England · National League - North · National League North - 14

Buxton

7º · 1.78 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 38d 5h

–

Harborough Town

13º · 1.33 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 38d 5h

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Buxton and Harborough Town meet in the National League - North 2026 season on 27 October 2026. Buxton have recorded 9 wins from 14 matches this season (64% win rate), averaging 1.79 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 64% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 71%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Harborough Town have won 33% of their 12 matches, with 1.42 goals scored and 1.42 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 58%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 25%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.75 for Buxton and 1.08 for Harborough Town. The models give Buxton a 55% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Harborough Town win at 21%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 54%.

Season Statistics

Buxton

—

Harborough Town

7º

Position

13º

1.78

PPG

1.33

56%

Win %

33%

2.00

Goals / game

1.11

1.56

Conceded / game

1.22

64%

BTTS %

58%

29%

Clean sheet %

25%

71%

Over 2.5 %

50%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

Avg fouls

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Home vs Away

Buxton

Home (5)

—

Harborough Town

Away (4)

2.40

PPG

0.50

80%

Win %

2.60

Goals / game

0.75

1.00

Conceded / game

1.25

56%

BTTS %

83%

44%

Clean sheet %

67%

Over 2.5 %

50%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Goals Scored

	Buxton	Home	Away	Harborough Town	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	93%	100%	80%	75%	67%	83%
Over 1.5 Scored	50%	56%	40%	33%	33%	33%
Over 2.5 Scored	21%	22%	20%	17%	17%	17%
Failed To Score	7%	0%	20%	25%	33%	17%

Goals Conceded

	Buxton	Home	Away	Harborough Town	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	71%	56%	100%	75%	50%	100%
Over 1.5 Conceded	36%	22%	60%	42%	33%	50%
Over 2.5 Conceded	14%	11%	20%	17%	17%	17%
Clean Sheets	29%	44%	0%	25%	50%	0%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Buxton	Harborough Town
Over 0.5	100%	92%
Over 1.5	86%	67%
Over 2.5	71%	50%
Over 3.5	36%	25%
Over 4.5	14%	17%
BTTS	64%	58%
BTTS & Win	36%	17%
BTTS & Draw	7%	33%
BTTS & Over 2.5	57%	42%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	14%	8%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Buxton	Harborough Town
Win 1st Half	38%	8%
Draw 1st Half	46%	67%
Loss 1st Half	15%	25%
Scored 1st Half	62%	33%
Conceded 1st Half	46%	42%
Win 2nd Half	62%	42%
Draw 2nd Half	8%	33%
Loss 2nd Half	31%	25%
Scored 2nd Half	77%	67%
Conceded 2nd Half	38%	50%
Over 0.5 HT	77%	50%
Over 1.5 HT	38%	25%

Recent Venue Form

Buxton (H)

Ashton United1–0

Chester3–1

Brackley Town5–0

Merthyr Town2–1

Hebburn Town1–2

Hereford2–1

Harborough Town (A)

Brackley Town0–1

Hednesford Town1–2

Oxford City1–1

King's Lynn Town1–1

Quorn2–2

Real Bedford4–4

National League - North

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Hereford	9	7	1	1	+17	22
2	Oxford City	9	6	1	2	+11	19
3	Macclesfield	9	5	3	1	+6	18
4	Spalding United	9	5	2	2	+7	17
5	Hebburn Town	9	5	2	2	0	17
6	South Shields	8	5	2	1	-1	17
7	Buxton	9	5	1	3	+4	16
8	Bedford Town	9	5	0	4	0	15
9	Chester	9	4	2	3	+1	14
10	Morecambe	9	4	1	4	+5	13
11	Merthyr Town	9	3	4	2	+2	13
12	King's Lynn Town	9	4	1	4	0	13
13	Harborough Town	9	3	3	3	-1	12
14	Worksop Town	9	4	0	5	-3	12
15	Scarborough Athletic	9	3	2	4	+3	11
16	Chorley	9	3	2	4	-2	11
17	Marine	9	3	0	6	-1	9
18	AFC Telford United	9	2	3	4	-2	9
19	Hednesford Town	9	2	3	4	-3	9
20	Southport	9	2	2	5	-7	8
21	Brackley Town	8	2	2	4	-9	8
22	Radcliffe	9	2	0	7	-8	6
23	Darlington 1883	9	2	0	7	-9	6
24	Spennymoor Town	9	1	3	5	-10	6

Team Insights

Buxton

●Buxton have won their last 2 matches.
●Buxton have won their last 3 home matches.
●Buxton have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
●Buxton have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
●Buxton failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
●72% of Buxton's goals have been scored at home.
●75% of Buxton's points have been earned at home.