Bedford Town vs Hednesford Town — National League - North
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Bedford Town and Hednesford Town meet in the National League - North 2026 season on 27 October 2026. Bedford Town have recorded 9 wins from 15 matches this season (60% win rate), averaging 1.40 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 47% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 47%; and clean sheets in 40% of games. Hednesford Town have won 25% of their 12 matches, with 1.33 goals scored and 1.58 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 8%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.66 for Bedford Town and 1.18 for Hednesford Town. The models give Bedford Town a 48% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Hednesford Town win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Bedford Town | Home | Away | Hednesford Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 89% | 67% | 75% | 71% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 53% | 78% | 17% | 42% | 57% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 7% | 11% | 0% | 17% | 14% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 11% | 33% | 25% | 29% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Bedford Town | Home | Away | Hednesford Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 60% | 44% | 83% | 92% | 86% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 20% | 11% | 33% | 50% | 43% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 11% | 17% | 8% | 14% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 56% | 17% | 8% | 14% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Bedford Town | Hednesford Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 17% |
| BTTS | 47% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 27% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 47% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Bedford Town | Hednesford Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 40% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 42% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 67% | 58% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 40% | 58% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 27% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 47% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 40% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 42% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 2 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +17 | 22 | |
| 2 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +11 | 19 | |
| 3 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 18 | |
| 4 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 17 | |
| 5 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 17 | |
| 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 17 | |
| 7 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 16 | |
| 8 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 15 | |
| 9 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 14 | |
| 10 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | +5 | 13 | |
| 11 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 13 | |
| 12 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13 | |
| 13 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 12 | |
| 14 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 12 | |
| 15 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 11 | |
| 16 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 11 | |
| 17 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -1 | 9 | |
| 18 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 9 | |
| 19 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 9 | |
| 20 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 8 | |
| 21 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -9 | 8 | |
| 22 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | -8 | 6 | |
| 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | -9 | 6 | |
| 24 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 6 |
Team Insights
- ●Bedford Town have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Bedford Town have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Bedford Town have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Bedford Town have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Bedford Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●62% of Bedford Town's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Bedford Town have scored 62% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Hednesford Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Hednesford Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Hednesford Town have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Hednesford Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.