Hessen Kassel vs Freiburg II — Regionalliga - SudWest
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Hessen Kassel and Freiburg II meet in the Regionalliga - SudWest 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Hessen Kassel have recorded 9 wins from 26 matches this season (35% win rate), averaging 1.58 goals scored and 1.88 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 77%; and clean sheets in 15% of games. Freiburg II have won 45% of their 20 matches, with 1.85 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 65%, Over 2.5 at 65%, and clean sheets at 30%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.51 for Hessen Kassel and 1.55 for Freiburg II. The models give Hessen Kassel a 36% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Freiburg II win at 37%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 62%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Hessen Kassel | Home | Away | Freiburg II | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 62% | 58% | 64% | 85% | 83% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 42% | 50% | 36% | 55% | 50% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 31% | 33% | 29% | 30% | 42% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 38% | 42% | 36% | 15% | 17% | 13% |
Goals Conceded
| Hessen Kassel | Home | Away | Freiburg II | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 85% | 92% | 79% | 70% | 75% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 58% | 50% | 64% | 45% | 42% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 23% | 25% | 21% | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 15% | 8% | 21% | 30% | 25% | 38% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Hessen Kassel | Freiburg II | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 85% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 | 77% | 65% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 27% | 20% |
| BTTS | 50% | 65% |
| BTTS & Win | 23% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 8% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 27% | 15% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Hessen Kassel | Freiburg II | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 31% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 27% | 28% |
| Loss 1st Half | 42% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 58% | 67% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 62% | 56% |
| Win 2nd Half | 31% | 39% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 15% | 39% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 54% | 22% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 42% | 61% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 65% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 85% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 62% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 7 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | +13 | 30 | |
| 2 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | +14 | 29 | |
| 3 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 0 | +19 | 28 | |
| 4 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | +8 | 24 | |
| 5 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +3 | 23 | |
| 6 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 23 | |
| 7 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | +6 | 21 | |
| 8 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | +1 | 21 | |
| 9 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -3 | 19 | |
| 10 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 17 | |
| 11 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | -4 | 16 | |
| 12 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -2 | 14 | |
| 13 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -3 | 14 | |
| 14 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -8 | 14 | |
| 15 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -12 | 14 | |
| 16 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -10 | 12 | |
| 17 | 14 | 1 | 8 | 5 | -7 | 11 | |
| 18 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -14 | 11 |
Team Insights
- ●Hessen Kassel have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Hessen Kassel have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Hessen Kassel failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 13 matches.
- ●Hessen Kassel have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Hessen Kassel failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Hessen Kassel failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Hessen Kassel have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Hessen Kassel failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Hessen Kassel have lost 4 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Hessen Kassel failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Hessen Kassel have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Hessen Kassel have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●62% of Hessen Kassel's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Hessen Kassel have scored 57% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Freiburg II have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Freiburg II failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Freiburg II have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Freiburg II failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Freiburg II have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Freiburg II have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Freiburg II failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Freiburg II have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Freiburg II failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Freiburg II have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.