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Oxford City vs Merthyr Town — National League - North

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England · National League - North · National League North - 14
Oxford City
Oxford City
2º · 2.11 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 38d 5h
vs
–
–
Merthyr Town
Merthyr Town
11º · 1.44 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 38d 5h
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Oxford City and Merthyr Town meet in the National League - North 2026 season on 27 October 2026. Oxford City have recorded 8 wins from 13 matches this season (62% win rate), averaging 1.92 goals scored and 0.77 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 54%; and clean sheets in 54% of games. Merthyr Town have won 38% of their 16 matches, with 1.56 goals scored and 1.06 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 31%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.54 for Oxford City and 1.05 for Merthyr Town. The models give Oxford City a 50% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Merthyr Town win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 48% and BTTS at 51%.

Season Statistics

Oxford City
—
Merthyr Town
2º
Position
11º
2.11
PPG
1.44
67%
Win %
33%
1.89
Goals / game
1.22
0.67
Conceded / game
1.00
38%
BTTS %
63%
54%
Clean sheet %
31%
54%
Over 2.5 %
56%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Oxford City
Home (4)
—
Merthyr Town
Away (5)
1.75
PPG
1.00
50%
Win %
20%
2.00
Goals / game
0.80
1.00
Conceded / game
1.00
50%
BTTS %
50%
50%
Clean sheet %
33%
67%
Over 2.5 %
33%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

Oxford CityHomeAwayMerthyr TownHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored92%100%86%88%100%67%
Over 1.5 Scored46%50%43%44%70%0%
Over 2.5 Scored31%33%29%19%30%0%
Failed To Score8%0%14%13%0%33%

Goals Conceded

Oxford CityHomeAwayMerthyr TownHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded46%50%43%69%70%67%
Over 1.5 Conceded23%33%14%38%40%33%
Over 2.5 Conceded8%17%0%0%0%0%
Clean Sheets54%50%57%31%30%33%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Oxford CityMerthyr Town
Over 0.5100%94%
Over 1.569%81%
Over 2.554%56%
Over 3.531%19%
Over 4.515%6%
BTTS38%63%
BTTS & Win8%13%
BTTS & Draw8%31%
BTTS & Over 2.531%44%
BTTS No & Over 2.523%13%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Oxford CityMerthyr Town
Win 1st Half46%31%
Draw 1st Half38%56%
Loss 1st Half15%13%
Scored 1st Half46%56%
Conceded 1st Half23%31%
Win 2nd Half62%31%
Draw 2nd Half23%44%
Loss 2nd Half15%25%
Scored 2nd Half77%63%
Conceded 2nd Half38%56%
Over 0.5 HT62%63%
Over 1.5 HT38%38%

Recent Venue Form

Oxford City (H)
WChorley4–0
LBuxton2–3
DHarborough Town1–1
WBedford Town1–0
LWalton & Hersham1–2
WBriton Ferry4–0
Merthyr Town (A)
DScarborough Athletic0–0
WChester1–0
LBuxton1–2
DSouth Shields1–1
LSpennymoor Town1–2
LWorcester City0–1

Head to Head · 2 matches

0
Oxford City
0%
1
Draws
50%
1
Merthyr Town
50%
100%
Over 1.5
2/2
50%
Over 2.5
1/2
50%
Over 3.5
1/2
100%
BTTS
2/2
03/04/26
Merthyr Town
1–1
Oxford City
26/12/25
Oxford City
1–3
Merthyr Town
National League - North
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Hereford9711+1722
2Oxford City9612+1119
3Macclesfield9531+618
4Spalding United9522+717
5Hebburn Town9522017
6South Shields8521-117
7Buxton9513+416
8Bedford Town9504015
9Chester9423+114
10Morecambe9414+513
11Merthyr Town9342+213
12King's Lynn Town9414013
13Harborough Town9333-112
14Worksop Town9405-312
15Scarborough Athletic9324+311
16Chorley9324-211
17Marine9306-19
18AFC Telford United9234-29
19Hednesford Town9234-39
20Southport9225-78
21Brackley Town8224-98
22Radcliffe9207-86
23Darlington 18839207-96
24Spennymoor Town9135-106

Team Insights

Oxford City
  • ●Oxford City have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Oxford City have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●Oxford City have won 4 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●63% of Oxford City's points have been earned away.
Merthyr Town
  • ●Merthyr Town have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
  • ●Merthyr Town have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
  • ●Merthyr Town have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Merthyr Town have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Merthyr Town have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
  • ●64% of Merthyr Town's goals have been scored at home.
Oxford CityOxford City
WADorchester Town2–0
WARadcliffe22º3–0
LAAFC Telford United18º0–1
WHChorley16º4–0
WAWorksop Town14º1–0
LHBuxton7º2–3
WASpennymoor Town24º4–1
DHHarborough Town13º1–1
WASpalding United4º1–0
WHBedford Town8º1–0
Merthyr TownMerthyr Town
DHTruro City1–1
DAScarborough Athletic15º0–0
WAChester9º1–0
WHMacclesfield3º2–1
LABuxton7º1–2
DHChorley16º1–1
DASouth Shields6º1–1
DHAFC Telford United18º2–2
LASpennymoor Town24º1–2
WHHednesford Town19º2–0

Season Schedule

Oxford City
WARadcliffe3–0
LAAFC Telford United0–1
WHChorley4–0
WAWorksop Town1–0
LHBuxton2–3
WASpennymoor Town4–1
–HMorecambe26/09
–AHebburn Town10/10
–HMacclesfield17/10
Merthyr Town
DAScarborough Athletic0–0
WAChester1–0
WHMacclesfield2–1
LABuxton1–2
DHChorley1–1
DASouth Shields1–1
–HMarine26/09
–ADarlington 188310/10
–HKing's Lynn Town17/10

Top Scorers

Oxford City
T. Marsh8 ⚽
S. Pollock6 ⚽
B. Bateman2 ⚽
Z. McEachran2 ⚽
M. Taylor1 ⚽
J. Ashby1 ⚽
Merthyr Town
K. Simpson3 ⚽
S. Pearson3 ⚽
K. Evans2 ⚽
J. Maddox2 ⚽
J. Foulston2 ⚽
E. Watts2 ⚽

Cards Given

Oxford City
T. Marsh2 🟨
Merthyr Town
A. Livermore1 🟨
J. Williams1 🟨
W. Spiers1 🟨