FC 08 Homburg vs SGV Freiberg — Regionalliga - SudWest
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FC 08 Homburg and SGV Freiberg meet in the Regionalliga - SudWest 2026 season on 5 December 2026. FC 08 Homburg have recorded 15 wins from 28 matches this season (54% win rate), averaging 1.96 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 71% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 68%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. SGV Freiberg have won 41% of their 22 matches, with 2.41 goals scored and 1.68 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 59%, Over 2.5 at 77%, and clean sheets at 36%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.43 for FC 08 Homburg and 1.52 for SGV Freiberg. The models give FC 08 Homburg a 37% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an SGV Freiberg win at 37%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
FC 08 Homburg—
SGV Freiberg8º
Position
3º
1.50
PPG
2.00
36%
Win %
50%
1.29
Goals / game
2.29
1.21
Conceded / game
0.93
71%
BTTS %
59%
14%
Clean sheet %
36%
68%
Over 2.5 %
77%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
FC 08 Homburg
Home (7)
—
SGV Freiberg
Away (7)
1.71
PPG
1.86
43%
Win %
43%
1.29
Goals / game
2.14
1.00
Conceded / game
1.14
69%
BTTS %
69%
23%
Clean sheet %
31%
69%
Over 2.5 %
69%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| FC 08 | Home | Away | SGV Freiberg | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 82% | 85% | 80% | 77% | 78% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 61% | 69% | 53% | 68% | 67% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 29% | 31% | 27% | 45% | 33% | 54% |
| Failed To Score | 18% | 15% | 20% | 23% | 22% | 23% |
Goals Conceded
| FC 08 | Home | Away | SGV Freiberg | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 86% | 77% | 93% | 64% | 56% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 32% | 15% | 47% | 45% | 44% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 0% | 27% | 23% | 22% | 23% |
| Clean Sheets | 14% | 23% | 7% | 36% | 44% | 31% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| FC 08 | SGV Freiberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 | 68% | 77% |
| Over 3.5 | 43% | 55% |
| Over 4.5 | 29% | 36% |
| BTTS | 71% | 59% |
| BTTS & Win | 43% | 23% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 27% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 61% | 55% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 23% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| FC 08 | SGV Freiberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 37% | 23% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 36% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 41% |
| Scored 1st Half | 59% | 45% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 56% | 59% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 64% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 44% | 23% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 22% | 14% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 73% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 59% | 45% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 85% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 48% | 41% |
Recent Venue Form
FC 08 (H)D
Eintracht Trier0–0
Eintracht Trier0–0W
Freiburg II2–1
Freiburg II2–1D
Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.1–1
Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.1–1D
Hessen Kassel2–2
Hessen Kassel2–2W
Kaiserslautern II2–1
Kaiserslautern II2–1L
Stuttgarter Kickers0–1
Stuttgarter Kickers0–1SGV Freiberg (A)D
Kickers Offenbach1–1
Kickers Offenbach1–1WFreiburg II2–1
Freiburg II2–1W
VfR Aalen3–2
VfR Aalen3–2D
SV Sandhausen0–0
SV Sandhausen0–0D
SSV Ulm 18464–4
SSV Ulm 18464–4D
VfR Mannheim0–0
VfR Mannheim0–0Head to Head · 9 matches
3
FC 08
33%
0
Draws
0%
6
SGV Freiberg
67%
89%
Over 1.5
8/9
78%
Over 2.5
7/9
11%
Over 3.5
1/9
56%
BTTS
5/9
15/08/26FC 08 Homburg
SGV Freiberg
3–0FC 08 Homburg11/04/26SGV Freiberg
FC 08 Homburg
2–1SGV Freiberg04/10/25FC 08 Homburg
