Hednesford Town vs Morecambe — National League - North
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Hednesford Town and Morecambe meet in the National League - North 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Hednesford Town have recorded 5 wins from 14 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 64% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Morecambe have won 44% of their 16 matches, with 1.50 goals scored and 0.81 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 38%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.73 for Hednesford Town and 1.23 for Morecambe. The models give Hednesford Town a 48% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Morecambe win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Hednesford Town | Home | Away | Morecambe | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 79% | 75% | 83% | 81% | 78% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 43% | 63% | 17% | 38% | 56% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 21% | 25% | 17% | 25% | 33% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 25% | 17% | 19% | 22% | 14% |
Goals Conceded
| Hednesford Town | Home | Away | Morecambe | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 86% | 88% | 83% | 63% | 56% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 43% | 38% | 50% | 19% | 0% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 14% | 13% | 17% | 38% | 44% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Hednesford Town | Morecambe | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 79% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 6% |
| Over 4.5 | 21% | 0% |
| BTTS | 64% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 21% | 6% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 19% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 25% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 25% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Hednesford Town | Morecambe | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 36% | 19% |
| Draw 1st Half | 36% | 63% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 19% |
| Scored 1st Half | 64% | 19% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 57% | 19% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 19% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 21% | 31% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 75% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 43% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 86% | 38% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 19% |
Recent Venue Form
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +8 | 24 | |
| 2 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +16 | 23 | |
| 3 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +14 | 23 | |
| 4 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 20 | |
| 5 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 20 | |
| 6 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +6 | 19 | |
| 7 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 18 | |
| 8 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +5 | 17 | |
| 9 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 17 | |
| 10 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 16 | |
| 11 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 16 | |
| 12 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 15 | |
| 13 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | +1 | 15 | |
| 14 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 15 | |
| 15 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | -5 | 15 | |
| 16 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 15 | |
| 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | +4 | 14 | |
| 18 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | +1 | 14 | |
| 19 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12 | |
| 20 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 9 | |
| 21 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | -8 | 9 | |
| 22 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 9 | |
| 23 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -9 | 8 | |
| 24 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -11 | 7 |
Team Insights
- ●Hednesford Town have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Hednesford Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Hednesford Town have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Hednesford Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Hednesford Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Hednesford Town have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Morecambe have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Morecambe have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Morecambe have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Morecambe have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Morecambe failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Morecambe have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Morecambe have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●67% of Morecambe's goals have been scored at home.
- ●73% of Morecambe's goals conceded were conceded away.