SGV Freiberg vs VfR Mannheim — Regionalliga - SudWest
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SGV Freiberg and VfR Mannheim meet in the Regionalliga - SudWest 2026 season on 20 February 2027. SGV Freiberg have recorded 10 wins from 23 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 2.48 goals scored and 1.65 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 61% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 78%; and clean sheets in 35% of games. VfR Mannheim have won 59% of their 22 matches, with 2.18 goals scored and 1.27 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 55%, and clean sheets at 36%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.46 for SGV Freiberg and 1.37 for VfR Mannheim. The models give SGV Freiberg a 41% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an VfR Mannheim win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
SGV Freiberg—
VfR Mannheim2º
Position
1º
2.07
PPG
2.13
53%
Win %
60%
2.40
Goals / game
1.73
0.93
Conceded / game
0.73
61%
BTTS %
55%
35%
Clean sheet %
36%
78%
Over 2.5 %
55%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
SGV Freiberg
Home (7)
—
VfR Mannheim
Away (8)
2.14
PPG
2.50
57%
Win %
75%
2.43
Goals / game
1.75
0.71
Conceded / game
0.63
44%
BTTS %
40%
44%
Clean sheet %
50%
89%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| SGV Freiberg | Home | Away | VfR Mannheim | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 78% | 78% | 79% | 77% | 75% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 70% | 67% | 71% | 59% | 58% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 48% | 33% | 57% | 41% | 50% | 30% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 22% | 21% | 23% | 25% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| SGV Freiberg | Home | Away | VfR Mannheim | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 65% | 56% | 71% | 64% | 75% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 43% | 44% | 43% | 41% | 50% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 22% | 22% | 21% | 9% | 17% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 35% | 44% | 29% | 36% | 25% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| SGV Freiberg | VfR Mannheim | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 83% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 | 78% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | 57% | 41% |
| Over 4.5 | 39% | 32% |
| BTTS | 61% | 55% |
| BTTS & Win | 26% | 36% |
| BTTS & Draw | 26% | 9% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 57% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 22% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| SGV Freiberg | VfR Mannheim | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 26% | 45% |
| Draw 1st Half | 35% | 41% |
| Loss 1st Half | 39% | 14% |
| Scored 1st Half | 48% | 59% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 61% | 45% |
| Win 2nd Half | 65% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 22% | 41% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 13% | 23% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 74% | 59% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 43% | 55% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 74% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
SGV Freiberg (H)D
FC Astoria Walldorf0–0
FC Astoria Walldorf0–0W
Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.3–0
Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.3–0D
TSV Steinbach2–2
TSV Steinbach2–2D
Stuttgarter Kickers2–2
Stuttgarter Kickers2–2W
FSV Mainz 05 II5–0
FSV Mainz 05 II5–0W
Eintracht Frankfurt II2–1
Eintracht Frankfurt II2–1VfR Mannheim (A)W
SSV Ulm 18461–0
SSV Ulm 18461–0WTSV Steinbach2–0
TSV Steinbach2–0W
Hessen Kassel3–0
Hessen Kassel3–0WEintracht Frankfurt II1–0
Eintracht Frankfurt II1–0WFC Astoria Walldorf3–2
FC Astoria Walldorf3–2WFSV Mainz 05 II2–1
FSV Mainz 05 II2–1Head to Head · 4 matches
2
SGV Freiberg
50%
1
Draws
25%
1
VfR Mannheim
25%
50%
Over 1.5
2/4
50%
Over 2.5
2/4
50%
Over 3.5
2/4
50%
BTTS
2/4
22/08/26SGV Freiberg
VfR Mannheim
0–0SGV Freiberg14/02/26SGV Freiberg
VfR Mannheim
6–4SGV Freiberg16/02/25SGV Freiberg
VfR Mannheim