SGV Freiberg
1–2FC 08 Homburg25/04/25SGV Freiberg
FC 08 Homburg
1–2SGV Freiberg26/10/24FC 08 Homburg
SGV Freiberg
1–0FC 08 Homburg03/04/24SGV Freiberg
FC 08 Homburg
0–3SGV Freiberg30/09/23FC 08 Homburg
SGV Freiberg
2–1FC 08 Homburg10/12/22SGV Freiberg
FC 08 Homburg
5–1SGV Freiberg20/08/22FC 08 Homburg
SGV Freiberg
2–0FC 08 Homburg| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfR Aalen | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | +13 | 30 |
| 2 | VfR Mannheim | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | +14 | 29 |
| 3 | SGV Freiberg | 14 | 7 | 7 | 0 | +19 | 28 |
| 4 | Kickers Offenbach | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | +8 | 24 |
| 5 | Stuttgarter Kickers | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +3 | 23 |
| 6 | Eintracht Trier | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 23 |
| 7 | Freiburg II | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | +6 | 21 |
| 8 | FC 08 Homburg | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | +1 | 21 |
| 9 | SV Sandhausen | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -3 | 19 |
| 10 |  TSV Steinbach | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 17 |
| 11 |  Eintracht Frankfurt II | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | -4 | 16 |
| 12 |  FC Astoria Walldorf | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 |  FSV Frankfurt | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -3 | 14 |
| 14 | Hessen Kassel | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -8 | 14 |
| 15 |  FSV Mainz 05 II | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -12 | 14 |
| 16 | Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -10 | 12 |
| 17 | SSV Ulm 1846 | 14 | 1 | 8 | 5 | -7 | 11 |
| 18 | Kaiserslautern II | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -14 | 11 |
Team Insights
FC 08- ●FC 08 Homburg have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●FC 08 Homburg have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●FC 08 Homburg failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●FC 08 Homburg failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●FC 08 Homburg failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●FC 08 Homburg have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
SGV Freiberg- ●SGV Freiberg have been undefeated in their last 14 matches.
- ●SGV Freiberg have been undefeated in their last 7 home matches.
- ●SGV Freiberg have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●SGV Freiberg have been undefeated in their last 7 away matches.
- ●SGV Freiberg have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 7 home matches.
- ●SGV Freiberg have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●SGV Freiberg have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●SGV Freiberg have won 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●SGV Freiberg have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
Season Schedule
FC 08DHEintracht Trier0–0
Eintracht Trier0–0DASSV Ulm 18461–1
SSV Ulm 18461–1WHFreiburg II2–1
Freiburg II2–1DAKickers Offenbach2–2
Kickers Offenbach2–2DHBarockstadt Fulda-Lehn.1–1
Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.1–1LATSV Steinbach0–1
TSV Steinbach0–1–AFC Astoria Walldorf07/11
FC Astoria Walldorf07/11–HFSV Frankfurt13/11
FSV Frankfurt13/11–AVfR Aalen21/11
VfR Aalen21/11SGV FreibergDHFC Astoria Walldorf0–0
FC Astoria Walldorf0–0DAKickers Offenbach1–1
Kickers Offenbach1–1WHBarockstadt Fulda-Lehn.3–0
Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.3–0WAFreiburg II2–1
Freiburg II2–1DHTSV Steinbach2–2
TSV Steinbach2–2DHStuttgarter Kickers2–2
Stuttgarter Kickers2–2–AFSV Frankfurt07/11
FSV Frankfurt07/11–HEintracht Trier14/11
Eintracht Trier14/11–AHessen Kassel21/11
Hessen Kassel21/11Top Scorers
FC 08M. Ehrhart6 ⚽
H. El Helwe4 ⚽
3 ⚽
E. Kuhinja3 ⚽
B. Celik2 ⚽
J. Roden2 ⚽
SGV FreibergG. Lee6 ⚽
M. Gouras5 ⚽
J. Steinkotter5 ⚽
S. Mustapha4 ⚽
L. Peto3 ⚽
A. Ballo3 ⚽
Cards Given
FC 08B. Celik2 🟨
M. Heilig1 🟨
SGV FreibergT. Bradara2 🟨
1 🟨