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Chorley vs Buxton — National League - North

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England · National League - North · National League North - 13
Chorley
Chorley
16º · 1.22 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 42d 0h
vs
–
–
Buxton
Buxton
7º · 1.78 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 42d 0h
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Chorley and Buxton meet in the National League - North 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Chorley have recorded 3 wins from 14 matches this season (21% win rate), averaging 1.14 goals scored and 1.71 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 64%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Buxton have won 62% of their 13 matches, with 1.85 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 69%, Over 2.5 at 77%, and clean sheets at 23%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.89 for Chorley and 1.36 for Buxton. The models give Chorley a 42% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Buxton win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 63% and BTTS at 63%.

Season Statistics

Chorley
—
Buxton
16º
Position
7º
1.22
PPG
1.78
33%
Win %
56%
1.56
Goals / game
2.00
1.78
Conceded / game
1.56
57%
BTTS %
69%
14%
Clean sheet %
23%
64%
Over 2.5 %
77%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Chorley
Home (4)
—
Buxton
Away (4)
1.75
PPG
1.00
50%
Win %
25%
2.50
Goals / game
1.25
1.75
Conceded / game
2.25
71%
BTTS %
80%
14%
Clean sheet %
0%
86%
Over 2.5 %
80%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

ChorleyHomeAwayBuxtonHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored64%71%57%92%100%80%
Over 1.5 Scored29%43%14%54%63%40%
Over 2.5 Scored7%14%0%23%25%20%
Failed To Score36%29%43%8%0%20%

Goals Conceded

ChorleyHomeAwayBuxtonHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded86%86%86%77%63%100%
Over 1.5 Conceded64%71%57%38%25%60%
Over 2.5 Conceded14%14%14%15%13%20%
Clean Sheets14%14%14%23%38%0%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

ChorleyBuxton
Over 0.593%100%
Over 1.586%92%
Over 2.564%77%
Over 3.521%38%
Over 4.57%15%
BTTS57%69%
BTTS & Win14%38%
BTTS & Draw14%8%
BTTS & Over 2.550%62%
BTTS No & Over 2.514%15%

1st Half / 2nd Half

ChorleyBuxton
Win 1st Half29%42%
Draw 1st Half29%42%
Loss 1st Half43%17%
Scored 1st Half36%67%
Conceded 1st Half50%50%
Win 2nd Half14%58%
Draw 2nd Half43%8%
Loss 2nd Half43%33%
Scored 2nd Half36%75%
Conceded 2nd Half79%42%
Over 0.5 HT79%83%
Over 1.5 HT29%42%

Recent Venue Form

Chorley (H)
WDarlington 18835–2
DBrackley Town2–2
WScarborough Athletic2–1
LChester1–2
LAccrington ST0–3
DAltrincham0–0
Buxton (A)
LMorecambe0–4
WOxford City3–2
LBedford Town1–2
DSouthport1–1
WWarrington Town2–1
LSouth Shields0–1

Head to Head · 8 matches

2
Chorley
25%
2
Draws
25%
4
Buxton
50%
88%
Over 1.5
7/8
88%
Over 2.5
7/8
63%
Over 3.5
5/8
75%
BTTS
6/8
14/03/26
Chorley
1–2
Buxton
18/10/25
Buxton
3–2
Chorley
18/04/25
Buxton
1–0
Chorley
04/02/25
Chorley
3–0
Buxton
06/04/24
Buxton
3–1
Chorley
12/12/23
Chorley
3–2
Buxton
25/02/23
Chorley
2–2
Buxton
10/01/23
Buxton
2–2
Chorley
National League - North
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Hereford9711+1722
2Oxford City9612+1119
3Macclesfield9531+618
4Spalding United9522+717
5Hebburn Town9522017
6South Shields8521-117
7Buxton9513+416
8Bedford Town9504015
9Chester9423+114
10Morecambe9414+513
11Merthyr Town9342+213
12King's Lynn Town9414013
13Harborough Town9333-112
14Worksop Town9405-312
15Scarborough Athletic9324+311
16Chorley9324-211
17Marine9306-19
18AFC Telford United9234-29
19Hednesford Town9234-39
20Southport9225-78
21Brackley Town8224-98
22Radcliffe9207-86
23Darlington 18839207-96
24Spennymoor Town9135-106

Team Insights

Chorley
  • ●Chorley failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
  • ●Chorley have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
  • ●Chorley have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
  • ●Chorley have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Chorley have lost their last 2 away matches.
  • ●Chorley failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●71% of Chorley's goals have been scored at home.
Buxton
  • ●Buxton have won their last 2 matches.
  • ●Buxton have won their last 3 home matches.
  • ●Buxton have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Buxton have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Buxton failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●72% of Buxton's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●75% of Buxton's points have been earned at home.
ChorleyChorley
LAKing's Lynn Town12º0–2
WHDarlington 188323º5–2
LAOxford City2º0–4
DHBrackley Town21º2–2
DAMerthyr Town11º1–1
WHScarborough Athletic15º2–1
WAMarine17º2–0
LASouth Shields6º1–2
LHChester9º1–2
LATrafford1–2
BuxtonBuxton
WHChester9º3–1
WHBrackley Town21º5–0
LAMorecambe10º0–4
WHMerthyr Town11º2–1
WAOxford City2º3–2
LHHebburn Town5º1–2
LABedford Town8º1–2
DASouthport20º1–1
WHHereford1º2–1
WAWarrington Town2–1

Season Schedule

Chorley
LAKing's Lynn Town0–2
WHDarlington 18835–2
LAOxford City0–4
DHBrackley Town2–2
DAMerthyr Town1–1
WHScarborough Athletic2–1
–HSpalding United26/09
–HAFC Telford United10/10
–ABedford Town17/10
Buxton
WHChester3–1
WHBrackley Town5–0
LAMorecambe0–4
WHMerthyr Town2–1
WAOxford City3–2
LHHebburn Town1–2
–ASouth Shields26/09
–AKing's Lynn Town10/10
–HWorksop Town17/10

Top Scorers

Chorley
E. Taylor4 ⚽
J. Hazelhurst3 ⚽
C. M. Rowe2 ⚽
M. Calveley2 ⚽
W. Clarke2 ⚽
H. Smith1 ⚽
Buxton
S. Tuntulwana9 ⚽
K. Burton2 ⚽
D. Moses1 ⚽
F. Cousin-Dawson1 ⚽
J. Johnston1 ⚽
K. Scales1 ⚽