FSV Mainz 05 II vs SSV Ulm 1846 — Regionalliga - SudWest
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FSV Mainz 05 II and SSV Ulm 1846 meet in the Regionalliga - SudWest 2026 season on 17 October 2026. FSV Mainz 05 II have recorded 9 wins from 17 matches this season (53% win rate), averaging 1.82 goals scored and 1.35 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 59% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 71%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. SSV Ulm 1846 have won 38% of their 16 matches, with 1.81 goals scored and 2.06 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 69%, Over 2.5 at 75%, and clean sheets at 6%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.69 for FSV Mainz 05 II and 1.34 for SSV Ulm 1846. The models give FSV Mainz 05 II a 48% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an SSV Ulm 1846 win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
FSV Mainz 05 IISSV Ulm 1846Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| FSV Mainz | Home | Away | SSV Ulm | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 82% | 90% | 71% | 69% | 78% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 47% | 50% | 43% | 63% | 67% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 24% | 30% | 14% | 31% | 33% | 29% |
| Failed To Score | 18% | 10% | 29% | 31% | 22% | 43% |
Goals Conceded
| FSV Mainz | Home | Away | SSV Ulm | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 70% | 71% | 94% | 100% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 35% | 30% | 43% | 56% | 67% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 18% | 10% | 29% | 31% | 33% | 29% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 30% | 29% | 6% | 0% | 14% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| FSV Mainz | SSV Ulm | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 | 35% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 | 24% | 31% |
| BTTS | 59% | 69% |
| BTTS & Win | 29% | 38% |
| BTTS & Draw | 6% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 53% | 69% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 18% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| FSV Mainz | SSV Ulm | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 44% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 31% | 31% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 44% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 38% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 44% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 31% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 31% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 19% | 31% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 63% | 69% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 56% | 75% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 44% | 44% |
Recent Venue Form
FSV Mainz (H)
VfR Mannheim1–2
VfR Aalen1–3
FSV Frankfurt2–1
Kreuzlingen2–1
Progres Niederkorn1–0
Freiburg II0–4SSV Ulm (A)VfR Aalen0–2
FC Astoria Walldorf0–0
Stuttgarter Kickers2–4
SSV Jahn Regensburg0–1
TSV Berg4–1
Schwabmünchen3–1Head to Head · 7 matches
FSV Mainz 05 IISSV Ulm 1846SSV Ulm 1846FSV Mainz 05 IIFSV Mainz 05 IISSV Ulm 1846FSV Mainz 05 II| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kickers Offenbach | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 16 |
| 2 |  SGV Freiberg | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +14 | 15 |
| 3 |  Eintracht Trier | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 13 |
| 4 | Stuttgarter Kickers | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 13 |
| 5 |  FC 08 Homburg | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 | FSV Frankfurt | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 12 |
| 7 | VfR Aalen | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 12 |
| 8 | Freiburg II | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +4 | 10 |
| 9 |  TSV Steinbach | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 |  Hessen Kassel | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 11 | VfR Mannheim | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 |  SV Sandhausen | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 13 |  Eintracht Frankfurt II | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 | FC Astoria Walldorf | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 15 | FSV Mainz 05 II | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -9 | 6 |
| 16 |  Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 5 |
| 17 |  Kaiserslautern II | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -12 | 5 |
| 18 | SSV Ulm 1846 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 3 |
Team Insights
FSV Mainz- ●FSV Mainz 05 II failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●65% of FSV Mainz 05 II's goals conceded were conceded away.
SSV Ulm- ●SSV Ulm 1846 have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●SSV Ulm 1846 have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●SSV Ulm 1846 have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●78% of SSV Ulm 1846's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
FSV MainzSGV Freiberg0–5VfR Mannheim1–2Stuttgarter Kickers2–1VfR Aalen1–3Kickers Offenbach1–3FSV Frankfurt2–1Kaiserslautern II19/09Hessen Kassel26/09Freiburg II03/10SSV UlmFSV Frankfurt1–2VfR Aalen0–2SGV Freiberg4–4FC Astoria Walldorf0–0Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.2–2Kickers Offenbach0–2SV Sandhausen19/09Eintracht Trier26/09Hessen Kassel03/10Top Scorers
FSV MainzSSV UlmCards Given
FSV MainzSSV Ulm