AFC Telford United vs Spalding United — National League - North
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AFC Telford United and Spalding United meet in the National League - North 2026 season on 7 November 2026. AFC Telford United have recorded 3 wins from 16 matches this season (19% win rate), averaging 0.94 goals scored and 1.88 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Spalding United have won 47% of their 15 matches, with 1.53 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 47%, Over 2.5 at 40%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.19 for AFC Telford United and 1.40 for Spalding United. The models give AFC Telford United a 32% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Spalding United win at 40%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 48% and BTTS at 52%.
Season Statistics
AFC Telford United—
Spalding United22º
Position
8º
0.82
PPG
1.55
18%
Win %
45%
0.82
Goals / game
1.27
1.55
Conceded / game
0.82
56%
BTTS %
47%
25%
Clean sheet %
33%
63%
Over 2.5 %
40%
0.0
Avg corners
4.0
0.0
Avg shots
14.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
7.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
1.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
46.0%
Home vs Away
AFC Telford United
Home (5)
—
Spalding United
Away (6)
0.80
PPG
1.17
20%
Win %
33%
0.60
Goals / game
1.17
1.80
Conceded / game
1.00
44%
BTTS %
57%
22%
Clean sheet %
14%
56%
Over 2.5 %
29%
0.0
Avg corners
4.0
0.0
Avg shots
14.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
7.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
1.0
0.0%
Avg possession
46.0%
Goals Scored
| AFC Telford | Home | Away | Spalding United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 67% | 86% | 73% | 75% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 19% | 11% | 29% | 53% | 75% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% | 25% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 33% | 14% | 27% | 25% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| AFC Telford | Home | Away | Spalding United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 78% | 71% | 67% | 50% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 63% | 56% | 71% | 13% | 13% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 25% | 33% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 22% | 29% | 33% | 50% | 14% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| AFC Telford | Spalding United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 69% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 40% |
| Over 3.5 | 31% | 27% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 0% |
| BTTS | 56% | 47% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 19% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| AFC Telford | Spalding United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 6% | 20% |
| Draw 1st Half | 44% | 60% |
| Loss 1st Half | 50% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 25% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 63% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 19% | 47% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 31% | 20% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 63% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 63% | 33% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 69% | 53% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
AFC Telford (H)L
King's Lynn Town0–5
King's Lynn Town0–5D
Worksop Town2–2
Worksop Town2–2W
Oxford City1–0
Oxford City1–0L
Bedford Town0–1
Bedford Town0–1D
Hednesford Town1–1
Hednesford Town1–1L
Brackley Town1–2
Brackley Town1–2Spalding United (A)L
Marine0–1
Marine0–1D
Bury Town1–1
Bury Town1–1L
Chorley1–2
Chorley1–2W
Spennymoor Town3–1
Spennymoor Town3–1D
South Shields1–1
South Shields1–1L
Chester0–1
Chester0–1Team Corners
| Team Corners | AFC Telford | Spalding United |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 0.0 | 4.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 0.0 | 4.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 0% |
Head to Head · 2 matches
1
AFC Telford
50%
1
Draws
50%
0
Spalding United
0%
50%
Over 1.5
1/2
0%
Over 2.5
0/2
0%
Over 3.5
0/2
50%
BTTS
1/2
05/04/25Spalding United
AFC Telford United
1–1Spalding United24/08/24AFC Telford United
Spalding United
0–1AFC Telford United| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Macclesfield | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +8 | 24 |
| 2 |  Hereford | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +16 | 23 |
| 3 | Oxford City | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +14 | 23 |
| 4 | Chester | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 20 |
| 5 | South Shields | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 20 |
| 6 | King's Lynn Town | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +6 | 19 |
| 7 |  Hebburn Town | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 18 |
| 8 | Spalding United | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +5 | 17 |
| 9 | Chorley | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 17 |
| 10 |  Buxton | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 16 |
| 11 | Bedford Town | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 16 |
| 12 | Hednesford Town | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 15 |
| 13 | Marine | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | +1 | 15 |
| 14 |  Harborough Town | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 15 | Worksop Town | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | -5 | 15 |
| 16 | Brackley Town | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 15 |
| 17 |  Morecambe | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | +4 | 14 |
| 18 |  Merthyr Town | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 19 |  Scarborough Athletic | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12 |
| 20 |  Southport | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 9 |
| 21 |  Radcliffe | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | -8 | 9 |
| 22 | AFC Telford United | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 9 |
| 23 |  Darlington 1883 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -9 | 8 |
| 24 | Spennymoor Town | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -11 | 7 |
Team Insights
AFC Telford- ●AFC Telford United have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●AFC Telford United failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●AFC Telford United have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●67% of AFC Telford United's goals have been scored away.
Spalding United- ●Spalding United have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Spalding United have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Spalding United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Spalding United failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●67% of Spalding United's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
AFC TelfordLAChorley1–2
Chorley1–2LHKing's Lynn Town0–5
King's Lynn Town0–5DAHarborough Town0–0
Harborough Town0–0WHOxford City1–0
Oxford City1–0WAScarborough Athletic1–0
Scarborough Athletic1–0LHBedford Town0–1
Bedford Town0–1–HDarlington 188317/10
Darlington 188317/10–HHebburn Town24/10
Hebburn Town24/10–AHereford27/10
Hereford27/10Spalding UnitedLAMarine0–1
Marine0–1LAChorley1–2
Chorley1–2WHBedford Town2–1
Bedford Town2–1WASpennymoor Town3–1
Spennymoor Town3–1WHSouthport2–0
Southport2–0DASouth Shields1–1
South Shields1–1–HHebburn Town20/10
Hebburn Town20/10–AHednesford Town24/10
Hednesford Town24/10–HBrackley Town27/10
Brackley Town27/10Top Scorers
AFC TelfordM. Stenson4 ⚽
L. Moult2 ⚽
R. Walker1 ⚽
Trialist A1 ⚽
1 ⚽
R. Owen1 ⚽
Spalding UnitedB. Cybulski11 ⚽
4 ⚽
A. M. Sano Sani2 ⚽
S. Straughan-Brown1 ⚽
Cards Given
AFC TelfordSpalding United1 🟨