Chester vs Hednesford Town — National League - North
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Chester and Hednesford Town meet in the National League - North 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Chester have recorded 10 wins from 18 matches this season (56% win rate), averaging 1.28 goals scored and 0.72 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 33% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 28%; and clean sheets in 44% of games. Hednesford Town have won 31% of their 13 matches, with 1.54 goals scored and 1.54 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 69%, Over 2.5 at 54%, and clean sheets at 8%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.49 for Chester and 1.03 for Hednesford Town. The models give Chester a 51% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Hednesford Town win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 46% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
Chester—
Hednesford Town7º
Position
15º
1.70
PPG
1.20
50%
Win %
30%
1.30
Goals / game
1.70
0.90
Conceded / game
1.70
33%
BTTS %
69%
44%
Clean sheet %
8%
28%
Over 2.5 %
54%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Chester
Home (5)
—
Hednesford Town
Away (5)
1.80
PPG
1.00
60%
Win %
20%
1.40
Goals / game
1.20
0.60
Conceded / game
1.60
14%
BTTS %
80%
43%
Clean sheet %
0%
14%
Over 2.5 %
40%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Chester | Home | Away | Hednesford Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 72% | 43% | 91% | 77% | 75% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 39% | 29% | 45% | 46% | 63% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 14% | 9% | 23% | 25% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 28% | 57% | 9% | 23% | 25% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Chester | Home | Away | Hednesford Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 56% | 57% | 55% | 92% | 88% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 11% | 0% | 18% | 46% | 38% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 6% | 0% | 9% | 8% | 13% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 44% | 43% | 45% | 8% | 13% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Chester | Hednesford Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 61% | 85% |
| Over 2.5 | 28% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 | 11% | 31% |
| Over 4.5 | 6% | 23% |
| BTTS | 33% | 69% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 23% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 23% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 22% | 54% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Chester | Hednesford Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 44% | 31% |
| Draw 1st Half | 39% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 17% | 31% |
| Scored 1st Half | 56% | 62% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 22% | 62% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 31% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 39% | 46% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 28% | 23% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 44% | 54% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 44% | 46% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 22% | 46% |
Recent Venue Form
Chester (H)W
Worksop Town4–1
Worksop Town4–1L
Merthyr Town0–1
Merthyr Town0–1L
Morecambe0–1
Morecambe0–1W
Spalding United1–0
Spalding United1–0W
King's Lynn Town2–0
King's Lynn Town2–0D
Crewe0–0
Crewe0–0Hednesford Town (A)L
Hebburn Town1–2
Hebburn Town1–2WKing's Lynn Town3–2
King's Lynn Town3–2D
Spennymoor Town1–1
Spennymoor Town1–1D
AFC Telford United1–1
AFC Telford United1–1LMerthyr Town0–2
Merthyr Town0–2W
Cleethorpes Town1–0
Cleethorpes Town1–0Head to Head · 2 matches
1
Chester
50%
1
Draws
50%
0
Hednesford Town
0%
50%
Over 1.5
1/2
50%
Over 2.5
1/2
0%
Over 3.5
0/2
50%
BTTS
1/2
17/12/19Hednesford Town
Chester
2–1Hednesford Town14/12/19Chester
Hednesford Town
0–0Chester| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hereford | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +17 | 23 |
| 2 |  Macclesfield | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +7 | 21 |
| 3 |  Oxford City | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +11 | 20 |
| 4 |  South Shields | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 20 |
| 5 | Hebburn Town | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 18 |
| 6 | Spalding United | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +6 | 17 |
| 7 | Chester | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 17 |
| 8 | King's Lynn Town | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +5 | 16 |
| 9 |  Buxton | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 16 |
| 10 |  Bedford Town | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 | Morecambe | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +5 | 14 |
| 12 |  Chorley | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 14 |
| 13 | Merthyr Town | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 14 |  Scarborough Athletic | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 12 |
| 15 | Hednesford Town | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 |
| 16 |  Marine | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 12 |
| 17 |  Harborough Town | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 12 |
| 18 | Worksop Town | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 12 |
| 19 |  Southport | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 9 |
| 20 | AFC Telford United | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 9 |
| 21 |  Brackley Town | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -9 | 9 |
| 22 |  Darlington 1883 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -9 | 7 |
| 23 | Spennymoor Town | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -10 | 7 |
| 24 |  Radcliffe | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | -11 | 6 |
Team Insights
Chester- ●Chester failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Chester have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Chester failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Chester have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of Chester's goals conceded were conceded away.
Hednesford Town- ●Hednesford Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Hednesford Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Hednesford Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Hednesford Town have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Hednesford Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Hednesford Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●65% of Hednesford Town's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
ChesterWHWorksop Town4–1
Worksop Town4–1LABuxton1–3
Buxton1–3LHMerthyr Town0–1
Merthyr Town0–1DAHebburn Town1–1
Hebburn Town1–1LHMorecambe0–1
Morecambe0–1DAHereford1–1
Hereford1–1–HBedford Town10/10
Bedford Town10/10–ASpennymoor Town17/10
Spennymoor Town17/10–ASouth Shields24/10
South Shields24/10Hednesford TownWHRadcliffe4–1
Radcliffe4–1LAHebburn Town1–2
Hebburn Town1–2WAKing's Lynn Town3–2
King's Lynn Town3–2LHSouth Shields0–1
South Shields0–1DASpennymoor Town1–1
Spennymoor Town1–1WHHarborough Town2–1
Harborough Town2–1–AHereford10/10
Hereford10/10–HBrackley Town17/10
Brackley Town17/10–HSpalding United24/10
Spalding United24/10Top Scorers
ChesterB. Waters5 ⚽
M. Campbell3 ⚽
N. Woodthorpe2 ⚽
M. Bogle-Campbell1 ⚽
D. Ward1 ⚽
J. Abreu1 ⚽
Hednesford TownJ. Cooke5 ⚽
A. Rose3 ⚽
D. Mottley-Henry2 ⚽
O. Sterling-James2 ⚽
L. Cirino1 ⚽
A. Jarvis1 ⚽
Cards Given
ChesterHednesford TownD. Gorman1 🟨
S. Sharples-Ahmed1 🟨