AFC Telford United vs Hebburn Town — National League - North
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AFC Telford United and Hebburn Town meet in the National League - North 2026 season on 24 October 2026. AFC Telford United have recorded 3 wins from 12 matches this season (25% win rate), averaging 0.83 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Hebburn Town have won 47% of their 15 matches, with 2.20 goals scored and 1.93 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 80%, Over 2.5 at 80%, and clean sheets at 13%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.58 for AFC Telford United and 1.14 for Hebburn Town. The models give AFC Telford United a 44% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Hebburn Town win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
AFC Telford UnitedHebburn TownHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| AFC Telford | Home | Away | Hebburn Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 71% | 80% | 93% | 100% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 8% | 0% | 20% | 67% | 78% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 44% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 29% | 20% | 7% | 0% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| AFC Telford | Home | Away | Hebburn Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 71% | 60% | 87% | 78% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 43% | 60% | 53% | 44% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 29% | 0% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 29% | 40% | 13% | 22% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| AFC Telford | Hebburn Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 58% | 93% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 | 17% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 47% |
| BTTS | 50% | 80% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 33% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 27% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 42% | 67% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| AFC Telford | Hebburn Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 8% | 20% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 42% | 40% |
| Scored 1st Half | 17% | 67% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 73% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 47% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 27% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 27% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 80% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 58% | 87% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 17% | 67% |
Recent Venue Form
AFC Telford (H)
Oxford City1–0
Bedford Town0–1
Hednesford Town1–1
Brackley Town1–2
Tamworth1–3
Walsall1–0Hebburn Town (A)
Radcliffe1–5
Macclesfield0–3
Buxton2–1Brackley Town1–1
Blyth Spartans4–2
Morpeth Town2–2| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hereford | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +17 | 22 |
| 2 | Oxford City | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +11 | 19 |
| 3 | Macclesfield | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 18 |
| 4 |  Spalding United | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 17 |
| 5 | Hebburn Town | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 17 |
| 6 |  South Shields | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 17 |
| 7 | Buxton | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 16 |
| 8 | Bedford Town | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 |  Chester | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 10 |  Morecambe | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | +5 | 13 |
| 11 |  Merthyr Town | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 13 |
| 12 |  King's Lynn Town | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 |  Harborough Town | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 |  Worksop Town | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 15 |  Scarborough Athletic | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 11 |
| 16 |  Chorley | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 11 |
| 17 |  Marine | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -1 | 9 |
| 18 | AFC Telford United | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 9 |
| 19 | Hednesford Town | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 9 |
| 20 |  Southport | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 8 |
| 21 | Brackley Town | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -9 | 8 |
| 22 | Radcliffe | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | -8 | 6 |
| 23 |  Darlington 1883 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | -9 | 6 |
| 24 |  Spennymoor Town | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 6 |
Team Insights
AFC Telford- ●AFC Telford United have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●AFC Telford United have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●AFC Telford United have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●62% of AFC Telford United's goals have been scored away.
Hebburn Town- ●Hebburn Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Hebburn Town have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Hebburn Town have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Hebburn Town have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Hebburn Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●73% of Hebburn Town's goals have been scored at home.
- ●67% of Hebburn Town's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●76% of Hebburn Town's points have been earned at home.
- ●Hebburn Town have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
AFC TelfordHarborough Town0–0Oxford City1–0Scarborough Athletic1–0Bedford Town0–1Morecambe1–2Hednesford Town1–1King's Lynn Town26/09Chorley10/10Darlington 188317/10Hebburn TownHednesford Town2–1Radcliffe1–5Chester1–1Macclesfield0–3King's Lynn Town4–2Buxton2–1Darlington 188326/09Oxford City10/10Spalding United17/10Top Scorers
AFC TelfordHebburn Town