VfR Aalen vs FC 08 Homburg — Regionalliga - SudWest
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VfR Aalen and FC 08 Homburg meet in the Regionalliga - SudWest 2026 season on 21 November 2026. VfR Aalen have recorded 11 wins from 19 matches this season (58% win rate), averaging 1.84 goals scored and 1.05 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 63% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 53%; and clean sheets in 32% of games. FC 08 Homburg have won 58% of their 26 matches, with 2.08 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 73%, Over 2.5 at 73%, and clean sheets at 12%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.73 for VfR Aalen and 1.33 for FC 08 Homburg. The models give VfR Aalen a 46% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an FC 08 Homburg win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| VfR Aalen | Home | Away | FC 08 | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 89% | 92% | 86% | 85% | 92% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 68% | 67% | 71% | 65% | 75% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 21% | 17% | 29% | 31% | 33% | 29% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 8% | 14% | 15% | 8% | 21% |
Goals Conceded
| VfR Aalen | Home | Away | FC 08 | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 68% | 75% | 57% | 88% | 83% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 21% | 33% | 0% | 35% | 17% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 16% | 25% | 0% | 15% | 0% | 29% |
| Clean Sheets | 32% | 25% | 43% | 12% | 17% | 7% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| VfR Aalen | FC 08 | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 95% | 85% |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 | 37% | 46% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 31% |
| BTTS | 63% | 73% |
| BTTS & Win | 32% | 46% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 47% | 65% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| VfR Aalen | FC 08 | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 63% | 40% |
| Draw 1st Half | 32% | 32% |
| Loss 1st Half | 5% | 28% |
| Scored 1st Half | 68% | 64% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 11% | 56% |
| Win 2nd Half | 37% | 32% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 32% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 32% | 24% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 68% | 68% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 68% | 64% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 74% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 32% | 52% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 10 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | +19 | 26 | |
| 2 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +11 | 24 | |
| 3 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | +11 | 23 | |
| 4 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +6 | 23 | |
| 5 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +6 | 20 | |
| 6 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 19 | |
| 7 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 19 | |
| 8 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 19 | |
| 9 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +5 | 16 | |
| 10 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +2 | 16 | |
| 11 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 14 | |
| 12 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 13 | |
| 13 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 13 | |
| 14 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 11 | |
| 15 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -5 | 10 | |
| 16 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -13 | 10 | |
| 17 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -7 | 9 | |
| 18 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -13 | 6 |
Team Insights
- ●VfR Aalen have won their last 4 matches.
- ●VfR Aalen have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●VfR Aalen have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●VfR Aalen have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●VfR Aalen have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●VfR Aalen have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●VfR Aalen have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●VfR Aalen have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●VfR Aalen have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●VfR Aalen have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●73% of VfR Aalen's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●FC 08 Homburg have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●FC 08 Homburg failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 12 matches.
- ●FC 08 Homburg have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●FC 08 Homburg failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●FC 08 Homburg have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●FC 08 Homburg failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●FC 08 Homburg failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●FC 08 Homburg failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.