VfR Aalen vs Hessen Kassel — Regionalliga - SudWest
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VfR Aalen and Hessen Kassel meet in the Regionalliga - SudWest 2026 season on 7 November 2026. VfR Aalen have recorded 10 wins from 18 matches this season (56% win rate), averaging 1.83 goals scored and 1.11 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 28% of games. Hessen Kassel have won 39% of their 23 matches, with 1.74 goals scored and 1.78 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 52%, Over 2.5 at 78%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.00 for VfR Aalen and 1.40 for Hessen Kassel. The models give VfR Aalen a 51% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Hessen Kassel win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 66% and BTTS at 65%.
Season Statistics
VfR Aalen—
Hessen Kassel2º
Position
11º
1.91
PPG
1.27
55%
Win %
36%
1.82
Goals / game
1.82
1.00
Conceded / game
1.91
67%
BTTS %
52%
28%
Clean sheet %
17%
56%
Over 2.5 %
78%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
VfR Aalen
Home (6)
—
Hessen Kassel
Away (5)
1.67
PPG
0.80
50%
Win %
20%
1.83
Goals / game
1.40
1.33
Conceded / game
2.60
73%
BTTS %
46%
18%
Clean sheet %
23%
64%
Over 2.5 %
69%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| VfR Aalen | Home | Away | Hessen Kassel | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 89% | 91% | 86% | 65% | 70% | 62% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 67% | 64% | 71% | 48% | 60% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 22% | 18% | 29% | 35% | 40% | 31% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 9% | 14% | 35% | 30% | 38% |
Goals Conceded
| VfR Aalen | Home | Away | Hessen Kassel | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 72% | 82% | 57% | 83% | 90% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 22% | 36% | 0% | 57% | 50% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 27% | 0% | 17% | 20% | 15% |
| Clean Sheets | 28% | 18% | 43% | 17% | 10% | 23% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| VfR Aalen | Hessen Kassel | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 94% | 87% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 | 39% | 52% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 26% |
| BTTS | 67% | 52% |
| BTTS & Win | 33% | 26% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 9% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 52% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 26% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| VfR Aalen | Hessen Kassel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 67% | 35% |
| Draw 1st Half | 28% | 26% |
| Loss 1st Half | 6% | 39% |
| Scored 1st Half | 72% | 61% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 11% | 61% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 35% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 17% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 48% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 48% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 72% | 61% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 87% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 65% |
Recent Venue Form
VfR Aalen (H)W
FSV Frankfurt4–1
FSV Frankfurt4–1L
SGV Freiberg2–3
SGV Freiberg2–3W
SSV Ulm 18462–0
SSV Ulm 18462–0W
Eintracht Trier2–0
Eintracht Trier2–0L
Eintracht Frankfurt II0–3
Eintracht Frankfurt II0–3D
Freiburg II1–1
Freiburg II1–1Hessen Kassel (A)W
Kaiserslautern II3–2
Kaiserslautern II3–2D
FC 08 Homburg2–2
FC 08 Homburg2–2LFSV Frankfurt0–2
FSV Frankfurt0–2L
TSV Steinbach1–2
TSV Steinbach1–2LFreiburg II1–5
Freiburg II1–5L
SV Rodinghausen1–2
SV Rodinghausen1–2Head to Head · 8 matches
3
VfR Aalen
38%
4
Draws
50%
1
Hessen Kassel
13%
88%
Over 1.5
7/8
50%
Over 2.5
4/8
13%
Over 3.5
1/8
75%
BTTS
6/8
09/12/23VfR Aalen
Hessen Kassel
3–2VfR Aalen26/08/23Hessen Kassel
VfR Aalen
1–1Hessen Kassel21/03/23VfR Aalen
Hessen Kassel
1–2VfR Aalen02/09/22Hessen Kassel
VfR Aalen
3–0Hessen Kassel07/05/22Hessen Kassel
VfR Aalen
0–0Hessen Kassel13/11/21VfR Aalen
Hessen Kassel
1–2VfR Aalen10/04/21VfR Aalen
Hessen Kassel
1–1VfR Aalen20/10/20Hessen Kassel
VfR Aalen
1–1Hessen Kassel| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SGV Freiberg | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | +16 | 23 |
| 2 | VfR Aalen | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 |  Kickers Offenbach | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 |  Stuttgarter Kickers | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 20 |
| 5 |  VfR Mannheim | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +7 | 17 |
| 6 | Freiburg II | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +6 | 16 |
| 7 | TSV Steinbach | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +4 | 16 |
| 8 | FC 08 Homburg | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 |  SV Sandhausen | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 16 |
| 10 | Eintracht Trier | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 16 |
| 11 | Hessen Kassel | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 14 |
| 12 | FSV Frankfurt | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 | Eintracht Frankfurt II | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 |  FC Astoria Walldorf | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 |  FSV Mainz 05 II | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -11 | 10 |
| 16 | Kaiserslautern II | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -12 | 9 |
| 17 | SSV Ulm 1846 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 8 |
| 18 |  Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -10 | 6 |
Team Insights
VfR Aalen- ●VfR Aalen have won their last 3 matches.
- ●VfR Aalen have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●VfR Aalen have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●VfR Aalen have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●VfR Aalen failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●VfR Aalen have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●73% of VfR Aalen's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●VfR Aalen have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
Hessen Kassel- ●Hessen Kassel failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Hessen Kassel have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Hessen Kassel have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Hessen Kassel failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Hessen Kassel have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Hessen Kassel failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Hessen Kassel have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Hessen Kassel failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Hessen Kassel failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●65% of Hessen Kassel's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Hessen Kassel have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
VfR AalenWABarockstadt Fulda-Lehn.2–0
Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.2–0WHFSV Frankfurt4–1
FSV Frankfurt4–1WAKickers Offenbach3–1
Kickers Offenbach3–1LHSGV Freiberg2–3
SGV Freiberg2–3DAVfR Mannheim0–0
VfR Mannheim0–0WHSSV Ulm 18462–0
SSV Ulm 18462–0–HFC Astoria Walldorf17/10
FC Astoria Walldorf17/10–ASV Sandhausen24/10
SV Sandhausen24/10–AStuttgarter Kickers31/10
Stuttgarter Kickers31/10Hessen KasselWAKaiserslautern II3–2
Kaiserslautern II3–2DHSSV Ulm 18462–2
SSV Ulm 18462–2LHFSV Mainz 05 II1–2
FSV Mainz 05 II1–2DAFC 08 Homburg2–2
FC 08 Homburg2–2WHKickers Offenbach2–1
Kickers Offenbach2–1LAFSV Frankfurt0–2
FSV Frankfurt0–2–HVfR Mannheim17/10
VfR Mannheim17/10–AFC Astoria Walldorf24/10
FC Astoria Walldorf24/10–HBarockstadt Fulda-Lehn.31/10
Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.31/10Top Scorers
VfR AalenD. Melo8 ⚽
G. Gaudino6 ⚽
S. Maksimovic4 ⚽
M. Kleinschrodt3 ⚽
L. Gross1 ⚽
O. V. Ohurtsov1 ⚽
Hessen KasselS. Sararer7 ⚽
L. Damer3 ⚽
E. Boeyuekata2 ⚽
C. Sezer2 ⚽
L. Rupp2 ⚽
F. Bindbeutel1 ⚽
Cards Given
VfR Aalen1 🟨
Hessen KasselM. Springfeld2 🟨