Buxton vs Worksop Town — National League - North
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Buxton and Worksop Town meet in the National League - North 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Buxton have recorded 8 wins from 13 matches this season (62% win rate), averaging 1.85 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 69% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 77%; and clean sheets in 23% of games. Worksop Town have won 64% of their 14 matches, with 1.79 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 64%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.79 for Buxton and 1.11 for Worksop Town. The models give Buxton a 56% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Worksop Town win at 21%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Buxton | Home | Away | Worksop Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 92% | 100% | 80% | 79% | 78% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 54% | 63% | 40% | 50% | 56% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 23% | 25% | 20% | 29% | 33% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 8% | 0% | 20% | 21% | 22% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Buxton | Home | Away | Worksop Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 77% | 63% | 100% | 71% | 67% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 25% | 60% | 36% | 33% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 15% | 13% | 20% | 21% | 11% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 23% | 38% | 0% | 29% | 33% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Buxton | Worksop Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 92% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 77% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 36% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 14% |
| BTTS | 69% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 38% | 36% |
| BTTS & Draw | 8% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 62% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Buxton | Worksop Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 42% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 42% | 36% |
| Loss 1st Half | 17% | 14% |
| Scored 1st Half | 67% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 21% |
| Win 2nd Half | 58% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 8% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 36% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 75% | 71% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 42% | 71% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 83% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 42% | 29% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 3 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +17 | 22 | |
| 2 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +11 | 19 | |
| 3 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 18 | |
| 4 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 17 | |
| 5 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 17 | |
| 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 17 | |
| 7 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 16 | |
| 8 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 15 | |
| 9 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 14 | |
| 10 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | +5 | 13 | |
| 11 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 13 | |
| 12 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13 | |
| 13 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 12 | |
| 14 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 12 | |
| 15 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 11 | |
| 16 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 11 | |
| 17 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -1 | 9 | |
| 18 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 9 | |
| 19 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 9 | |
| 20 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 8 | |
| 21 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -9 | 8 | |
| 22 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | -8 | 6 | |
| 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | -9 | 6 | |
| 24 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 6 |
Team Insights
- ●Buxton have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Buxton have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Buxton have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Buxton have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Buxton failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●72% of Buxton's goals have been scored at home.
- ●75% of Buxton's points have been earned at home.
- ●Worksop Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.