FSV Mainz 05 II vs FC 08 Homburg — Regionalliga - SudWest
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FSV Mainz 05 II and FC 08 Homburg meet in the Regionalliga - SudWest 2026 season on 29 November 2026. FSV Mainz 05 II have recorded 10 wins from 23 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 1.57 goals scored and 1.39 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 61% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 61%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. FC 08 Homburg have won 58% of their 26 matches, with 2.08 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 73%, Over 2.5 at 73%, and clean sheets at 12%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.37 for FSV Mainz 05 II and 1.49 for FC 08 Homburg. The models give FSV Mainz 05 II a 32% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an FC 08 Homburg win at 41%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| FSV Mainz | Home | Away | FC 08 | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 78% | 77% | 80% | 85% | 92% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 39% | 38% | 40% | 65% | 75% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 23% | 10% | 31% | 33% | 29% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 23% | 20% | 15% | 8% | 21% |
Goals Conceded
| FSV Mainz | Home | Away | FC 08 | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 78% | 77% | 80% | 88% | 83% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 35% | 31% | 40% | 35% | 17% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 8% | 30% | 15% | 0% | 29% |
| Clean Sheets | 22% | 23% | 20% | 12% | 17% | 7% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| FSV Mainz | FC 08 | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 85% |
| Over 2.5 | 61% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 46% |
| Over 4.5 | 17% | 31% |
| BTTS | 61% | 73% |
| BTTS & Win | 26% | 46% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 48% | 65% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| FSV Mainz | FC 08 | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 36% | 40% |
| Draw 1st Half | 27% | 32% |
| Loss 1st Half | 36% | 28% |
| Scored 1st Half | 41% | 64% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 56% |
| Win 2nd Half | 27% | 32% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 23% | 24% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 59% | 68% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 55% | 64% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 77% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 41% | 52% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 15 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | +19 | 27 | |
| 2 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | +12 | 27 | |
| 3 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | +13 | 26 | |
| 4 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 23 | |
| 5 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 22 | |
| 6 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 21 | |
| 7 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 19 | |
| 8 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 19 | |
| 9 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | +5 | 17 | |
| 10 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 16 | |
| 11 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -1 | 16 | |
| 12 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -7 | 14 | |
| 13 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 13 | |
| 14 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -3 | 13 | |
| 15 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -13 | 11 | |
| 16 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -13 | 11 | |
| 17 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -7 | 9 | |
| 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -11 | 9 |
Team Insights
- ●FSV Mainz 05 II have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●FSV Mainz 05 II failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 13 matches.
- ●FSV Mainz 05 II have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●FSV Mainz 05 II failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●FSV Mainz 05 II failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●FSV Mainz 05 II failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●FSV Mainz 05 II have lost 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●FSV Mainz 05 II failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●FSV Mainz 05 II have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●62% of FSV Mainz 05 II's goals have been scored away.
- ●64% of FSV Mainz 05 II's points have been earned away.
- ●FC 08 Homburg have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●FC 08 Homburg failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 12 matches.
- ●FC 08 Homburg have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●FC 08 Homburg failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●FC 08 Homburg have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●FC 08 Homburg failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●FC 08 Homburg failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●FC 08 Homburg failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.