Hereford vs AFC Telford United — National League - North
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Hereford and AFC Telford United meet in the National League - North 2026 season on 27 October 2026. Hereford have recorded 8 wins from 15 matches this season (53% win rate), averaging 1.73 goals scored and 0.93 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 40% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 53%; and clean sheets in 47% of games. AFC Telford United have won 23% of their 13 matches, with 0.92 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 54%, and clean sheets at 31%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.73 for Hereford and 0.98 for AFC Telford United. The models give Hereford a 55% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an AFC Telford United win at 20%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
Hereford—
AFC Telford United1º
Position
18º
2.44
PPG
1.00
78%
Win %
22%
2.33
Goals / game
0.89
0.44
Conceded / game
1.11
40%
BTTS %
54%
47%
Clean sheet %
31%
53%
Over 2.5 %
54%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Hereford
Home (5)
—
AFC Telford United
Away (5)
2.60
PPG
1.00
80%
Win %
20%
2.60
Goals / game
1.00
0.40
Conceded / game
1.20
43%
BTTS %
60%
43%
Clean sheet %
40%
57%
Over 2.5 %
60%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Hereford | Home | Away | AFC Telford | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 87% | 86% | 88% | 77% | 75% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 40% | 43% | 38% | 15% | 13% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 27% | 29% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 14% | 13% | 23% | 25% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Hereford | Home | Away | AFC Telford | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 53% | 57% | 50% | 69% | 75% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 27% | 14% | 38% | 54% | 50% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 14% | 13% | 15% | 25% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 47% | 43% | 50% | 31% | 25% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Hereford | AFC Telford | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 | 13% | 23% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 0% |
| BTTS | 40% | 54% |
| BTTS & Win | 7% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 23% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 20% | 46% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 33% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Hereford | AFC Telford | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 40% | 8% |
| Draw 1st Half | 47% | 54% |
| Loss 1st Half | 13% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 47% | 23% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 20% | 54% |
| Win 2nd Half | 47% | 23% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 27% | 54% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 27% | 23% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 69% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 47% | 54% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 60% | 62% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 13% | 23% |
Recent Venue Form
Hereford (H)W
South Shields6–0
South Shields6–0W
Spennymoor Town2–1
Spennymoor Town2–1D
Chester1–1
Chester1–1W
Radcliffe3–0
Radcliffe3–0W
Marine1–0
Marine1–0D
Shrewsbury1–1
Shrewsbury1–1AFC Telford (A)D
Harborough Town0–0
Harborough Town0–0W
Scarborough Athletic1–0
Scarborough Athletic1–0L
Morecambe1–2
Morecambe1–2D
Merthyr Town2–2
Merthyr Town2–2L
Worksop Town1–2
Worksop Town1–2L
Southport0–2
Southport0–2Head to Head · 8 matches
4
Hereford
50%
3
Draws
38%
1
AFC Telford
13%
25%
Over 1.5
2/8
13%
Over 2.5
1/8
0%
Over 3.5
0/8
13%
BTTS
1/8
10/02/26Hereford
AFC Telford United
3–0Hereford21/10/25AFC Telford United
Hereford
1–1AFC Telford United11/03/23AFC Telford United
Hereford
0–0AFC Telford United12/11/22Hereford
AFC Telford United
0–1Hereford15/04/22AFC Telford United
Hereford
1–0AFC Telford United30/08/21Hereford
AFC Telford United
0–0Hereford13/08/19AFC Telford United
Hereford
1–0AFC Telford United04/11/17AFC Telford United
Hereford
1–0AFC Telford United| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hereford | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +17 | 22 |
| 2 |  Oxford City | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +11 | 19 |
| 3 |  Macclesfield | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 18 |
| 4 |  Spalding United | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 17 |
| 5 |  Hebburn Town | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 17 |
| 6 | South Shields | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 17 |
| 7 |  Buxton | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 16 |
| 8 |  Bedford Town | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 | Chester | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 10 | Morecambe | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | +5 | 13 |
| 11 | Merthyr Town | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 13 |
| 12 |  King's Lynn Town | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | Harborough Town | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 | Worksop Town | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 15 | Scarborough Athletic | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 11 |
| 16 |  Chorley | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 11 |
| 17 | Marine | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -1 | 9 |
| 18 | AFC Telford United | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 9 |
| 19 |  Hednesford Town | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 9 |
| 20 | Southport | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 8 |
| 21 |  Brackley Town | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -9 | 8 |
| 22 | Radcliffe | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | -8 | 6 |
| 23 |  Darlington 1883 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | -9 | 6 |
| 24 | Spennymoor Town | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 6 |
Team Insights
Hereford- ●Hereford have won their last 4 matches.
- ●Hereford have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Hereford have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Hereford have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Hereford have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Hereford have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Hereford have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Hereford have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Hereford have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Hereford have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●62% of Hereford's goals have been scored at home.
AFC Telford- ●AFC Telford United have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●AFC Telford United have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●AFC Telford United have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●62% of AFC Telford United's goals have been scored away.
Season Schedule
HerefordWHSouth Shields6–0
South Shields6–0WAHarborough Town3–0
Harborough Town3–0WHSpennymoor Town2–1
Spennymoor Town2–1WASouthport1–0
Southport1–0DHChester1–1
Chester1–1WAWorksop Town3–0
Worksop Town3–0–ABedford Town26/09
Bedford Town26/09–HHednesford Town10/10
Hednesford Town10/10–AMorecambe17/10
Morecambe17/10AFC TelfordDAHarborough Town0–0
Harborough Town0–0WHOxford City1–0
Oxford City1–0WAScarborough Athletic1–0
Scarborough Athletic1–0LHBedford Town0–1
Bedford Town0–1LAMorecambe1–2
Morecambe1–2DHHednesford Town1–1
Hednesford Town1–1–HKing's Lynn Town26/09
King's Lynn Town26/09–AChorley10/10
Chorley10/10–HDarlington 188317/10
Darlington 188317/10Top Scorers
HerefordH. Iwunze7 ⚽
B. Phillips6 ⚽
A. Skinner3 ⚽
D. Waldron2 ⚽
C. Cox1 ⚽
L. Spokes1 ⚽
AFC TelfordM. Stenson4 ⚽
L. Moult1 ⚽
C. Williams1 ⚽
R. Walker1 ⚽
Trialist A1 ⚽
1 ⚽
Cards Given
HerefordK. Kandola1 🟨
AFC Telford