Hessen Kassel vs SGV Freiberg — Regionalliga - SudWest
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Auestadion·Kassel·Germany·18,737
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Hessen Kassel and SGV Freiberg meet in the Regionalliga - SudWest 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Hessen Kassel have recorded 9 wins from 24 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.67 goals scored and 1.83 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 79%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. SGV Freiberg have won 45% of their 20 matches, with 2.60 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 85%, and clean sheets at 35%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.59 for Hessen Kassel and 1.82 for SGV Freiberg. The models give Hessen Kassel a 32% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an SGV Freiberg win at 43%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 66% and BTTS at 67%.
Season Statistics
Hessen Kassel—
SGV Freiberg11º
Position
1º
1.17
PPG
2.17
33%
Win %
58%
1.67
Goals / game
2.58
2.00
Conceded / game
1.00
50%
BTTS %
60%
17%
Clean sheet %
35%
79%
Over 2.5 %
85%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Hessen Kassel
Home (7)
—
SGV Freiberg
Away (6)
1.43
PPG
2.00
43%
Win %
50%
1.86
Goals / game
2.33
1.57
Conceded / game
1.17
55%
BTTS %
67%
9%
Clean sheet %
33%
91%
Over 2.5 %
75%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Hessen Kassel | Home | Away | SGV Freiberg | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 63% | 64% | 62% | 80% | 88% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 46% | 55% | 38% | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 33% | 36% | 31% | 50% | 38% | 58% |
| Failed To Score | 38% | 36% | 38% | 20% | 13% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Hessen Kassel | Home | Away | SGV Freiberg | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 91% | 77% | 65% | 63% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 58% | 55% | 62% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 21% | 27% | 15% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 9% | 23% | 35% | 38% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Hessen Kassel | SGV Freiberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 85% |
| Over 2.5 | 79% | 85% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 40% |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 8% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 60% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 29% | 25% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Hessen Kassel | SGV Freiberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 35% |
| Loss 1st Half | 42% | 40% |
| Scored 1st Half | 58% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 63% | 60% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 65% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 17% | 20% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 15% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 46% | 75% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 63% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 88% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 63% | 45% |
Recent Venue Form
Hessen Kassel (H)L
VfR Mannheim0–3
VfR Mannheim0–3D
SSV Ulm 18462–2
SSV Ulm 18462–2L
FSV Mainz 05 II1–2
FSV Mainz 05 II1–2W
Kickers Offenbach2–1
Kickers Offenbach2–1W
SV Sandhausen5–2
SV Sandhausen5–2L
Eintracht Trier0–1
Eintracht Trier0–1SGV Freiberg (A)W
Freiburg II2–1
Freiburg II2–1W
VfR Aalen3–2
VfR Aalen3–2DSV Sandhausen0–0
SV Sandhausen0–0DSSV Ulm 18464–4
SSV Ulm 18464–4DVfR Mannheim0–0
VfR Mannheim0–0W
Kaiserslautern II5–0
Kaiserslautern II5–0Head to Head · 8 matches
1
Hessen Kassel
13%
3
Draws
38%
4
SGV Freiberg
50%
50%
Over 1.5
4/8
25%
Over 2.5
2/8
13%
Over 3.5
1/8
50%
BTTS
4/8
28/03/26SGV Freiberg
Hessen Kassel
1–1SGV Freiberg27/09/25Hessen Kassel
SGV Freiberg
3–2Hessen Kassel12/04/25SGV Freiberg
Hessen Kassel
1–0SGV Freiberg12/10/24Hessen Kassel
SGV Freiberg
1–0Hessen Kassel20/04/24Hessen Kassel
SGV Freiberg
1–1Hessen Kassel14/10/23SGV Freiberg
Hessen Kassel
1–2SGV Freiberg04/03/23Hessen Kassel
SGV Freiberg
1–0Hessen Kassel26/08/22SGV Freiberg
Hessen Kassel
0–0SGV Freiberg| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SGV Freiberg | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | +19 | 26 |
| 2 | VfR Aalen | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +11 | 24 |
| 3 | VfR Mannheim | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | +11 | 23 |
| 4 |  Stuttgarter Kickers | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +6 | 23 |
| 5 | Kickers Offenbach | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +6 | 20 |
| 6 |  FC 08 Homburg | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 19 |
| 7 | SV Sandhausen | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 19 |
| 8 | Eintracht Trier | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 19 |
| 9 | Freiburg II | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +5 | 16 |
| 10 |  TSV Steinbach | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +2 | 16 |
| 11 | Hessen Kassel | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 14 |
| 12 |  FSV Frankfurt | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Eintracht Frankfurt II | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 | FSV Mainz 05 II | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 11 |
| 15 |  FC Astoria Walldorf | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -5 | 10 |
| 16 | Kaiserslautern II | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -13 | 10 |
| 17 | SSV Ulm 1846 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -7 | 9 |
| 18 |  Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -13 | 6 |
Team Insights
Hessen Kassel- ●Hessen Kassel failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Hessen Kassel have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Hessen Kassel failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Hessen Kassel failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Hessen Kassel have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Hessen Kassel failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Hessen Kassel failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●65% of Hessen Kassel's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Hessen Kassel have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
SGV Freiberg- ●SGV Freiberg have won their last 2 matches.
- ●SGV Freiberg have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●SGV Freiberg have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●SGV Freiberg have been undefeated in their last 6 home matches.
- ●SGV Freiberg have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●SGV Freiberg have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●SGV Freiberg have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●SGV Freiberg have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●SGV Freiberg have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●SGV Freiberg have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
Season Schedule
Hessen KasselLHVfR Mannheim0–3
VfR Mannheim0–3WAKaiserslautern II3–2
Kaiserslautern II3–2DHSSV Ulm 18462–2
SSV Ulm 18462–2LHFSV Mainz 05 II1–2
FSV Mainz 05 II1–2DAFC 08 Homburg2–2
FC 08 Homburg2–2WHKickers Offenbach2–1
Kickers Offenbach2–1–AFC Astoria Walldorf24/10
FC Astoria Walldorf24/10–HBarockstadt Fulda-Lehn.31/10
Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.31/10–AVfR Aalen07/11
VfR Aalen07/11SGV FreibergWHBarockstadt Fulda-Lehn.3–0
Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.3–0WAFreiburg II2–1
Freiburg II2–1DHTSV Steinbach2–2
TSV Steinbach2–2DHStuttgarter Kickers2–2
Stuttgarter Kickers2–2WAVfR Aalen3–2
VfR Aalen3–2WHFSV Mainz 05 II5–0
FSV Mainz 05 II5–0–AKickers Offenbach23/10
Kickers Offenbach23/10–HFC Astoria Walldorf31/10
FC Astoria Walldorf31/10–AFSV Frankfurt07/11
FSV Frankfurt07/11Top Scorers
Hessen KasselS. Sararer7 ⚽
L. Damer3 ⚽
E. Boeyuekata2 ⚽
C. Sezer2 ⚽
L. Rupp2 ⚽
F. Bindbeutel1 ⚽
SGV FreibergG. Lee6 ⚽
J. Steinkotter5 ⚽
M. Gouras5 ⚽
S. Mustapha4 ⚽
L. Peto3 ⚽
M. Valpoort3 ⚽
Cards Given
Hessen KasselM. Springfeld2 🟨
SGV FreibergT. Bradara2 🟨
1 🟨