Bedford Town vs Chorley — National League - North
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Bedford Town and Chorley meet in the National League - North 2026 season on 17 November 2026. Bedford Town have recorded 10 wins from 20 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.35 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 45%; and clean sheets in 35% of games. Chorley have won 37% of their 19 matches, with 1.37 goals scored and 1.47 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 63%, and clean sheets at 16%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.68 for Bedford Town and 1.05 for Chorley. The models give Bedford Town a 50% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Chorley win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Bedford Town | Home | Away | Chorley | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 76% | 83% | 67% | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 52% | 67% | 33% | 35% | 50% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 8% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 17% | 33% | 30% | 20% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Bedford Town | Home | Away | Chorley | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 50% | 89% | 85% | 90% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 24% | 17% | 33% | 45% | 50% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 8% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 50% | 11% | 15% | 10% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Bedford Town | Chorley | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 48% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 10% |
| BTTS | 52% | 60% |
| BTTS & Win | 24% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 48% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Bedford Town | Chorley | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 35% |
| Draw 1st Half | 52% | 35% |
| Loss 1st Half | 14% | 30% |
| Scored 1st Half | 62% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 35% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 20% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 48% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 24% | 40% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 52% | 45% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 48% | 80% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 25% |
Recent Venue Form
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Bedford Town | Chorley |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.5 | 0.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 8.5 | 0.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 50% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
Head to Head · 2 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +8 | 24 | |
| 2 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +16 | 23 | |
| 3 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +14 | 23 | |
| 4 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +6 | 20 | |
| 5 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 20 | |
| 6 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 20 | |
| 7 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 18 | |
| 8 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 18 | |
| 9 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +5 | 17 | |
| 10 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 17 | |
| 11 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 17 | |
| 12 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 16 | |
| 13 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 16 | |
| 14 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | +2 | 15 | |
| 15 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | +1 | 15 | |
| 16 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | +1 | 15 | |
| 17 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 15 | |
| 18 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 15 | |
| 19 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | +4 | 14 | |
| 20 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | -6 | 12 | |
| 21 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 12 | |
| 22 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -10 | 9 | |
| 23 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -10 | 8 | |
| 24 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -11 | 7 |
Team Insights
- ●Bedford Town have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Bedford Town have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Bedford Town have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Bedford Town have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Bedford Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Bedford Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Bedford Town have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●64% of Bedford Town's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Bedford Town have scored 57% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Chorley have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Chorley failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Chorley have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Chorley failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Chorley have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Chorley have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Chorley failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Chorley have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Chorley failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●78% of Chorley's goals have been scored at home.
- ●76% of Chorley's points have been earned at home.