt II | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 |  FC Astoria Walldorf | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 15 | FSV Mainz 05 II | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -9 | 6 |
| 16 |  Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 5 |
| 17 |  Kaiserslautern II | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -12 | 5 |
| 18 |  SSV Ulm 1846 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 3 |
Team Insights
Hessen Kassel- ●Hessen Kassel failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Hessen Kassel have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Hessen Kassel have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Hessen Kassel have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●83% of Hessen Kassel's goals have been scored at home.
- ●69% of Hessen Kassel's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●100% of Hessen Kassel's points have been earned at home.
- ●Hessen Kassel have scored 67% of their goals in the first half.
VfR Mannheim- ●VfR Mannheim have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●VfR Mannheim have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●VfR Mannheim have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●63% of VfR Mannheim's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
Hessen KasselKickers Offenbach2–1FSV Frankfurt0–2SV Sandhausen5–2Eintracht Trier0–1TSV Steinbach1–2Freiburg II1–5FC 08 Homburg19/09FSV Mainz 05 II26/09SSV Ulm 184603/10VfR MannheimVfR Aalen0–0FSV Mainz 05 II2–1FC 08 Homburg1–1Freiburg II0–0SGV Freiberg0–0Eintracht Trier1–2FC Astoria Walldorf19/09Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.26/09Eintracht Frankfurt II02/10Top Scorers
Hessen KasselVfR MannheimCards Given
Hessen KasselVfR Mannheim