Merthyr Town vs Hebburn Town — National League - North
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Merthyr Town and Hebburn Town meet in the National League - North 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Merthyr Town have recorded 6 wins from 19 matches this season (32% win rate), averaging 1.42 goals scored and 1.16 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 63% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 53%; and clean sheets in 26% of games. Hebburn Town have won 39% of their 18 matches, with 1.94 goals scored and 2.06 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 78%, Over 2.5 at 78%, and clean sheets at 11%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.78 for Merthyr Town and 1.19 for Hebburn Town. The models give Merthyr Town a 47% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Hebburn Town win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Merthyr Town | Home | Away | Hebburn Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 84% | 100% | 63% | 89% | 91% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 37% | 64% | 0% | 56% | 64% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 16% | 27% | 0% | 28% | 36% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 16% | 0% | 38% | 11% | 9% | 14% |
Goals Conceded
| Merthyr Town | Home | Away | Hebburn Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 74% | 73% | 75% | 89% | 82% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 42% | 45% | 38% | 56% | 55% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 39% | 45% | 29% |
| Clean Sheets | 26% | 27% | 25% | 11% | 18% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Merthyr Town | Hebburn Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 84% | 94% |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 | 16% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 | 5% | 44% |
| BTTS | 63% | 78% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 28% |
| BTTS & Draw | 32% | 28% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 42% | 61% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Merthyr Town | Hebburn Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 32% | 17% |
| Draw 1st Half | 47% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 21% | 50% |
| Scored 1st Half | 53% | 56% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 37% | 78% |
| Win 2nd Half | 26% | 44% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 42% | 22% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 32% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 58% | 78% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 63% | 56% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 68% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 32% | 56% |
Recent Venue Form
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +8 | 24 | |
| 2 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +16 | 23 | |
| 3 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +14 | 23 | |
| 4 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 20 | |
| 5 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 20 | |
| 6 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +6 | 19 | |
| 7 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 18 | |
| 8 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +5 | 17 | |
| 9 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 17 | |
| 10 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 16 | |
| 11 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 16 | |
| 12 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 15 | |
| 13 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | +1 | 15 | |
| 14 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 15 | |
| 15 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | -5 | 15 | |
| 16 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 15 | |
| 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | +4 | 14 | |
| 18 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | +1 | 14 | |
| 19 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12 | |
| 20 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 9 | |
| 21 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | -8 | 9 | |
| 22 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 9 | |
| 23 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -9 | 8 | |
| 24 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -11 | 7 |
Team Insights
- ●Merthyr Town have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Merthyr Town have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Merthyr Town have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Merthyr Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Merthyr Town have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●62% of Merthyr Town's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Hebburn Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Hebburn Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Hebburn Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Hebburn Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●69% of Hebburn Town's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Hebburn Town have conceded 58% of their goals in the first half.