1–4SGV Freiberg26/07/23SGV Freiberg
VfR Mannheim
0–1SGV Freiberg| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfR Mannheim | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | +15 | 32 |
| 2 | SGV Freiberg | 15 | 8 | 7 | 0 | +22 | 31 |
| 3 |  VfR Aalen | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | +12 | 30 |
| 4 |  Kickers Offenbach | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | +9 | 27 |
| 5 | Stuttgarter Kickers | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | +6 | 26 |
| 6 |  Eintracht Trier | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 26 |
| 7 |  FC 08 Homburg | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | +5 | 24 |
| 8 |  Freiburg II | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | +5 | 21 |
| 9 | TSV Steinbach | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | +2 | 20 |
| 10 |  SV Sandhausen | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | -3 | 20 |
| 11 | Eintracht Frankfurt II | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | -4 | 17 |
| 12 | Hessen Kassel | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | -7 | 17 |
| 13 |  FSV Frankfurt | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -6 | 14 |
| 14 | FC Astoria Walldorf | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -6 | 14 |
| 15 | FSV Mainz 05 II | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -13 | 14 |
| 16 | Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -12 | 12 |
| 17 | SSV Ulm 1846 | 15 | 1 | 8 | 6 | -8 | 11 |
| 18 |  Kaiserslautern II | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -17 | 11 |
Team Insights
SGV Freiberg- ●SGV Freiberg have been undefeated in their last 15 matches.
- ●SGV Freiberg have been undefeated in their last 7 home matches.
- ●SGV Freiberg have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●SGV Freiberg have been undefeated in their last 8 away matches.
- ●SGV Freiberg have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●SGV Freiberg have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 7 home matches.
- ●SGV Freiberg have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●SGV Freiberg have won 4 of their 8 away matches.
- ●SGV Freiberg have scored in 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●SGV Freiberg have conceded 57% of their goals in the first half.
VfR Mannheim- ●VfR Mannheim have won their last 8 matches.
- ●VfR Mannheim have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●VfR Mannheim have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●VfR Mannheim have won their last 6 away matches.
- ●VfR Mannheim have kept a clean sheet in their last 4 away matches.
- ●VfR Mannheim have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●VfR Mannheim have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●VfR Mannheim have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 8 away matches.
- ●VfR Mannheim have won 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●VfR Mannheim have scored in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●63% of VfR Mannheim's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
SGV FreibergWAFSV Frankfurt4–1
FSV Frankfurt4–1DHFC Astoria Walldorf0–0
FC Astoria Walldorf0–0DAKickers Offenbach1–1
Kickers Offenbach1–1WHBarockstadt Fulda-Lehn.3–0
Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.3–0WAFreiburg II2–1
Freiburg II2–1DHTSV Steinbach2–2
TSV Steinbach2–2–HEintracht Trier14/11
Eintracht Trier14/11–AHessen Kassel21/11
Hessen Kassel21/11–HKaiserslautern II28/11
Kaiserslautern II28/11VfR MannheimWASSV Ulm 18461–0
SSV Ulm 18461–0WHKaiserslautern II3–2
Kaiserslautern II3–2WATSV Steinbach2–0
TSV Steinbach2–0WAHessen Kassel3–0
Hessen Kassel3–0WAEintracht Frankfurt II1–0
Eintracht Frankfurt II1–0WHStuttgarter Kickers2–0
Stuttgarter Kickers2–0–HSV Sandhausen14/11
SV Sandhausen14/11–AKickers Offenbach20/11
Kickers Offenbach20/11–HFSV Frankfurt29/11
FSV Frankfurt29/11Top Scorers
SGV FreibergJ. Steinkotter6 ⚽
G. Lee6 ⚽
M. Gouras5 ⚽
L. Peto5 ⚽
S. Mustapha4 ⚽
A. Ballo3 ⚽
VfR MannheimA. Alaoui6 ⚽
P. Pander4 ⚽
A. Esswein4 ⚽
A. Paraschiv3 ⚽
F. Berisha2 ⚽
H. Hartmann2 ⚽
Cards Given
SGV FreibergT. Bradara2 🟨
1 🟨
VfR MannheimA. Esswein1 🟨
C. Kuhn1 🟨