Southport vs AFC Telford United — National League - North
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Southport and AFC Telford United meet in the National League - North 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Southport have recorded 4 wins from 16 matches this season (25% win rate), averaging 1.13 goals scored and 1.63 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 44%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. AFC Telford United have won 19% of their 16 matches, with 0.94 goals scored and 1.88 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 63%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.58 for Southport and 1.15 for AFC Telford United. The models give Southport a 47% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an AFC Telford United win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Southport—
AFC Telford United20º
Position
22º
0.82
PPG
0.82
18%
Win %
18%
1.18
Goals / game
0.82
1.91
Conceded / game
1.55
50%
BTTS %
56%
13%
Clean sheet %
25%
44%
Over 2.5 %
63%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Southport
Home (5)
—
AFC Telford United
Away (6)
1.60
PPG
0.83
40%
Win %
17%
1.80
Goals / game
1.00
1.20
Conceded / game
1.33
50%
BTTS %
71%
25%
Clean sheet %
29%
38%
Over 2.5 %
71%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Southport | Home | Away | AFC Telford | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 56% | 63% | 50% | 75% | 67% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 50% | 25% | 19% | 11% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 13% | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 44% | 38% | 50% | 25% | 33% | 14% |
Goals Conceded
| Southport | Home | Away | AFC Telford | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 88% | 75% | 100% | 75% | 78% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 13% | 88% | 63% | 56% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 0% | 25% | 25% | 33% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 13% | 25% | 0% | 25% | 22% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Southport | AFC Telford | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 31% |
| Over 4.5 | 19% | 13% |
| BTTS | 50% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 19% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 19% | 19% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Southport | AFC Telford | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 6% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 44% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 50% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 25% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 63% |
| Win 2nd Half | 19% | 19% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 31% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 31% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 38% | 63% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 69% | 63% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 31% | 25% |
Recent Venue Form
Southport (H)D
Spennymoor Town2–2
Spennymoor Town2–2W
Morecambe2–1
Morecambe2–1L
Hereford0–1
Hereford0–1W
Bedford Town4–1
Bedford Town4–1D
Buxton1–1
Buxton1–1D
Wigan0–0
Wigan0–0AFC Telford (A)L
Chorley1–2
Chorley1–2L
Worksop Town2–5
Worksop Town2–5D
Harborough Town0–0
Harborough Town0–0W
Scarborough Athletic1–0
Scarborough Athletic1–0LMorecambe1–2
Morecambe1–2D
Merthyr Town2–2
Merthyr Town2–2Head to Head · 14 matches
5
Southport
36%
6
Draws
43%
3
AFC Telford
21%
79%
Over 1.5
11/14
50%
Over 2.5
7/14
29%
Over 3.5
4/14
50%
BTTS
7/14
25/04/26AFC Telford United
Southport
2–0AFC Telford United06/12/25Southport
AFC Telford United
2–2Southport28/01/23Southport
AFC Telford United
1–1Southport27/08/22AFC Telford United
Southport
0–0AFC Telford United02/05/22AFC Telford United
Southport
1–1AFC Telford United08/02/22Southport
AFC Telford United
0–3Southport07/11/20Southport
AFC Telford United
1–1Southport24/08/19AFC Telford United
Southport
0–1AFC Telford United06/04/15AFC Telford United
Southport
0–3AFC Telford United25/08/14Southport
AFC Telford United
3–3Southport05/01/13Southport
AFC Telford United
1–3Southport01/09/12AFC Telford United
Southport
0–3AFC Telford United10/03/12Southport
AFC Telford United
0–1Southport03/09/11AFC Telford United
Southport
3–2AFC Telford United| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Macclesfield | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +8 | 24 |
| 2 | Hereford | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +16 | 23 |
| 3 |  Oxford City | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +14 | 23 |
| 4 |  Chester | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 20 |
| 5 |  South Shields | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 20 |
| 6 |  King's Lynn Town | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +6 | 19 |
| 7 |  Hebburn Town | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 18 |
| 8 |  Spalding United | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +5 | 17 |
| 9 | Chorley | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 17 |
| 10 | Buxton | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 16 |
| 11 | Bedford Town | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 16 |
| 12 |  Hednesford Town | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 15 |
| 13 |  Marine | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | +1 | 15 |
| 14 | Harborough Town | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 15 | Worksop Town | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | -5 | 15 |
| 16 |  Brackley Town | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 15 |
| 17 | Morecambe | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | +4 | 14 |
| 18 | Merthyr Town | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 19 | Scarborough Athletic | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12 |
| 20 | Southport | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 9 |
| 21 |  Radcliffe | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | -8 | 9 |
| 22 | AFC Telford United | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 9 |
| 23 |  Darlington 1883 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -9 | 8 |
| 24 | Spennymoor Town | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -11 | 7 |
Team Insights
Southport- ●Southport have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Southport failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Southport failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Southport have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Southport failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Southport failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Southport failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Southport have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●69% of Southport's goals have been scored at home.
- ●71% of Southport's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●89% of Southport's points have been earned at home.
AFC Telford- ●AFC Telford United have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●AFC Telford United failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●AFC Telford United have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●67% of AFC Telford United's goals have been scored away.
Season Schedule
SouthportLAHarborough Town0–1
Harborough Town0–1DHSpennymoor Town2–2
Spennymoor Town2–2LAWorksop Town0–2
Worksop Town0–2WHMorecambe2–1
Morecambe2–1LASpalding United0–2
Spalding United0–2LHHereford0–1
Hereford0–1–HRadcliffe17/10
Radcliffe17/10–AKing's Lynn Town24/10
King's Lynn Town24/10–HMacclesfield27/10
Macclesfield27/10AFC TelfordLAChorley1–2
Chorley1–2LHKing's Lynn Town0–5
King's Lynn Town0–5DAHarborough Town0–0
Harborough Town0–0WHOxford City1–0
Oxford City1–0WAScarborough Athletic1–0
Scarborough Athletic1–0LHBedford Town0–1
Bedford Town0–1–HDarlington 188317/10
Darlington 188317/10–HHebburn Town24/10
Hebburn Town24/10–AHereford27/10
Hereford27/10Top Scorers
SouthportD. Ogwuru3 ⚽
L. Burgess3 ⚽
A. Moseley2 ⚽
M. McKenzie2 ⚽
T. Lavelle2 ⚽
J. Slew1 ⚽
AFC TelfordM. Stenson4 ⚽
L. Moult2 ⚽
R. Walker1 ⚽
Trialist A1 ⚽
1 ⚽
R. Owen1 ⚽
Cards Given
SouthportD. Lloyd1 🟨
H. Perritt1 🟨
L. Burgess1 🟨
AFC Telford